Donate to browse the TWO website without adverts until 31st December 2024. You'll also get access to extra features and supporting our ongoing development.
For full details please see Advert free access on our website.
Remove ads from site
Mon 26c
Tue 28c
Wed 32c
Thurs 30c
Fri 30c
Sat 33c
Kenley airfield, about 1.25miles away.Mon. 25cTue. 27cWed. 30cThu. 28cFri. 25cSat. 30c
Anyone else fancy a go at predicting the daytime highs for this working week at their closest station? I'll have a go at mine:
Filton:
Mon: 21c
Tues: 24c
Weds: 26c
Thurs: 22c
Fri: 25c
Originally Posted by: Matty H
I thought I'd be a tad conservative with my estimates, but going on the latest Local forecast I might actually be overestimating on some of those.
20.4C is the warmest you've had all year?? 😮
Originally Posted by: picturesareme
From this morning's BBC forecasts it seems to me that the thunder risk is now being downplayed. Words like 'chance of thunder' and 'isolated thunderstorms' are being used. Certainly no general thundery breakdown to cooler & fresher condiitions, well not this week anyway.
Originally Posted by: Col
I think the BBC are wisely not trying to show anything too specific at this range - it does not mean the risk isn't there. The MetO's outlook issued this morning certainly doesn't dismiss it:
"Very warm with sunny spells on Wednesday, but then thunderstorms likely later. Warm or very warm on Thursday with thundery showers. Mainly dry and warm on Friday, but showers later."
Gravesend
Mon: 25c
Tues: 28c
Weds: 30c
Thurs: 25c
Fri: 24c
not to mention Brighton Beach !
Originally Posted by: idot
and quotes of people "flocking" to places... like the said beach, or to parks, or water features.... People wont walk or drive there, they will "Flock" there.
Originally Posted by: Jonesy
I hope you are right Jonsey, but I think you are way too low, especially for Wednesday when I think 35°c will be closer to the mark. Thursday and Friday could also be 3 or 4 degrees up on the figures you have given.
Originally Posted by: Dougie
I hope I'm right as I don't want it any hotter when working/sleeping .... I'm hoping the Rain Thursday and Friday keeps it a touch cooler, obviously will feel warmer as will be humid and muggy.
Originally Posted by: Gooner
26c is looking a possibility , Sun is dominating the skies now , clouds have run for cover
Think we maxed out at 26.0C in Gravesend today, its about 1C higher than the 6Z GFS predicted and a full 3C higher than yesterday's 12Z.
Originally Posted by: Quantum
Pretty good bearing in mind uppers are to rise 10'c by Wednesday
Trying to check for thermal and solar radiation on station but I cant see any at the moment awaiting writtle college to confirm currently
Originally Posted by: Sevendust
But will humidity also rise?
I think this is going to harm the hot temp potential the most.
With regard to TSTMs, tomorrow's influx of heat and humidity looks relatively stable away from the cyclonic influence out west, but Northern Ireland, (and possibly some western areas of Wales and NW England, although inhibition looks more intact here) through SW Scotland into NE Scotland looks possible, although storms may well be well scattered and orographic forcing may be the deciding factor.
More general risk on Wednesday in western and central areas, with Wednesday night into Thursday looking more interesting for the SE and EA, but that's a ways off at the moment.
think that's going to be mighty close to record as winds swing slightly more s/e usual under cook 3 if not 4 c good depth of heat to our s/e
Well it's not purely down to uppers but winds will swing SEly so minimal cool SST effects in the SE.
Presumably if no storms or cloud develop then we have near maximum solar heating to contend with.
What effect humidity has remains to be seen but without cloud it will be very interesting.
BBC forecast just now showing 33'c for London with a hint it could be higher.
I also like that chart. Minimal risk here.
You got a bit ahead of yourself. The max today was always going to be very late in the day because the uppers are rapidly rising. Gravesend was showing 26.3C at 6pm and may well have gone a bit higher than that.
That looks fun and games on this mornings fax chart that cold front is moving very slowly in front of the 564 then the pivot as warm and 564 thickness expands north looks very good for action
The most vulernable record is probably the highest minimun. We have to get 24.0C to beat the all time record. Friday night/Tuesday night are both candidates, and we have a much bigger chance than of making the highest maximun because the plume has constantly stayed over the UK for that period.