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Quantum
26 June 2015 17:21:51

Am I missing something here? The GEM doesn't have 25C uppers


 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
LeedsLad123
26 June 2015 17:23:28


 


I'm really glad I don't live in a big city with this sort of heat that's coming out way!


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


I'm looking forward to it - sitting on a warm terrace at 10pm while it's still light and the temperature is warm - can't beat it.

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Rob K
26 June 2015 17:24:50


 


I'm looking forward to it - sitting on a warm terrace at 10pm while it's still light and the temperature is warm - can't beat it.


Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 


 


Likewise. It's rare to get real heat so close to the solstice when the evenings are still light. 

FWIW with the temp reaching 26-27C in London today the wind still had a bit of a chill to it at lunchtime. Need MOAR HEAT!!! 

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Charmhills
26 June 2015 17:25:58


 


I'm looking forward to it - sitting on a warm terrace at 10pm while it's still light and the temperature is warm - can't beat it.


Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 


You can keep the chavs thanks.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Quantum
26 June 2015 17:36:01

NAVGEM going battulipcrazy again


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Quantum
26 June 2015 17:37:02

Mods, can we open a thread just for the NAVGEM?



 

2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Arcus
26 June 2015 17:42:50


Mods, can we open a side ward just for the NAVGEM?


 


 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Fixed that for you, Q.

Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Quantum
26 June 2015 17:45:14

Hmm NAVGEM12Z is siberian compared to the 0Z. Temperatures maxing out at a pathetic 39C



(at 1pm so probably 40-41C at peak daytime heat).


Also I love that little 45C spot in Europe! 

2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Quantum
26 June 2015 17:51:23


41C at 7pm, You must be able to squeeze a 42C out of that at 4pm.


 

2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Charmhills
26 June 2015 18:03:40

NAVGEM has lost the plot!


The model should be pulled...

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Arcus
26 June 2015 18:08:05


NAVGEM has lost the plot!


The model should be pulled...


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


Where NAVGEM leads, others follow...


I think we can safely ignore NAVGEM's fevered ramblings, whilst wiping it's sweating brow with a cool dose of reality.

Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
26 June 2015 18:08:17



41C at 7pm, You must be able to squeeze a 42C out of that at 4pm.


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


These models always undercook the real max by a couple of degrees.


I think NAVGEM is coded with a different version of the laws of thermodynamics.


 

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
26 June 2015 18:09:31


NAVGEM has lost the plot!


The model should be pulled...


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


i would definitely pull it. Get yer coat NAVGEM.

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Jiries
26 June 2015 18:13:27

Will resume recording max and min temperatures as I don't want to miss out recording a heat wave and looking forward to see high temps figures for a change.  I kept looking at the lovely 41C chart over here and cannot imagine the BBC will show this 41C icon on the map.  Most likely in the mid 30's to high 30's figures.

Whether Idle
26 June 2015 18:16:18


Will resume recording max and min temperatures as I don't want to miss out recording a heat wave and looking forward to see high temps figures for a change.  I kept looking at the lovely 41C chart over here and cannot imagine the BBC will show this 41C icon on the map.  Most likely in the mid 30's to high 30's figures.


Originally Posted by: Jiries 


Good to see you posting Jiries and its clear that these forecasts of high temperatures have "got your fluids flowing" so to speak.

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Jiries
26 June 2015 18:20:13


 


Good to see you posting Jiries and its clear that these forecasts of high temperatures have "got your fluids flowing" so to speak.


Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 


 


Thanks and I only after proper heat waves during summer since it becoming rarer.


Just beautiful ensembles graph, just beautiful with firm agreement for 20C uppers.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png


Nick Gilly
26 June 2015 18:33:21
The GFZ 12z is showing the 576 dam line into Hampshire at +150 hours. Has it ever wandered that far north before?
Matty H
26 June 2015 18:33:30

Seem to recall NAVGEM being pants during the winter as well? Overcooking wintry potential like it's doing not with this heat?

Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Hungry Tiger
26 June 2015 18:36:26

I wonder what the forecast models will be saying tomorrow.


What amazes me about todays lot is that they are for only a 5 to 7 days ahead - not 2 or 3 weeks which often show fanciful and absurd temperatures.


 

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Ally Pally Snowman
26 June 2015 18:38:38

ECM still going for 20c 850s next week as well. July record must be under threat if it happens like this


 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1202.html


 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1442.html


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Quantum
26 June 2015 18:39:09

Please don't leave NAVGEM charts lying around, we don't want to give poor daily express writers hysterics! 


 

2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Hungry Tiger
26 June 2015 18:40:03


Please don't leave NAVGEM charts lying around, we don't want to give poor daily express writers hysterics! 


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Amazing the media hasn't picked up on those.


 

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Ally Pally Snowman
26 June 2015 18:42:05

Third day in a row with 20c 850s! Just crazy 


 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1682.html


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Hungry Tiger
26 June 2015 18:42:09


ECM still going for 20c 850s next week as well. July record must be under threat if it happens like this


 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1202.html


 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1442.html


 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Those are brilliant charts there and look very realistic indeed.


36.6C is what we have to beat to get a new July record.


 

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Ally Pally Snowman
26 June 2015 18:45:24


 


Those are brilliant charts there and look very realistic indeed.


36.6C is what we have to beat to get a new July record.


 


Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


 


Make that 4 days ina row with 20c 850s insane!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1922.html


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.

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