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Maunder Minimum
07 May 2015 21:11:31


I am in a genuine state of shock at how bad the Limp Dumbs have reportedly done. I had them down for about 30 seats. Most of the polls had them in the 20's.


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


Still only a poll of course. But I doubt it is out by more than 10% one way or the other.


New world order coming.
xioni2
07 May 2015 21:13:11

Amazing exit poll, ha ha!


At least I hope the decimated lib dems would still be needed for a coalition as they have a good moderating effect.


If the result is anywhere close to the exit poll, it will be a huge victory for Cameron, the newspapers and of course the FPTP system.


A minority Con government looks the most likely with another election shortly?


 

Charmhills
07 May 2015 21:13:39

The Tories on 326 seats!!!


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Medlock Vale Weather
07 May 2015 21:13:48

Well I voted UKIP, 2nd choice would have been Tory... so I am not too bothered by this exit poll IF things go as shown. At least Cameron wouldn't have the nagging Lib Dems pushing far leftist policies if the Tories choose to go it alone. Overall it is a good evening for those who swing to the right. So far.


Alan in Medlock Valley - Oldham's frost hollow. 103 metres above sea level.
What is a frost hollow? http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/wxfacts/Frost-hollow.htm 
Saint Snow
07 May 2015 21:14:08

The majority of people in this country are going to be f*cked. On a personal level, I'm just glad I don't have to rely on public services. The next five years of pithy, mean-spirited, look-after-number-one, spivish government will be utterly depressing.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
nickl
07 May 2015 21:14:26
Sterling up 1%
nickl
07 May 2015 21:15:27


The Tories on 326 seats!!!


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


the exit poll predicts 316


 

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
07 May 2015 21:17:10

Originally Posted by: Caz Go to Quoted Post

I've amazed myself and voted Conservative for the first time after being a labour voter all my life.  I've been even more amazed at some of the people I've spoken to who have done the same.  I think it's possible the Mansfield Labour seat may not be safe any more.




Amazed indeed. What possessed you? Was it the rotten Tory campaign or the colossal balls-ups over the last 5 years that convinced you that this was the time to change the habit of a lifetime?


Nick, I just read your reply on the previous thread.  What broke the camel's back was mainly Miliband's talk about zero hours contracts.  As you probably read on an earlier thread, the job I have is a zero hours contract and I like it that way.  If Labour put an end to them, I'd be out of work and I just think he's out of touch and he hasn't convinced me he's worthy of my vote. 


I also think the economy is still in a delicate state and needs some continuation, which I don't think it would get if another party takes office.


Incidentally, I voted Labour in our local elections. 



Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Maunder Minimum
07 May 2015 21:17:23

This is the benchmark - the actual 2010 result:



































Conservative
 
307+97
Labour
 
258-91
Liberal Democrat
 
57-5
Democratic Unionist Party
 
8-1
Scottish National Party
 
60
Others
 
140

































  
   
   
   
   
   

New world order coming.
Arcus
07 May 2015 21:18:29
No need to set the alarm clock then. Massive failure in the opinion polls - far bigger than in the past 20 years if the Exit Poll is to be believed.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
07 May 2015 21:18:34
Quite an incredible exit poll to begin the night with. Inaccurate or the first poll with some truth behind it?
Malcolm UserPostedImage
Wakefield & Gothenburg, SWE
springsunshine
07 May 2015 21:18:54

working on the exit poll figures Cameron could bybass the lib dumps and form a coalition with the DUP AND UKIP.


This may be the better option so that tory policies are not `watered down`


It is clear the voters in the marginals have taken the snp threat seriously.

Maunder Minimum
07 May 2015 21:19:08


The majority of people in this country are going to be f*cked. On a personal level, I'm just glad I don't have to rely on public services. The next five years of pithy, mean-spirited, look-after-number-one, spivish government will be utterly depressing.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


It is only the exit poll Saint - the real result won't be known until the small hours.


However, if the exit poll is anywhere near correct, the reason traces back to 2010 and Labour choosing Ed instead of David.


New world order coming.
sriram
07 May 2015 21:19:15
Polling companies have blown it BIG TIME

And have failed just like it 1992

With them predicting the likes of CON 282 LAB 272

I expect Milliband and Clegg to go imminently

With labour worst seats since 1987 and liberal democrats on a pathetic 10
Sriram
Sedgley, West Midlands ( just south of Wolverhampton )
162m ASL
Saint Snow
07 May 2015 21:20:47

I've absolutely no love for Labour, but I despise pretty much everything that the Tories stand for.


The 'haves' to get more, the 'have-nots' to get less sums it up. I f*cking hate this country.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Maunder Minimum
07 May 2015 21:21:10



Nick, I just read your reply on the previous thread.  What broke the camel's back was mainly Miliband's talk about zero hours contracts.  As you probably read on an earlier thread, the job I have is a zero hours contract and I like it that way.  If Labour put an end to them, I'd be out of work and I just think he's out of touch and he hasn't convinced me he's worthy of my vote. 


I also think the economy is still in a delicate state and needs some continuation, which I don't think it would get if another party takes office.


Incidentally, I voted Labour in our local elections



Originally Posted by: Caz 


When we wake up tomorrow, we will probably find a lot of people have voted one way for Westminster and another way for local elections.


New world order coming.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
07 May 2015 21:21:12



Have the British people chosen stability over chaos!


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 

That's it in a nutshell as far my vote was concerned. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Matty H
07 May 2015 21:22:27


Wow the exit poll is a shock


A catastrophe for Labour and LibDems if true.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


David M Porter
07 May 2015 21:25:04

I'll be surprised if my incumbent MP, Jo Swinson, manages to hold East Dunbartonshire where I live. Not that I'm saying she has been a poor MP; she's actually been very helpful to me and a good listener whenever I have contacted her about local issues, but the early indications for her party do look pretty bleak.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Essan
07 May 2015 21:25:05


the fishwife will certainly vorte down the queens speech.


Originally Posted by: nickl 



Unless we give her a fish supper and she accidently eats that massive chip on her shoulder


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
warrenb
07 May 2015 21:25:23
YouGov poll is an online poll and not a true exit poll. Just asking people online how they voted.
doctormog
07 May 2015 21:26:25
I would have thought that the actual exit poll is going to be closer to the mark than the Yougov one based on past experience?
nickl
07 May 2015 21:27:26
Yougov is bang in line with the pre election polling.

If it's wrong then it seems the reliance on online numbers is currenly flawed.
07 May 2015 21:27:49
Can someone link the yougov poll?
Malcolm UserPostedImage
Wakefield & Gothenburg, SWE
Justin W
07 May 2015 21:28:13

I would have thought that the actual exit poll is going to be closer to the mark than the Yougov one based on past experience?

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


Yep - Exit polls seem to be getting more accurate. Telephone polls are never anywhere near as accurate.


 


I said I thought the exit poll would be bang on the money and I stand by it despite MM's skepticism!


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
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