theweatheroutlook

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doctormog
24 December 2015 21:40:14
Right, do we have time for one final pre-Christmas treat? Will the pub run have been at Santa's sherry or will the post Christmas period just show more rain (dear?)
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
White Meadows
24 December 2015 21:48:37
Welcome Gandalf, I've missed your input so far this winter.
White Meadows
24 December 2015 22:10:13
18z looking like following the 12z so far...
Quantum
24 December 2015 22:17:01

Well the 12Z parallel goes insane towards the end with this


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Russwirral
24 December 2015 22:18:28
18z showing higher pressure over the med... my spidey sense is telling me this run will show the cold weather heading to athens.

Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
Quantum
24 December 2015 22:21:28

not what people are hoping for but the bigger picture is still interesting


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
SEMerc
24 December 2015 22:32:27

Looks like the block to the East is holding out better on this run.


Even less data?

Saint Snow
24 December 2015 22:37:15


Well the 12Z parallel goes insane towards the end with this



Originally Posted by: Quantum 


 


That's a corker 


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Gusty
24 December 2015 22:40:27

Experience tells me something is brewing when you see charts like this 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Quantum
24 December 2015 22:45:00


Experience tells me something is brewing when you see charts like this 



Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Me too, if we can get to this point then a cold spell is all but inevitable; getting here is the difficulty though. We need to get that siberian high established.


 

2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Karl Guille
24 December 2015 22:46:59
Could just be large dollops of jam tomorrow on this run!😀
St. Sampson
Guernsey
SEMerc
24 December 2015 22:47:14

Oh.....T+240 onwards is rapidly turning into weather porn.

Whether Idle
24 December 2015 22:47:47

On the 12th day of Christmas the pub-run gave to me.... a blizzard in an easterly...


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Gusty
24 December 2015 22:49:19


 Me too, if we can get to this point then a cold spell is all but inevitable; getting here is the difficulty though. We need to get that siberian high established.


 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Indeed Quantum..216 hours is a long way away. A new trend is emerging though. Lets hope that it is still showing on the 27th December. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Whether Idle
24 December 2015 22:50:54

One of the best FI charts of the "modern era"


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
GlenH
24 December 2015 22:51:43
18z had the same evolution as the 12z parallel - Armageddon!
Whether Idle
24 December 2015 22:53:00

18z had the same evolution as the 12z parallel - Armageddon!

Originally Posted by: GlenH 


Merry Christmas and a new year

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Gusty
24 December 2015 22:57:08


 


Merry Christmas and a new year


Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 


This could.. just could happen. Time to start believing 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



pdiddy
24 December 2015 22:58:36

and heights in to Greenland to finish = cherry on top!


SEMerc
24 December 2015 22:59:20

Oh ....and to top it off.... some nice WAA into Greenland at the end. Reload further down the line?

Karl Guille
24 December 2015 22:59:23
Even little old Guernsey gets in on the act this time with some classic easterly type charts from winters of yester-year!😜 Won't happen like that of course but interest is certainly growing for something with an easterly flavour in the New Year. First tantalising charts of this winter but we should not forget how often these things can go wrong. Interesting times!
St. Sampson
Guernsey
Polar Low
24 December 2015 22:59:31

It cant it is not allowed pattern matching and all that it was mild in dec 


 



 


This could.. just could happen. Time to start believing 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 

picturesareme
24 December 2015 23:01:50
It's just the annual Xmas freeze charts... I'm not buying into just yet. Seems like the same thing happens every year.
moomin75
24 December 2015 23:01:54


One of the best FI charts of the "modern era"



Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

Hmmm.  Where's our friend "Shropshire" Melanie gone? 


Missing data? If not, based on this run I think we can say in true Andy Woodcock style Autumn is over.


Merry Christmas all. This will verify 100% to deny me another winter wonderland. Don't know why i decided to go to Australia for the first time since December 2010..... 😂😂😂


Also was in Australia January 1987, February 1991 AND December 1995. I kid you not. 

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Ally Pally Snowman
24 December 2015 23:01:55

What an amazing run one of these days a run like this will happen we could be on the verge of something very special.  Happy Christmas everybody. 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.

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