Hello folks,

Here's the week ahead forecast video: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html

Here's the Written version: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/written.html

More heavy rain to come, but temperatures getting a boost later!

Will have the CFS Six month look-ahead (JFF) for you tomorrow, so look out for that.

Thanks for your support as always. 

EDIT: Here's the CFS Six month look-ahead video (JFF) http://www.gavsweathervids.com

 

 

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Thank you Gavin .

Storm coat kept handy now.

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Thanks ART.

Here's the CFS Six Month Look-Ahead for October

http://www.gavsweathervids.com

Before you hit play remember this is just for fun and amusement purpose's on a Sunday morning...

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Reliably good work Gavin. Thankyou.

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Cheers Gav

Bloody good job it is J F F

One of the worst I have seen, not even a hint

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Thanks Gavin

As you say you can only report what you see

I urge most people on this forum who like cold and snow to wear earplugs and blindfold themselves from Dec to March - to block out the vision of heavy rain and the sound of gales

thats about as bad it can get

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Thanks Gavin, I was having a good Sunday until I watched that   I'd be amazed if that is right though, even in the miserable 90's no two mild years were the same (often warm and dry rather than wet and stormy) and what's interesting is the persistence of the trough over Iceland, that as you said in the video is extreme and rare - last Winter to be repeated again would be one for the record books.

Joe B's link was very interesting - we have blocking across the arctic but the model is showing the result of the opposite further South where you'd expect the arctic to have very little blocking present based on pressure patterns shown. Based on that and also the extreme nature for it to repeat twice,  I'd be surprised if CFS does not flip massively next month from the extreme position today.

Also I really like the LRF's but even JMA has trouble getting a month right quite often so for 6 months ahead is JFF, look forward to your blog post mini Winter update tonight.