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phlippy67
Monday, January 18, 2016 11:05:52 AM
After 2 days of waking up to blue skies and a crisp frost...today it's back to grey, dank, drizzle...!!..hope the next 'Cold' spell isn't far away...
kmoorman
Monday, January 18, 2016 11:23:21 AM


 


This. I remember those very cold midwinters past, when a winter actually lived up to its name. I remember truly cold biting winds, icicles (that lasted for many days and grew to impressive sizes), and excitedly waiting for those famed snow events to arrive! And all of this in the south of England! I'm sure we'll experience these again, but it sure is frustrating today (for me at least) when a cold spell is almost described on TV in the same way those winters past were. There is no comparison. So for me it's back to model watching hoping for something similar to what I experienced back then.


Originally Posted by: Wobbly_Monk 


 


It was those truly cold winter spells (and the summer of '76) of the late 70s and early to mid 80s that got me so interested in Meteorology.  I lived across the road from the sea (on Shoreham Beach, Sussex) yet we would have weeks of hard frosts, ice days weren't uncommon and snow / deep snow was something that happened.   I know memory tends to edit / condense the past into the highlights, but I remember recording days where the temp stayed below -2C and it snowed for day after day.


My kids would love a proper mid-winter Easterly.


Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968
Justin W
Monday, January 18, 2016 11:50:56 AM


 


 


It was those truly cold winter spells (and the summer of '76) of the late 70s and early to mid 80s that got me so interested in Meteorology.  I lived across the road from the sea (on Shoreham Beach, Sussex) yet we would have weeks of hard frosts, ice days weren't uncommon and snow / deep snow was something that happened.   I know memory tends to edit / condense the past into the highlights, but I remember recording days where the temp stayed below -2C and it snowed for day after day.


My kids would love a proper mid-winter Easterly.


Originally Posted by: kmoorman 


 


January 12, 1987



The coldest day I have ever experienced in southern England. The daytime maxima in Smarden, Kent, was -8.5C following heavy snowfall overnight.


Nothing since has come close.


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Shropshire
Monday, January 18, 2016 12:17:39 PM


I'm not moaning about the cold spell as such, although it's not gone below freezing since it started.

No, I'm moaning about the way that the midwinter easterly seems to have gone extinct. This is now the 19th year since the last one (which was in January 1997) - just what is it that's changed to make them impossible? In the 19 years prior to 1997 we had loads of them* and a winter containing some ice days (-1C or below) wasn't considered that unusual.

The last winter easterly was in 2005, but it was so late in the season it was just a slushy mess rather than deep cold: we had 14 days in a row with snow falling and snow on the ground, but it was melting all the while. No icicles, no ice days - just slushy snow. Yet before 1997 we didn't have all this "will it, won't it" with easterlies - you would read in the papers or see on TV that cold was coming and it did - the only question was whether you'd get 3 inches of snow or a foot. Remember, I'm on an island jutting out into the North Sea, so in an easterly we get absolutely plastered.

It's depressing that the youngsters around here haven't seen proper cold... something that was once taken for granted is now something only found in the history books!

I daresay we will get another easterly one of these days, maybe even in February, but I'll not be holding my breath. The only fun thing will be seeing how the forecasters on TV describe it - if they use "bitterly cold" to describe temperatures above freezing, I'd love to know how they'd describe a high of -2C with persistent light snow and a stiff easterly breeze!


* I know I've had arguments with people about this before, but the 80s were littered with easterlies and even the 90s had a few: 90/1, 93/4, 95/6 and of course 96/7.


Originally Posted by: Retron 


 


I think we have seen a clear change in our winter patterns since the late eighties, achieving stable High latitude blocking in the winter months has been near impossible. Certainly prior to that easterly in Feb 2005, it was being widely discussed on weather forums if blocking of that magnitude would ever be seen again in the British winter; so scarce have easterly synoptics been 


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Justin W
Monday, January 18, 2016 12:25:27 PM


 


 


I think we have seen a clear change in our winter patterns since the late eighties, achieving stable High latitude blocking in the winter months has been near impossible. Certainly prior to that easterly in Feb 2005, it was being widely discussed on weather forums if blocking of that magnitude would ever be seen again in the British winter; so scarce have easterly synoptics been 


Originally Posted by: Shropshire 


I don't disagree with that. We've had blocking of that magnitude in years since but it has been to the north and west of the UK rather than to the north and east - notably during December 2010. GHs are pretty pants down here so that's why the southerners on TWO (me included) tend to whinge and whine about them.


The question is whether the the lack of HLB to the north and east of the UK during the last 20 years is permanent. I suspect that the answer is not given that there were similar Scandinavian high droughts during the 1920s/30s and 1960s/70s.


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Solar Cycles
Monday, January 18, 2016 12:26:11 PM


 


 


I think we have seen a clear change in our winter patterns since the late eighties, achieving stable High latitude blocking in the winter months has been near impossible. Certainly prior to that easterly in Feb 2005, it was being widely discussed on weather forums if blocking of that magnitude would ever be seen again in the British winter; so scarce have easterly synoptics been 


Originally Posted by: Shropshire 

kmoorman
Monday, January 18, 2016 12:26:47 PM


 


 


January 12, 1987



The coldest day I have ever experienced in southern England. The daytime maxima in Smarden, Kent, was -8.5C following heavy snowfall overnight.


Nothing since has come close.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


 


Yep - I was keeping weather records back then and even where I was on the coast it was below -4C for 48 hours in a row, with snow.


Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968
Brian Gaze
Monday, January 18, 2016 12:41:54 PM


 


I don't disagree with that. We've had blocking of that magnitude in years since but it has been to the north and west of the UK rather than to the north and east - notably during December 2010. GHs are pretty pants down here so that's why the southerners on TWO (me included) tend to whinge and whine about them.


The question is whether the the lack of HLB to the north and east of the UK during the last 20 years is permanent. I suspect that the answer is not given that there were similar Scandinavian high droughts during the 1920s/30s and 1960s/70s.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


 Spot on IMO. 


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Saint Snow
Monday, January 18, 2016 12:50:26 PM



Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


 


Indeed.



 



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KevBrads1
Monday, January 18, 2016 2:04:32 PM


 


I don't disagree with that. We've had blocking of that magnitude in years since but it has been to the north and west of the UK rather than to the north and east - notably during December 2010. GHs are pretty pants down here so that's why the southerners on TWO (me included) tend to whinge and whine about them.


The question is whether the the lack of HLB to the north and east of the UK during the last 20 years is permanent. I suspect that the answer is not given that there were similar Scandinavian high droughts during the 1920s/30s and 1960s/70s.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


I think it needs to be pointed out that the two blocks are not the same not just only because of their locations  A Greenland high block is in effect, an Omega block as what happened in 2009-10, whilst a Scandi high block is actually a Rex block. Infact an easterly flow across just requires high pressure to the north of the UK. The New Year easterly flow was just high pressure sat to the north.


The problem with an easterly is that there has to be a cold pool source to tap into. The charts for early December 2002 look synoptically spectacular but there was no decent cold pool to tap into.


I think this is what makes it even harder to get a real decent easterly. You need a Rex block and a cold pool to tap into. 


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Snow Hoper
Monday, January 18, 2016 2:24:57 PM


 


I don't disagree with that. We've had blocking of that magnitude in years since but it has been to the north and west of the UK rather than to the north and east - notably during December 2010. GHs are pretty pants down here so that's why the southerners on TWO (me included) tend to whinge and whine about them.


The question is whether the the lack of HLB to the north and east of the UK during the last 20 years is permanent. I suspect that the answer is not given that there were similar Scandinavian high droughts during the 1920s/30s and 1960s/70s.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


B*gger! That means we have to wait until at least 2020 to get a proper one again


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Chichesterweatherfan2
Monday, January 18, 2016 4:03:16 PM
Have to agree Retron....even at lunchtime today the BBC forecaster referred to it being bitterly cold😀..when temps here are around 4-5 degrees...sure it feels cold today...but by using the word 'bitter' what is left if it really was -3deg celesius and a 30 mph easterly wind blowing!

I am reminded of Feb 1979...living in SE London..I remember a couple of absolutely bitter days...not lots of snow but what there was lay on the ground, blowing around...and puddles of ice were absolutely rock solid.....we also seems to have very few eastlerleys bring in snow showers to the east/south east....I can't remember when we last had that type of weather ...cold with snow showers that would melt when sun came out...next shower would leave a couple of 2cms...followed by melt and so on.....as a child I remover a lot of this type of weather inLondon often during March.....
Tim A
Monday, January 18, 2016 9:23:36 PM
My snow has all but gone now. Constant drizzle for the last 24 hrs and a temperature of 1.5c.
Disappointed that we couldn't get any real dry and frosty weather out of this spell which would have made the snow more enjoyable .
Definately wasn't a lack of precipitation in this 'cold spell' infact we have only had one dry day.
Tim
NW Leeds
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richardabdn
Monday, January 18, 2016 10:11:35 PM

Barely made it below freezing last night followed by another disgusting grey start for the 16th day out of 18. Then this evening it rained and it's still 1.4C despite a maximum of only 2.4C


Absolutely disgusting. This cold spell isn't even good enough to register alongside the very worst. A score of 0/10 would be far too generous. It's not fit for purpose and would be an embarrassment in November never mind January


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Bertwhistle
Monday, January 18, 2016 10:14:28 PM


Barely made it below freezing last night followed by another disgusting grey start for the 16th day out of 18. Then this evening it rained and it's still 1.4C despite a maximum of only 2.4C


Absolutely disgusting. This cold spell isn't even good enough to register alongside the very worst. A score of 0/10 would be far too generous. It's not fit for purpose and would be an embarrassment in November never mind January


Originally Posted by: richardabdn 


Cheers Richard. I really was having a tough day until I read about yours.


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phlippy67
Monday, January 18, 2016 11:31:49 PM
Just seen the latest BBC f/cast and TS showed a very strong Jet arcing over Scotland and into northern Baltic region at the beginning of next week bringing an easterly airflow over the UK dragging very cold air our way...there's hope out there...
NeilM
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 2:00:42 AM

Well tonight is by far the coldest of the winter so far at -1.7C, and actually the coldest since Feb last year, and it is only the third below 0C this winter, last night and the 16th Jan being the other two, plus I had a single -0.4C in November (autumn).


Really shows how mild it has been in general.


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Saint Snow
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 11:39:31 AM

What an amazing big freeze this is! The min temp last night was +2.9c, and it's currently striggling to get over +4c.


Wowsers. Let the panic-buying begin.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
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phlippy67
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 2:21:30 PM
My thoughts exactly too...for the past few of years I've noticed that we are getting winter charts in summer, ie Greenland/Scandi Highs and the as soon as Sept/Oct comes around there's a socking great Azores High, here on the east coast last August we had a succession of Lows traversing the N.Sea bringing Nly/Ely gales with temps of 8-12degC, we even had a couple of light frosts...! very depressing...I have a theory too that the earth isn't tilting as far north as it used to as there's a lot more heat in the winter sun now than 20yrs ago...hence proper cold spells are becoming quite rare...
Saint Snow
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 2:54:42 PM

Anyone else getting that 'WIO' feeling?



It's certainly been a pile of poo so far.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Justin W
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 3:23:53 PM


Anyone else getting that 'WIO' feeling?



It's certainly been a pile of poo so far.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I'm starting to feel that way, Saint.


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
LeedsLad123
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 5:23:57 PM
I'm not really bothered if we don't get a decent spell of snow or cold - I've given up on that. I just don't want a return to the horrendous weather we saw in December - frequent rain, very low sunshine and exceptional flooding. The very thought of it sends me into a semi-depressive state and I don't know if I can tolerate any more of that.

February 2008 would be fantastic - mild, sunny and dry, but with some harsh overnight frosts and even one ice day thanks to a freezing fog episode.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Retron
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 5:43:45 PM

A quick moan about useless temperature forecasts.

Yesterday morning's forecast for today from the Met Office for SE England was for a high of 1C, with "some rural areas remaining below freezing all day"). Odd, I thought, as the auto-forecast had 3C for here.

Yesterday evening's forecast upped it to 2C (bearing in mind this is for the whole of the SE, including London).

This morning it was 3C and the wording about rural areas staying below freezing had gone.

In the end, what did we get under sparkling sunshine this afternoon? 5C here, 5C in London, 5C in Herstmonceux, 5C in Shoeburyness and Langdon Bay, 5C in Southampton - you get the idea.

What on earth posessed them to write a forecast for a high of just 1C, even as the models were going for a couple of degrees more? And realistically even that would be too low, as the sun has enough of a kick to it already to warm the air quite effectively on a still, calm day with low dewpoints...

Ah well, at least we've had a run of days with highs of 5C here... that's a degree or so below average.


(And that some areas having an ice day forecast? Horse manure, frankly. As far as I can tell nowhere in the SE had an ice day!)


Leysdown, north Kent
phlippy67
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 10:49:36 PM
So it looks like it's all gone tits up cold weather wise for the foreseeable future ...can't believe how poor the last 3 winters, I wasn't in UK for Mar'13, have been, how I long for those sullen grey days of the 70s which remained below freezing, with snow falling heavily and regularly out of the sky, and the land would remain white for a week or two, when the milk on your doorstep would freeze, or the Blue Tits would get to it first. Makes me laugh when you see a headline on BBC news...'Why is it so cold...?'...just because the south has had temps of -8degC overnight, i'll tell you the reason why...it's bloody winter and that's how it's meant to be...a lot of this modern population would die if they'd lived through the winters of the the 60s/70s...
LeedsLad123
Tuesday, January 19, 2016 11:20:28 PM

So it looks like it's all gone tits up cold weather wise for the foreseeable future ...can't believe how poor the last 3 winters, I wasn't in UK for Mar'13, have been, how I long for those sullen grey days of the 70s which remained below freezing, with snow falling heavily and regularly out of the sky, and the land would remain white for a week or two, when the milk on your doorstep would freeze, or the Blue Tits would get to it first. Makes me laugh when you see a headline on BBC news...'Why is it so cold...?'...just because the south has had temps of -8degC overnight, i'll tell you the reason why...it's bloody winter and that's how it's meant to be...a lot of this modern population would die if they'd lived through the winters of the the 60s/70s...

Originally Posted by: phlippy67 


You're not one of those silly old people who thinks 1963 was an annual occurrence, are you?


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.

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