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It's just one LP after another! Point taken about uppers but if only it were a few degrees colder for us southerners though http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rpgfs1711.gif
Think a lot of people are going to like this!
Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze
I am happier, since I am directly in the dark splodge on that one, but I think Saint would prefer Quantum's earlier snow chart.
If GFS 12z came off the country would be at a standstill on Tue & Wed
A lot will - and many won't.
The new GFS 12z seems to be a snowfest and cold throughout bar warm sectors getting a little close for comfort but the cold wins out!
Originally Posted by: Whiteout
Edit - make that Thursday as well.
What a way for the new GFS to go solo While I take your point Rob, even if it did start as rain the 3rd slider would turn back to snow as it slides south.
Originally Posted by: Charmhills
As we said earlier Duane, the best snowfalls come from these marginal situations.
BTW UKMO isn't too shabby
Unbelievable run for snow next week in much of central England, if it is to be believed.
Well low #3, which has come from a fairly cold source, manages to deepen as it exits the South Coast. Depending on track and the fact that uppers are in the -5 to -7 range, in virtual space at least I'd say that has a snow fall on it.
http://meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2015011412/UW144-21.GIF?14-17
's alright.
Maxima of -3c next Friday over deep snow cover;
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rpgfs21617.gif
Why couldn't they keep the old GFS too. It had some advantages, it ran sooner and had 500hpa anomoly charts.
The Met/o 12z is a beauty and of which looks to be sliding!
Originally Posted by: Rob K
Is there anywhere we can see the 850hpa temps for that low? Is it a cold core low, or will it have a warm sector?
I wouldn't kick it out of bed, Rob Get the cold in, and let mother nature do the rest. The UKMO is bringing the next trough in on a NW/SE axis and is bound to tickle the tastebuds of snow fans pretty much nationwide I would think.
Originally Posted by: nsrobins
Are you back on the cold train Neil ?
Lovely jubbly is how I'd put it!
Originally Posted by: kmoorman
Looking at the thicknesses it looks pretty cold to me. Looking at London we have 500mb height 516dam with SLP 994mb so that is about 521dam 1000-500mb thickness, approximately.
No, surprisingly it was Jan 2013Unsurprisingly, one of the few parts that are green is the Vale of Evesham, along with the South Coast ...http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-nasa-satellite-image-1563255
Originally Posted by: Essan
I hadn't realised so much of the UK was affected by January 2013 snow.... Perhaps that was more a reflection of some of disappointment in here from those unaffected. I remember the small island of green near or in Manchester that (understandably) had RustyRoo (I think) in dispair to such an extent he has never been on here since! Also, I hadn't realised that it wasn't snowy so close to me (the benefit of the Chilterns' altitude compared to surrounding areas)
Can someone point to an analogue year/month with similar synoptics to those forecast for next week. Its not really a classic easterly, or a northerly. More a slow and flabby low complex in cold air.
If The Daily Star says it will snow then I'm on board
The new GFS has 3 hour timesteps between 180 and 240 hours. These are now accessible on the TWO chart viewer:
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/datmdlout.aspx
Interestingly enough it seems that the low res >240hr is nearly as good as the old high res.
