theweatheroutlook

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Rob K
26 June 2015 16:16:06
The hottest finger of air is heading straight up Matty's back yard on this run :)

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1412.gif 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
yorkshirelad89
26 June 2015 16:16:20

Looks like the GFS stops the really exceptional uppers from reaching us on Wednesday as high pressure is closer by, the weaker low over Biscay doesn't quite give the plume that push we need for record breaking territory (it may be saving it for a later point!)


I think it's a good trade off though as something like this could bring more sustained heat. Looks like the chances of 1 very thundery day are also quite high too. The 20C isotherm now begins to make inroads on Thursday instead.


edit: the unusual synoptics mean even somewhere as far NW Stornaway could see some decent thunderstorms , when was the last time a plume really delivered some big storms for this area? May 2006?


Still high uncertainty over smaller details at this point.

Hull
Matty H
26 June 2015 16:18:51

12z out to Thursday night and it's an absolute peach for a lot of people. Into the 30s widely across England and Wales.


 


Even the Doc gets up to 14c on this run 

Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Gooner
26 June 2015 16:19:02

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn15017.gif


Hot


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn15617.gif


Ridiculously warm at night

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Whether Idle
26 June 2015 16:22:58


12z out to Thursday night and it's an absolute peach for a lot of people. Into the 30s widely across England and Wales.


 


Even the Doc gets up to 14c on this run 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Matty H
26 June 2015 16:23:20

Lol this is an incredible run

Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
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Whether Idle
26 June 2015 16:28:10


Lol this is an incredible run


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


I think the lesson here is Halloween 2014.  New records need near perfect synoptics. IF (BIG if) these synoptics come off then the July AND UK all time records are at threat.


October 31st brought us a whisker from 25C IIRC!  This one is going to be interesting. 


If we are still looking down the barrel of that plume for next week come Sunday evening, then things will get very interesting indeed.

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
WanderingLonelyAsACumulonimbusIncus
26 June 2015 16:30:57


Lol this is an incredible run


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


Yep, the plume just keeping the Atlantic at bay. More and more heat for us.  Still going strong on Saturday.

Malcolm UserPostedImage
Wakefield & Gothenburg, SWE
Quantum
26 June 2015 16:32:54


12z out to Thursday night and it's an absolute peach for a lot of people. Into the 30s widely across England and Wales.


 


Even the Doc gets up to 14c on this run 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


Holy crap that must be a record for Aberdeen by at least four degrees! 

2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Matty H
26 June 2015 16:33:05

 I'll bank this one please. Up to 5 successive days of temps in the 30s from Tuesday and still going on Saturday 

Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Rob K
26 June 2015 16:36:58


 I'll bank this one please. Up to 5 successive days of temps in the 30s from Tuesday and still going on Saturday 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


 


The 850s go above 20C on the south coast at 6pm Wednesday and don't go below 19C until just midnight Saturday/Sunday  

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
WanderingLonelyAsACumulonimbusIncus
26 June 2015 16:38:21


 I'll bank this one please. Up to 5 successive days of temps in the 30s from Tuesday and still going on Saturday 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


Lets hope the ECM and UKMO are on board with sustaining the heat through the weekend. I'd like it to be more than a one or two days affair. This GFS run is as perfect as can be 

Malcolm UserPostedImage
Wakefield & Gothenburg, SWE
Rob K
26 June 2015 16:38:46
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2161.gif 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Gooner
26 June 2015 16:39:24


 I'll bank this one please. Up to 5 successive days of temps in the 30s from Tuesday and still going on Saturday 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


and Sunday


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn21617.gif


 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


WanderingLonelyAsACumulonimbusIncus
26 June 2015 16:42:17

Eventually a section of the plume gets cut off by a trough and this would surely go bang in a big way! Originally Posted by: Rob K 

">http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2161.gif


Just about to ask that, thanks! Thought it looked like something thundery developing on Sunday. Just imagine the potential bang considering the 5 previous 30C days 

Malcolm UserPostedImage
Wakefield & Gothenburg, SWE
Arcus
26 June 2015 16:43:21
Not bad, if you like that kind of thing I suppose...
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif 

Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Matty H
26 June 2015 16:45:36

And it's stays hot, humid and sticky right into the following week as well

Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Phil G
26 June 2015 16:47:31
Matty H
26 June 2015 16:55:46

UKMO is decent as well. 

Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Jiries
26 June 2015 16:58:36

Had a good viewing on the 12z runs and really pleased to see it nationwide heat wave that all areas deserved to join the 30's temps after many of us had a very cool start to the summer and cold start in the north.  With uppers up to 22C so 36-38C would be reached at some point and very warm nights.  Also the dryness and lot of parched landscape which is odd how it form well despite a cool start to the summer.  This help to generate higher temps and plus don't see any rain to come for a long while so that helps.  I hope it stay firm as it been for few days now so likely to happen and we well overdue for some serious heat.  This heat wave path run from Spain to UK and Benelux but Germany and other European missed out with very warm temps instead.

The Beast from the East
26 June 2015 17:01:25


And it's stays hot, humid and sticky right into the following week as well


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


Yuk. Cant think of anything worse Stinking, sweaty slobs on the trains and buses, impossible to get any sleep at night. Drunken prats in the pubs.  Cant wait


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Rob K
26 June 2015 17:02:57
GFS sends a blob of >20C uppers spinning all the way up to Norway!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2402.gif 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
WanderingLonelyAsACumulonimbusIncus
26 June 2015 17:08:06


 


Yuk. Cant think of anything worse Stinking, sweaty slobs on the trains and buses, impossible to get any sleep at night. Drunken prats in the pubs.  Cant wait



Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


If you can't beat 'em, join 'em  GEM is another absolute belter. I'd be more nervous if it was on it's own but the support across the models is very encouraging 

Malcolm UserPostedImage
Wakefield & Gothenburg, SWE
Charmhills
26 June 2015 17:19:23

Not bad, if you like that kind of thing I suppose...
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif

Originally Posted by: Arcus 


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Charmhills
26 June 2015 17:21:46


 


Yuk. Cant think of anything worse Stinking, sweaty slobs on the trains and buses, impossible to get any sleep at night. Drunken prats in the pubs.  Cant wait



Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


I'm really glad I don't live in a big city with this sort of heat that's coming out way!

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.

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