Remove ads from site

14 December 2015 22:10:44


 


Yeah, sorry, I meant mean max; not mean temperature. What was the mean maximum at that date GW?


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


Mean max for the first 8 days of the month was 12.82C an anomaly of +4.62C


The anomaly for the mean minimum was even higher. Mean min to 8 Dec was 8.53C with anomaly of +5.70C

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
15 December 2015 06:54:25
The forecast keeps getting more extreme:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?PLZ=WC2R&PLZN=London&LANG=en&CEL=C&SI=mph&CONT=ukuk&LAND=SOU®ION=0003&WMO=03772&LEVEL=52&R=0&NOREGION=0 

London maxes:

13,15,17,14,16,15,15,15

8 days in a row with max temps above what we usually see in an entire winter.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Stormchaser
15 December 2015 10:35:44

15th-22nd mean temperatures from GFS op runs for my location in rural west Hants (just south of Salisbury):


12th 12z: 10.4*C


14th 12z: 11.7*C


15th 00z: 12.2*C


 


That's quite an upward trend given how anomalous the values already are. This seems to be down to the milder air not being pushed away east so quickly, as the Atlantic makes less inroads against the Euro High. Typical over-progressive GFS issues?


If we then correct for the overly low nighttime minimums GFS has been producing of late, a value near 13*C looks achievable for that 8-day period. That wouldn't be a long way off three times the LTA.


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
moomin75
15 December 2015 10:41:26
My worry is that if and when winter does kick in the early flowering will be destroyed and when spring arrives we will see no daffs, blossoms or anything else associated with spring. This ridiculous spell is playing havoc with nature. Have some nesting birds in the garden which is unheard of.
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
LeedsLad123
15 December 2015 10:48:31

The forecast keeps getting more extreme:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?PLZ=WC2R&PLZN=London&LANG=en&CEL=C&SI=mph&CONT=ukuk&LAND=SOU&REGION=0003&WMO=03772&LEVEL=52&R=0&NOREGION=0

London maxes:

13,15,17,14,16,15,15,15

8 days in a row with max temps above what we usually see in an entire winter.

Originally Posted by: TimS 


The same forecast for Leeds has maxes of 11, 16, 16, 14, 17, 14, 17, 14. I doubt it'll be that mild personally but we'll see.


More remarkably it has lows of 10C and above for 5 consecutive days.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Rob K
15 December 2015 13:04:54


If we then correct for the overly low nighttime minimums GFS has been producing of late, a value near 13*C looks achievable for that 8-day period. That wouldn't be a long way off three times the LTA.


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 


Er... Celsius temperature doesn't work that way, but I take your point! 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Stormchaser
15 December 2015 15:41:46


Er... Celsius temperature doesn't work that way, but I take your point! 


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Your last name isn't Kelvin is it? 


 


Weirdly, some hints of buds on one or two trees around here. Surely not?


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
JHutch
15 December 2015 16:08:21

15.3C at Bude (Cornwall)

Larry Seinfeld
15 December 2015 16:36:53


15.3C at Bude (Cornwall)


Originally Posted by: JHutch 


Looking at the list of records that Bertwhistle posted the record for today is 16.3c in Prestatyn (1982). Saturday Looks like the mostly likely record breaking day as we only have to beat 15.5c in Hemsby, Norfolk (1993).


 http://www.torro.org.uk/hightempsyear.php


WMB
  • WMB
  • Advanced Member
15 December 2015 17:03:16

Just had a look at the upper air temperatures for Thursday. I think they are colder over a lot of Sudan!

Devonian
15 December 2015 20:18:51

I see there are (presumably foehn assisted) 20's on the N coast of Spain now and several 18s around N Portugal.

Gusty
15 December 2015 20:36:44

The exceptionally mild days long progged for the 17th December and 19th December appear to now be joined by the 22nd December too. More so for the south.  Chilly over the higher ground of Scotland though.


Modele GFS - Carte prévisions


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



KevBrads1
16 December 2015 06:24:02
I think my outdoor thermometer is mild ramping, it is reading 15.6C?! Must be reading too high.
MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
stophe
16 December 2015 13:20:17
14.c at Stansted at the moment. Don't know what the record for today is but it must be pretty close.
Tim A
16 December 2015 15:29:49

11.5c here but cloudy and damp so doesn't feel great. 


Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

 My PWS 
Hungry Tiger
16 December 2015 15:45:49

I think my outdoor thermometer is mild ramping, it is reading 15.6C?! Must be reading too high.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


I've been up to 15C today Kevin.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Stormchaser
16 December 2015 16:21:23

There were a few faint sunny spells early this afternoon and it felt ridiculously springlike outside. I was walking along with my light (summer) jacket open! Even accounting for the fact that I seem to feel the cold less than most, that's quite something for mid-Dec.


As usual though, there were quite a number of people walking around in winter coasts just because of the time of year. That's long puzzled me, I'd be boiling on a day like this! Speaking of which, it was way to warm in all but one of the shops I visited at lunchtime. Bah, humbug! 


Currently, it's a shade under 14*C and the sun's gone down. With thick cloud having moved in, the temp may not drop much at all tonight.


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
springsunshine
16 December 2015 16:26:30

13.9c here in Bournemouth and 14.4c in Wareham.

Fothergill
16 December 2015 16:40:44

While walking in the mountains earlier I could easily have been wearing a t-shirt and felt warm, no exaggeration. Warm, humid and no wind - it felt quite muggy.

roger63
16 December 2015 19:16:44

My car thermometer recorded at 12.30 pm 17c in Twickenham.What was the official highest temp today?

Bertwhistle
16 December 2015 19:28:21


My car thermometer recorded at 12.30 pm 17c in Twickenham.What was the official highest temp today?


Originally Posted by: roger63 


I found a few sources that quote 15C for today but I don't think they're official. Heathrow got a 15.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Whether Idle
16 December 2015 19:38:59


 


I found a few sources that quote 15C for today but I don't think they're official. Heathrow got a 15.


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 

Gravesend made 15.0 I think


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Rob K
16 December 2015 19:50:34

Warmest I could find on the official list:

Hawarden 15.3 (North Wales foehn FTW!)
Heathrow and Gravesend 15.2
Yeovilton 15.1
Northolt 15.0


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Whether Idle
16 December 2015 19:53:31


Warmest I could find on the official list:

Hawarden 15.3 (North Wales foehn FTW!)
Heathrow and Gravesend 15.2
Yeovilton 15.1
Northolt 15.0


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Looks about right.  It felt unnaturally warm out there today.  We are living through warm interesting with records falling almost on a monthly basis, I wonder why?


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
lanky
16 December 2015 20:15:40


My car thermometer recorded at 12.30 pm 17c in Twickenham.What was the official highest temp today?


Originally Posted by: roger63 


Nearby Kew Gardens reporting 15.3 at 12:00 today


Martin
Richmond, Surrey

Remove ads from site

Ads