Still a number of perturbations pointing towards a more average but seasonal feel courtesy of a brief polar maritime incursion between the 16-18th. Not enough confidence to give it credence though at this stage. 

Spot the Difference...well quite a few minor ones but the overall pastern remains stubbornly similar.  Wet for N and W, perhaps worryingly so by next weekend?

Phew - no prizes now for where one thinks this month is heading - Amazing. I like it - can't stand the cold. :-)

As many have commented, the Euroslug is the worst sort of beast - it is a cancerous gob of HP which will just sit where it is for a damnable eternity.

I think the Euroslug must have been crafted in Hell to create eternal damnation for those of us who like decent winter weather in these islands.

I am sure there must have been a good time to live in centuries past, before the euroslug materialised.

Okay no problem.

Simple Model Output- Southeast and South next 14 days- mainly mild conditions.  The West North and NW UK plus at times Central and NE UK windy with heavy rain heavy showers and often very windy, again for next 14 days.

This is indicated clearly by GFS 00z and 12z runs.

Until this scenario changes well not much for Southern third of UK to be excited about if any of you are thinking a change is still possible.

I will post here if there are any particularly cold weather Model Output.

This coming Friday many areas will be on the Cold and chilly side...☁️☁️✋🌛.

another 5 days on and I reckon things would look a lot more interesting regarding cold.

Main feature for the UK, is the deep low over Scotland 

Nothing like a Bartlet set up to.

I only have to see that the Model Output thread is not the most active thread, to know the output itself must be dire. No point in looking further.

Much like anything with Euro in the title.

YEP just heard its turning cooler than of late at end of the week, that will be nice to bring some fresher air in,

This weekend now firming up and a very decent set up indeed with a long fetch TM airmass with high pressure close by to the SE - could see high teens in any sunshine.
I still can't see any definitive evidence of any more 'seasonal' weather looking at the ENS spread and confidence stats. It as as its been now for several weeks - likely to be mild and often unsettled for the next ten days. Beyond that I'm not at all interested as you might as well write a romantic novel and claim it factual.

Well several hundred million people do hold certain fictional works of gobbledegook to be entirely factual. They give them titles like 'Bible', 'Quran', 'Torah'...

Certainly a cooling off of sorts though Neil??then a rise for a couple of days then its a pin the tail on the donkey job thereafter

Marcus I concede the brief cooler spell around the 14th looks to be on with a day's worth of a more Pm flow, thereafter back to the general WSW there methinks until day 10 which is the limit of credibility. Maybe another brief pM spell around the 17th.

You could say I'm not interested in the mild gunk we're having to put up with.

Hopefully December will finally bring about changes to something more seasonal even if it is stormy than so be it.

Well the outer reaches of the ECM run at least has a few days of cooler 850's over the UK, albeit nout more than what you'd expect for the time of year. GFS has rather less cooler stuff, with briefer interludes of cooler air sandwiched between yet more more or very mild fare, albeit windy and damp so not feeling too warm I'd guess

Still could be worse

Looks like this is the growing consensus now, at least for the next month. On the plus side, unsettled weather increases my snow risk with some snow likely this week and more so next week

I wondered when you were going to pop up Jacko4ever - we all know how much you love this vile weather.

You must be a very happy man, since you mostly get what you want (weahterwise) most of the time.

To be honest, I wish I could be like you, but I am an inveterate coldy unfortunately, doomed to year after year of teeth grinding frustration in these climes.