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RobR
  • RobR
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2014 17:18:40

I hope the storms don't arrive early. I'm in work until 6am and I look daft getting out my seat every few minutes like last night trying to watch. Also our building is soundproofed so rubbish for hearing thunder.  The initial charts suggested around 5am-6am for here which would be better as that is when I will be driving back.

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BYF1
  • BYF1
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2014 17:21:21

Big storm just SSE of Rouen tracking NNE.


 


It's not showing up at at all on the 7pm forecasted radar, just shows how inaccurate they are in this kind of setup.

North downs, near Folkestone, 177m asl.
picturesareme
18 July 2014 17:27:12

Big storm just SSE of Rouen tracking NNE.


 


It's not showing up at at all on the 7pm forecasted radar, just shows how inaccurate they are in this kind of setup.

Originally Posted by: BYF1 



No lightning being detected though according to netweather lightning. Those exiting the coast of France are however.
Matty H
18 July 2014 17:28:53
The MetO update along with most charts don't tally up with that esto thingy warning. Everything else suggests more central areas, although I guess it's almost impossible to nail a situation like this totally.

Is this company the one that issues tornado watches every time the sun goes behind a cloud, or is that another I'm thinking of?
Yate, Nr Bristol
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BYF1
  • BYF1
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2014 17:31:00


Big storm just SSE of Rouen tracking NNE.


 


It's not showing up at at all on the 7pm forecasted radar, just shows how inaccurate they are in this kind of setup.


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 



No lightning being detected though according to netweather lightning. Those exiting the coast of France are however.

Originally Posted by: BYF1 


 


I have another source and there is lots of lightning.

North downs, near Folkestone, 177m asl.
Charmhills
18 July 2014 17:32:21

BBC weather; violent thunderstorms developing later this evening and moving northward with torrential downpours in places.


Storms easing for a time tomorrow morning before more heavy storms develop in the afternoon though some uncertainty where they'll be.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

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POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2014 17:34:07

The MetO update along with most charts don't tally up with that esto thingy warning. Everything else suggests more central areas, although I guess it's almost impossible to nail a situation like this totally.

Is this company the one that issues tornado watches every time the sun goes behind a cloud, or is that another I'm thinking of?

Originally Posted by: Matty H 



You are correct Matty, Estofex often issue Armeggedon type warnings, but then you knew that, maybe they will come up trumps this time.

Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex.
Arcus
18 July 2014 17:35:18



Big storm just SSE of Rouen tracking NNE.


 


It's not showing up at at all on the 7pm forecasted radar, just shows how inaccurate they are in this kind of setup.


Originally Posted by: BYF1 



No lightning being detected though according to netweather lightning. Those exiting the coast of France are however.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


 


I have another source and there is lots of lightning.


Originally Posted by: BYF1 


The storms to the W of Rouen are chucking out a hell of a lot of lightning.


Re the predictive radar stuff, take them as a very rough guide only. Check out the MetO video from eearlier today where they explain that their predicted storm distrubtions for tonight and tomorrow are basically best guesses. 


 

Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Zubzero
18 July 2014 17:36:37


Big storm just SSE of Rouen tracking NNE.


 


It's not showing up at at all on the 7pm forecasted radar, just shows how inaccurate they are in this kind of setup.


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 



No lightning being detected though according to netweather lightning. Those exiting the coast of France are however.

Originally Posted by: BYF1 


 


I think the net weather lightning map only covers the UK, this one is much better http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime?lang=en


As you can see the storms over France are very active


 


And Matty are you are thinking of http://www.torro.org.uk/site/forecast.php who dont have any warnings for today 


 


 

BYF1
  • BYF1
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2014 17:43:57

Two large cells now SW of Rouen on the 18:30 radar, looks like an MCS.

North downs, near Folkestone, 177m asl.
Twister
18 July 2014 17:45:51

Best lightning display in years and bang on for my thoughts on the matter for once


Flash rates reached 30 per minute so getting into the strobe category.


Rain sporadic and torrential but the event promised to be fairly brief and so it proved.


Proper old school heat storms

Originally Posted by: Sevendust 



Having camped in the heart of the New Forest last night (in the middle of a field and under a tree lol) I can back up your lightning frequency of 30 a minute - and that excludes the multiple flickers of many of those.

But It was the frequency and violence of CGs within a mile of me that was exceptional. The sheer violence ranks the storm among the best (and scariest)I have seen.

Needless to say, we located to the car!
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Medlock Vale Weather
18 July 2014 17:56:33

Wow some nasty storms in N France - 100mm per hour some of them!

Alan in Medlock Valley - Oldham's frost hollow. 103 metres above sea level.
What is a frost hollow? http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/wxfacts/Frost-hollow.htm 
Whether Idle
18 July 2014 17:57:45
Storms exiting France appear to headed straight for Ian in Folkestone. Will there be a wet underpants photo -shoot, lit by lightening?
Only kidding Ian!

The storms do though appear to be headed your way. Will the FWS hold?
Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Matty H
18 July 2014 17:59:12

The MetO update along with most charts don't tally up with that esto thingy warning. Everything else suggests more central areas, although I guess it's almost impossible to nail a situation like this totally.

Is this company the one that issues tornado watches every time the sun goes behind a cloud, or is that another I'm thinking of?

Originally Posted by: POD 



You are correct Matty, Estofex often issue Armeggedon type warnings, but then you knew that, maybe they will come up trumps this time.

Originally Posted by: Matty H 



No I didn't, or I wouldn't have asked. There's another company that does stuff like this as well. Not sure which one is the one I generally think of as scaremongering guff


Edit: should have read the rest. It is actually TORRO I'm thinking of. Or try not to.
Yate, Nr Bristol
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POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2014 17:59:24

The storms that have entered the Channel seem to be intensifying, or is it just wishful thinking?

Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex.
yorkshirelad89
18 July 2014 18:03:32

Some insane levels of thunderstorm activity around Le Harve and Rouen, havn't seen anything quite like it, very bright echoes on the rainfall radar.


Shame theres no webcam but I bet it's spectacular, hopefully will hit Norwich later, although it's the cells to the west that are lining up to hit the UK

Hull
Arcus
18 July 2014 18:11:34
No sign of a reduction in strength as the Rouen storms make a break for it into the Channel. Will they make it to Kent intact? Maybe the Kentish folk would rather they didn't, as they are monsters.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
picturesareme
18 July 2014 18:12:09
Holy 😳⚡️⚡️⚡️😧😧 WOW!!! What a beast that is!! I'm so very jealous at the moment. That's got to be what 60 miles long, 30-40 miles wide and almost soilid 150-200 mm per hour!!! And check out that lightning.
Arcus
18 July 2014 18:14:14
And the storm vector appears to be shifting more toward N, as I mentioned earlier. Sussex could be in line for some fun too.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Osprey
18 July 2014 18:17:21

Holy 😳⚡️⚡️⚡️😧😧 WOW!!! What a beast that is!! I'm so very jealous at the moment. That's got to be what 60 miles long, 30-40 miles wide and almost soilid 150-200 mm per hour!!! And check out that lightning.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


I've been in a storm similar to that and it's scary

Nobody likes a smartass, especially another smartass...
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Arcus
18 July 2014 18:25:44
Have to say that the lightning strike rate in that system is very, very impressive for something knocking on the door of our shores.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
picturesareme
18 July 2014 18:26:45

Holy 😳⚡️⚡️⚡️😧😧 WOW!!! What a beast that is!! I'm so very jealous at the moment. That's got to be what 60 miles long, 30-40 miles wide and almost soilid 150-200 mm per hour!!! And check out that lightning.

Originally Posted by: Osprey 


I've been in a storm similar to that and it's scary

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 




I've been in an extreme lighting storm +130 bolts a minute... And I've experienced tropical downpours in Central Florida 3 inch if rain an hour types.
The lightning storm was a little nervy, every hair on the body was continuesly stood up, like I was hooked up to a vandergraph 😀

But that storm in France... I reckon some places might see as much as 5-6 inches in an hour. Insane.
POD
  • POD
  • Advanced Member
18 July 2014 18:31:44


Holy 😳⚡️⚡️⚡️😧😧 WOW!!! What a beast that is!! I'm so very jealous at the moment. That's got to be what 60 miles long, 30-40 miles wide and almost soilid 150-200 mm per hour!!! And check out that lightning.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


I've been in a storm similar to that and it's scary


Originally Posted by: Osprey 




I've been in an extreme lighting storm +130 bolts a minute... And I've experienced tropical downpours in Central Florida 3 inch if rain an hour types.
The lightning storm was a little nervy, every hair on the body was continuesly stood up, like I was hooked up to a vandergraph 😀

But that storm in France... I reckon some places might see as much as 5-6 inches in an hour. Insane.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 



Maybe but  it seems to be getting a shift on.

Pat, Crawley Down, West Sussex.
Stormchaser
18 July 2014 18:32:41

Fully-fledged supercell on the way toward a brush with the far SE.


That should provide quite a light show as the evening daylight fades.


 


The MCS looks like being an entirely seperate convective system, just starting to develop in the region of La Rochelle from the looks of things.


A supercell could also form along the way, but those things prefer to be isolated from other convective systems, with a single focus area for uplifting becoming larger and larger, producing the exceptionally high cloud tops currently visible on satellite imagery, and hence the frenzied lightning activity.

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Osprey
18 July 2014 18:35:19


Holy 😳⚡️⚡️⚡️😧😧 WOW!!! What a beast that is!! I'm so very jealous at the moment. That's got to be what 60 miles long, 30-40 miles wide and almost soilid 150-200 mm per hour!!! And check out that lightning.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


I've been in a storm similar to that and it's scary


Originally Posted by: Osprey 




I've been in an extreme lighting storm +130 bolts a minute... And I've experienced tropical downpours in Central Florida 3 inch if rain an hour types.
The lightning storm was a little nervy, every hair on the body was continuesly stood up, like I was hooked up to a vandergraph 😀

But that storm in France... I reckon some places might see as much as 5-6 inches in an hour. Insane.

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


We were renovating a property, we stood in the middle of the living room with the owner screaming and us trying to calm her down, it was like explosions going off all around... 130 bolts sounds about right


I better get the water pump out

Nobody likes a smartass, especially another smartass...
If it ain't broke, don't fix it!

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