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Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
10 November 2015 02:15:33

Unbelievable its 2am and many stations still showing 17C. 


If I'm right in thinking the minimum record is based from 9am to 9pm, at this rate it could be something like 16.5C, 15.9C is almost certainty going to fall. 


WRF handed this surprisingly badly compared to the low res GFS which is weird. Even the GFS is underestimating by about 2C though, could we see 20C again tommorow? 


Certainty many northern stations will beat all time november records. 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
KevBrads1
10 November 2015 06:07:31
16.4C

Reminds me of November 1994. Feels almost tropical.
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Tim A
10 November 2015 06:25:48
An incredible 14.6c here this morning. Consistent through the night.
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

 My PWS 
snow 2004
10 November 2015 08:22:10
Already 17c down in Stockport and the sun is trying to come out. Feels so odd!
Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
bradders
10 November 2015 08:39:32

Already 17c down in Stockport and the sun is trying to come out. Feels so odd!

Originally Posted by: snow 2004 


it`s only 15.3C in Cheadle hulme on the outskirts of stockport.



Eric. Cheadle Hulme, Stockport.
bradders
10 November 2015 12:47:53

17C now.



Eric. Cheadle Hulme, Stockport.
LeedsLad123
10 November 2015 14:01:05
Overnight low was 15.8C. Now 18.4C and sunny.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
10 November 2015 14:07:14

Doncaster has hit 19C, I think that's about as far as we can go though. Without doubt record temperatures across Northern England. 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
redmoons
10 November 2015 14:52:10

Looks like it was the warmest November night on record 16.1 °C recorded at Murlough from met office.


Andrew,
Watford
ASL 35m
http://weather.andrewlalchan.co.uk 





Hungry Tiger
10 November 2015 14:58:54


Doncaster has hit 19C, I think that's about as far as we can go though. Without doubt record temperatures across Northern England. 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Is that another date record - must be.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
10 November 2015 16:31:38


 


Is that another date record - must be.


 


Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


I'd be amazed if it wasn't, however I also suspect its a regional month record. 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
10 November 2015 16:33:11


Looks like it was the warmest November night on record 16.1 °C recorded at Murlough from met office.


Originally Posted by: redmoons 


To clarify is "night" as in "night time minimun" defined as the period between 9pm and 9am?


 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Charmhills
10 November 2015 16:45:08

17c the high here today!


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
ARTzeman
10 November 2015 16:56:44

15.2c @ 12:07 No good at all....






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Andy J
10 November 2015 20:32:48

Maximum temp in the 24 hours up to 9am on Tuesday was 16C here, reached at 3.30 in the morning!  It was remarkable how the temperature just kept on climbing in the evening and into the early hours.   Although I haven't always kept temperature records, I'm pretty sure I've never known 16C on a November night here - for at least the last 30 years.


Topped out here on Tuesday at 17.1C, the warmest November day here since November 4th, 2010  (17.5C).    Yes it's amazing that such a severely wintry end to November that year was preceded just a few weeks before by unusual warmth.  Just shows what can happen! 


 


 


 


Gainsborough, Lincolnshire.
Foghorn
10 November 2015 23:49:38

Max 17.1 C, min of a whopping 15.2 C was the second warmest in the entire year, only 21st August was warmer!

Crepuscular Ray
11 November 2015 07:25:53
It was 16 C in Edinburgh yesterday despite being our 5th dark wet day in a row!
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Andy J
11 November 2015 15:44:23

Yet another exceptionally mild day here today, peaked at 16.3C earlier this afternoon.    This is the 7th consecutive day that the temp has reached or exceeded 15C here - quite remarkable.


 


Gainsborough, Lincolnshire.
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
11 November 2015 16:52:35

Tropical storm Katie looks to be tracking towards the UK, in the rather likely event it moves just to the north that would be an excellent way of bringing more long fetch south westerlies to our shore.


 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
ARTzeman
11 November 2015 17:08:06

Managed  15.3c. @ 12:26.....






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
springsunshine
11 November 2015 18:23:29

The mean temperature imby is 13.8c to date.


If this continues it will result in November being warmer than October and almost the same as September.


The lowest minimum so far this month is 9.8c

Stormchaser
12 November 2015 20:52:17


Managed to equal the 2000-2014 date record max here today, which effectively makes it 7 in a row from this incredibly warm spell of weather. Hardly surprising when you look across The Channel and find that France has often been up in the 20's this past fortnight!


The date record high minimums have also been slaughtered on 5 nights out of 7 which is impressive in itself. The new records are some 2-3*C above the old! I suspect that if I did have data for the 19th and 20th Centuries somehow, you'd have to go back to at least 1947 to equal the record, perhaps even as far as the late 19th Century based on recent CET stats offered by GW in his informative posts on the subject.


The latest GFS outlook suggests a few more exceptionally mild days and nights to come within the next 10 days, but more intermittently than has been the case this past week. Not one nighttime minimum looks to fall as low as the LTA, though, until around 21st November. The chart does now show the first signs of the dramatic cool down that the models are toying with starting around 10 days from now, but there's enough uncertainty that a milder outcome can't be discounted yet.


I wouldn't be surprised if we did see a notable transition to chilly conditions, only for mild to very mild conditions to make a comeback after some 3-5 days.


 


Edit: Just looked at the average anomaly for the past 16 days and it comes out at +4.29*C. For the previous 16 it was -0.23*C so we really have seen a change of note, from near average to well above. Roll the days back to early September and it was typically 1 or 2*C colder than the LTA.


Put it all together and it's been a strange autumn in which the temperature hasn't fallen anywhere near as much as it usually does; the 24 hour mean for 1st-11th Nov stands at 11.98 compared to 11.28 for the month of October and 13.24 for September.


So it's cooled off by a little over 1*C, whereas during a typical year the first 10 days of Nov come in 6.5*C cooler than the month of September! 


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Gusty
14 November 2015 20:46:46

The warm front has passed and temperatures are back in their +13c November 2015 comfort zone. Another remarkably mild night is on the way. 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
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doctormog
14 November 2015 21:01:24
Impressive stuff Steve. Here on the "other side" it is a relatively chilly 3°C or so. In between...wet.
Gusty
14 November 2015 21:45:46

Impressive stuff Steve. Here on the "other side" it is a relatively chilly 3°C or so. In between...wet.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Let them keep it. 


 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



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