"In a building, I'd agree. Not outside. That's a midnight chart.

The ECM op (which was in the top 25% of EPS for high temps today) shows a high of 14C for Reading from that for Sunday.

(And yes, it's possible that 18C will be recorded next Sunday if a foehn effect sets in up north. It's also possible that a meteorite will crash into your house, or that I'll win the lottery. Lots of things are possible, it's whether they're likely that counts! )"

That was always a risky call.

I've already spotted 9 stations in the SE showing 18'C or above at 1300z according to weatheronline.

Someone owes AllyPallySnowman a beer!

It has been an awful time for coldies like Darren and myself. Perhaps the end of the month might deliver something wintry and kill off all those horrible flowers and butterflies etc

I assume that's in jest

A lovely 17c here. Schorchio!

It peaked at 14.2 C here at my coastal locaton which was to be expected what with a gentle south breeze coming in from the Channel, but it still felt pleasantly mild in the sunshine and light wind all the same. 

PS: I wouldn't be surprised if it is a couple of degrees warmer only a mile or two inland - about a ten minutes push bike ride away.

LOL! Come off it - you got lucky and despite showing next to no methodology you fluked it. Bravo.

To say "it was always likely" is just plain stupid, it was not likely in the slightest and in fact none of the models showed it being this warm! You were just fortunate that the models went the wrong way on it. If you'd actually given reasons why you expected it to be warm (rather than a simplistic extrapolation of 850s) I may have given you more credit, but you didn't.

For those who are interested in why this has happened, it's because the models underestimated the warmth of the lower layers of the atmosphere. When I was having that argument with you the models were showing 850s of 8 or 9, thicknesses lower than they are now and lower dewpoints than we're experiencing. The chart which you based your over-simplistic prediction on was an outlier amongst the ensembles - there was one ECM run which showed the 10C 850 isotherm grazing the UK. All the other models showed 850s remaining lower and, with it, the whole lower level of the atmosphere was forecast to be colder. In the end 850s reached 13C over the SE this morning, which is a remarkably poor performance by the models.

It just goes to show that sometimes you end up with something several degrees warmer than any members of the ensemble suite (across all the models) show, and just a few days out at that. It's irritating to see people like you getting plaudits for what was (at the time) a hopelessly unlikely situation - but there you go.

And yes, those are sour grapes before anyone says it! Enjoy your warmth folks, I'm off to sulk.

PS - don't bother replying vince, I won't be reading it. In fact, I won't even be on here for a few days, I'm that fed up with it.

Good call Ally Pally Snowman..

FWIW I think a few of us here felt that 18c was possible in this set up somewhere. Its a shame that Darren couldn't find it in himself shake your hand, move on and have a laugh about it.

It genuinely feels to me that we can no longer be encouraged discuss..and yes, sometimes ramp warm opportunities like we used to on this forum. Those that do these days are told they are over-exaggerating etc etc.

Loving this warm weather today. 15c on the SE coast in early March under unbroken sunshine is wonderful.

Lovely spring weather today

Kew Gardens just up the road from here reporting 19.4C at 15:00 this afternoon

We got 15C today and it was beautiful. Not bad for the SW coast.

Highs of around 18c here, been a lovely day in all.

After the horrific winter we've just endured, I fail to see how ANYBODY could have disliked today's weather.

Make the most of it because no doubt winter will start around 20th March.

In truth I never let the weather get to me no matter how bad it is.

But a fine spell of weather for the coming week ahead but it does cool down from tomorrow onwards to close to average for the time of year.

A bit harsh Steam Fog. He is a committed coldie, but nasty and twisted he is not!!

Just wondering whether anybody could honestly say today was a horrible day (where the sun shone)....

Indeed.

I'm a big convective fan especially, during the summer months am I mean and nasty!

I like my storms mean and nasty though.