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Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
02 July 2016 12:52:05

Hello folks,


Here's the week ahead forecast video;


http://www.gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html


Here's the traditional written Thoughts;


http://www.gavsweathervids.com/written.html


A changeable week ahead...


If you haven't seen it yey, Terry's July forecast was released last night:


http://www.gavsweathervids.com/terryscholey.html


Will have CANSIPS Saturday later this evening looking at the next six months (JFF) with the CANIPS model.


Tomorrow I've got the Winter 2016/2017 NAO Forecast!


Thanks as always for your support and to Brian and the mods for making it happen! 


EDIT: Here's the Winter 2016/17 NAO Forecast: http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
ARTzeman
02 July 2016 13:59:50

Thank You Gavin.. Great South Westerly Weather again...






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
idj20
02 July 2016 14:00:41

Cheers as always, Mr GP. Continuing to be good for the lawn.


Folkestone Harbour. 
Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
03 July 2016 09:05:21

^^^^


Thanks both! 


Here we go then, here's the NAO Forecast For Winter 2016/17;


http://www.gavsweathervids.com/


This will be our starting point for the Winter updates when they get underway in September.


Will add this to a brand new Winter 16/17 updates page with a written summary later.


 


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Solar Cycles
03 July 2016 09:27:39

Thanks Gav, though I'm not a big fan of using the NAO index going forward. Let's hope we don't see solar output ramp up as approach Autumn/Winter.

Windy Willow
03 July 2016 16:04:47

Thanks Gavin.


South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!
Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
03 July 2016 16:16:01

Thanks guys! 


SC, I certainly wouldn't want to base an entire winter forecast on the NAO forecast but it does work as a starting point/base on which to build through the autumn.


Have created a Winter 2016/17 forecast/updates page and added NAO forecast with a written summary if you can't watch the video;


http://www.gavsweathervids.com/winter2016-17-forecast-uk.php


 


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
SJV
03 July 2016 16:24:07
Thanks for your thoughts as ever, Gavin!
sizzle
03 July 2016 17:06:59

thanks gavin all ways watching your vids and reading up on your twitter enjoyed the first winter musing video today hopefully we might get a better winter this year.and a BIG THANKS to terry scholey for his monthly forecast always a fantastic read. and nice to see terry doing the occasional weekly forecast too, cheers guys

schmee
03 July 2016 20:26:58
Again I tilt my hat to you sir. Thank you Gavin
Observations from around GUILDFORD in SURREY and now Nottingham
some faraway beach
03 July 2016 22:25:58


Thanks guys! 


SC, I certainly wouldn't want to base an entire winter forecast on the NAO forecast but it does work as a starting point/base on which to build through the autumn.


Have created a Winter 2016/17 forecast/updates page and added NAO forecast with a written summary if you can't watch the video;


http://www.gavsweathervids.com/winter2016-17-forecast-uk.php


 


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


A good read. Measured and tells us what we need to know at this stage.


A UK winter with no clear signal at this stage could still be a good one. Eleven weeks of mild westerly disappointment wrapped around a frozen fortnight in January where it all finally comes right would suit me fine after the last couple of winters here.


2 miles west of Taunton, 32 m asl, where "milder air moving in from the west" becomes SNOWMAGEDDON.
Well, two or three times a decade it does, anyway.

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