15.2c please

15.0C please

15.7c please.

Not figures to go on but they are there... Anomalies will change somewhat.

Met Office Hadley          9.5c.     Anomaly    -3.3c.    Provisional  to   1st...

Metcheck                    10.54c.   Anomaly    -3.61c.

Netweather                 10.42c.   Anomaly    -3.69c

Clevedon Weather       12.1c.     Anomaly    -5.0c.

Mount   Sorrel             11.1c.    Anomaly    -3.0c.

My      Mean                10.2c.    Anomaly   -7.1c......

Just realized I forgot to enter the competition this month!

Doh!

If I had entered I'd have gone for 13.9.

Met Office Hadley      11.2c.      Anomaly    -1.7c.  provisional to 2nd.

Metcheck                  11.57c.    Anomaly   -2.58c.

Netweather               12.42c.    Anomaly   -1.69c.

Clevedon Weather     12.7c.      Anomaly   -4.4c.

Mount  Sorrel            12.1c.     Anomaly   -2.0c.

My Mean                   11.9c.    Anomaly   -5.4c.           

Met Office Hadley        11.8c.      Anomaly      -1.3c.

Metcheck                    11.95c.    Anomaly     -2.19c.

Netweather                 12.84c.    Anomaly    -1.27c.

Clevedon  Weather      12.9c.      Anomaly    -4.2c.

Mount  Sorrel              12.4c.     Anomaly     -1.7c.

My   Mean                   12.7c.    Anomaly       4.6c.          

Met Office Hadley     12.2c.    Anomaly    -1.0c.  provisional to 4th.

Metcheck                12.88c.   Anomaly    -1.26c.

Netweather             13.42c.   Anomaly    -0.69c.

Clevedon Weather    14.00c.  Anomaly    -3.1c.

Mount    Sorrel         13.4c.   Anomaly     -0.7c.

my       Mean           13.6c.   Anomaly     -3.7c.

The first half of June looks to be picking up where May left off. After a warm day today we can expect the next 5 days to be below average. After that temperatures should return to average. If this evening's runs are to be believed it may turn somewhat warmer than this but the models have been flipping about quite a bit over the last few days so a lot of uncertainty at the moment.

On the data below we could be nearly 0.5C below the 1971-2000 mean by the 19th.

It will be interesting to see the June CET for next year because for some quirk, Junes of years ending in "6" have tended to be on the warmer than average side, 4 of the top 5 warmest Junes end in a 6 and the CET average for a June ending in 6 is 14.8C

Also Junes with a CET of 16.0C or above seem to be often by a colder than average December, CET average of Decembers following a June of a 16.0C or above is about 3.2C

You are allowed to miss up to 2 predictions during the year and stay in the competition. So no problem. You have been allocated a prediction error for May based on a set formula which forms part of the rules of the competition. 

No problem Gavin. I'll let that prediction stand with a 3 day penalty (amounting to 0.6C).

For completeness I received one additional prediction back in May via PM from Tractor Boy for 13.6C

Here are the predictions for June. I fear that a large number of people are going to be way too high again this month. In fact as things stand we will do very well to get close to the 1981-2010 mean of 14.5C. So anyone who has predicted higher than this (which is nearly everyone) needs to start praying for a heatwave I think.

Thanks for the chart. Just got mat out with hands clasped for a soaring  last week or so..

Met Office Hadley     13.0c.    Anomaly      -0.2c.   Provisional to 5th.

Metcheck                 13.27c.  Anomaly      -0.88c.

Netweather              13.98c.  Anomaly      -0.13c.

Clevedon Weather     14.00c. Anomaly       -3.1c.

Mount   Sorrel           13.7c.   Anomaly      -0.4c.

My     Mean               14.1c.   Anomaly      -3.2c.

My   Annual   8.7c  Difference  3.0c.       

Same minor issue for me to, I went for 15.21c.

Post 3 Was for 15.91 for mine.....

Met Office Hadley      12.8c.     Anomaly       -0.4c.   Provisional to 6th.

Metcheck                  13.14c    Anomaly      -1.0c.

Netweather               13.82c.   Anomaly     -0.29c.

Clevedon Weather     13.9c.     Anomaly     -3.2c.

Mount Sorrel             13.6c.     Anomaly     -0.5c.

My mean                  13.9c.     Anomaly     -3.4c.

Lets hope. I can see from that list that my guesstimate of 15C is above average - but lower than many have gone for.

I have to say that I was jammy in going for 11C for May. I thought I had gone way too low a few days after submitting that figure.

I have to say that I'll do well to hold onto my No2 position for June unless there is a warm spell of sorts.

Interesting how this month will turn out. Been quite pleasant so far - obviously the cool nights will knock the CET down though.

Not so much the cool nights here but the lack of daytime warmth,we have only had one day of 20c+ since mid April (May 23rd)

The warmest day of 2015 was 23.8c on April 15th!!

It is the coldest start to June for many years here and would not be surprised if everyone has gone too high in their June cet predictions this year

A huge difference between this year and 2014!