GEFS12z looks quite choppy later on but I've not taken a look at the postage stamps yet:

P12 wins the 'isn't it pretty' award - the rest seem to be a mix of UK HPs, Euro HPs and displaced Azores HPs ridging mid-atlantic. Not too exciting but seasonal enough for the most part.

Edit: Should mention that was looking at T360.

For the extreme north the cold spell never ends.

Has the mood ever been so despondent while the -10C 850hpa line lies in the north of Scotland at 120 hours! 

Cold air moving south by 192 hours. Temperatures unlikely to rise above 0C in Scotland on this.

The polar vortex on the ECM at 192 hours.

Over the East china seas again! A whopping 1050mb high over the north pole threatens to link with the mid Atlantic ridge. 

Shame the trough cant push across quickly. All that cold air wasted in the Atlantic

Bet you wish you'd gone cold on ye CET predictions now!

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2016010312/ECH0-216.GIF?03-0

Finally, "the wall is breached and winter is coming" Jon Snow

I think Steve (Gusty) will be back before long

You undercut  me at the last minute 

Best run of the Winter

ROFL 1055mb high causes cold flow direct from Siberia! 

Stonker of a run! 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2016010312/ECH1-240.GIF?03-0

If this one gets snatched away from us, I think I really will give up for real

And it's only 10 days away 

Ta ra chuck!

That does not tell the whole truth Q its even better with instability running from nn/w 

Not being pessimistic but wouldn't put any money on this happening owing to being disappointed so many times in the past, even when seeming nailed on. Don't set yourself up for a fall.

EDIT: In response to Beast from the East post.

I only wish I could see the extended ECM OP, Further height rise over greenland threatens to send those ultra low uppers towards scandanavia. 

To be fair this is going to be an outlier, we won't get a 1055mb high with 552dm heights, however a gradual transition to cold is on the cards with cold beginning to seep down from the north over the next 240 hours.

a little later appears to fill in statue in  cold uppers 

Then at that time look nnw

I must say I wasn't expecting to see an ECM run quite like that!

Quite likely it'll be an outlier, but generally speaking, there does seem to have been some rather more interesting model op runs appearing at times since Christmas Eve than had been the case for many weeks beforehand.

We need the Jam at 7-10 days nearer and repeated its only one run guys, we cant keep chasing the dragon we really need cold now quite Badly now time is ticking.

I agree. We should keep our feet firmly on the ground meantime and hope that such charts get a bit closer to the more reliable timeframe over the coming few days.

That said, it sure makes a change from all the runs of the past couple of months showing a continuation of mild & zonal dross. The only occasions during November & December when I can clearly recall any of the more reliable models showing anything remotely interesting was back in late Nov/early Dec when a few GFS op runs went for major height rises over Greenland in deep FI. Unfortunately they had no support from other models are the idea of a pressure rise over Greenland was dropped soon afterwards. Let's hope for a different eventual outcome this time.

looks crap for the south compared to some past runs in the last few weeks.