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Arcus
19 July 2016 12:39:07


 


Well thats a bit of an exageration; 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


That's also a different chart!


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
fullybhoy
19 July 2016 12:40:20
27c here with a dp of 16
Aldo
Glasgow 165m/asl
 
Quantum
19 July 2016 12:44:27


 


That's also a different chart!


Originally Posted by: Arcus 


The image I posted was the WRF which handled Yorkshire better, but AROME wasn't as low as you said it was there.


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Arcus
19 July 2016 12:49:02


 



 


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


24 to 25 in the VoY, n'est pas?


 


Anyway, moving on - currently 29c here. We might yet scrape the 30c.


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Quantum
19 July 2016 12:51:37


 


24 to 25 in the VoY, n'est pas?


 


Anyway, moving on - currently 29c here. We might yet scrape the 30c.


Originally Posted by: Arcus 


No because thats 1 hour ahead so thats only the midday temperature.


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Quantum
19 July 2016 12:53:56

Heathrow is not making any progress; back to 31C. Apart from the (somewhat rouge) 32C at Staverton there is nowhere near enough momentum to get to 35C. 


My 32.7C max is probably a bit low though; probably more like 33.3C.


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Arcus
19 July 2016 12:58:42


 


No because thats 1 hour ahead so thats only the midday temperature.


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


...and the 28c I quoted was the 11.50am BST reading from Linton-On-Ouse


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
SJV
19 July 2016 12:59:39


Heathrow is not making any progress; back to 31C. Apart from the (somewhat rouge) 32C at Staverton there is nowhere near enough momentum to get to 35C. 


My 32.7C max is probably a bit low though; probably more like 33.3C.


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


well it is 33.3C in Jersey now  Given it's only 2pm and the warmest uppers are still to come, somewhere between 34-35C seems achievable. A bit of breeze taking the edge of Heathrow at the moment, so be looking elsewhere for today's max 

Quantum
19 July 2016 13:02:27


 


well it is 33.3C in Jersey now  Given it's only 2pm and the warmest uppers are still to come, somewhere between 34-35C seems achievable. A bit of breeze taking the edge of Heathrow at the moment, so be looking elsewhere for today's max 


Originally Posted by: SJV 


I did say excluding the channel islands. 


Mostly because it was hard to read the numbers off all the models.


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Quantum
19 July 2016 13:05:43


 


...and the 28c I quoted was the 11.50am BST reading from Linton-On-Ouse


Originally Posted by: Arcus 


Well AROME has 27C in Linton on ouse then. Still only 1C out. Weather stations in hot spots. 


 



2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Quantum
19 July 2016 13:08:45

FYI there is nothing personal here, I would just be amazed if all the models got this wrong. It would be a real credit to the metoffice and their forecasters if we do see 35C.


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Arcus
19 July 2016 13:13:11


 


Well AROME has 27C in Linton on ouse then. Still only 1C out. Weather stations in hot spots. 


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Enough already Q. That map shows 25c for L-On-O. Google maps are your friend.


Let's Move On!


Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Stormchaser
19 July 2016 13:13:24
You know, the morning BBC charts had near Pershore as the area to watch for mid-30s, with London 'only' peaking at 31 or 32.

30+*C here all the way from Bournemouth to Salisbury and beyond. Exotic.
If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Quantum
19 July 2016 13:14:26

Now I've looked into this. AROME is showing a little over 35C for Jersey only



Clearly though if the max today is in Jersey that wouldn't vindicate the metoffice who clearly showed 35C NW of London.


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
LeedsLad123
19 July 2016 13:16:13

My PSW is at 30.4C but the temperature has only risen incrementally in the past hour and is not really rising at all now. Doubt we'll reach the 32C forecast by the BBC, but there's another 3-4 hours of potential warming so who knows. Always frustrating when the temperature stops rising for no apparent reason, even with 100% clear skies and a light SE wind.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Quantum
19 July 2016 13:23:34

AROME is predicting that the all time highest minimun temperature ever recorded in the UK will be broken tonight though.



2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
19 July 2016 13:24:07
Funny how we often get these little hiatuses in temperatures early afternoon on very hot days. Last year it was blamed on the cloud but maybe there's something about the humidity or sea breeze cycle that modulates the warming under South Easterlies.

Even on 10 Aug 2003 we hit the record at Heathrow very early and then flattened before the late afternoon maxes at Kew, Faversham and Gravesend.

So I think the hour between 3 and 4 will be interesting.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
19 July 2016 13:25:02


AROME is predicting that the all time highest minimun temperature ever recorded in the UK will be broken tonight though.



Originally Posted by: Quantum 


That would be exciting. I'm arriving off the plane around 11pm. Would love to walk out into 28C or something.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Quantum
19 July 2016 13:26:21

32.9C now at heathrow. Don't think we are going to get much beyond this.


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
picturesareme
19 July 2016 13:30:09
29C with high humidity 😍☀️

It's very warm that's for sure
Quantum
19 July 2016 13:35:55


 


That would be exciting. I'm arriving off the plane around 11pm. Would love to walk out into 28C or something.


Originally Posted by: TimS 


If I have this right the minimun temperature has to be recorded before 6am UTC which is 5am summer time. So it could be as high as 25C which would smash the record by more than a degree!


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
LeedsLad123
19 July 2016 13:47:17
Temperature is back on the up now.

BBC seem to think the max will occur at 5-6pm, which is certainly possible and happened yesterday (max occurred just after 5pm).
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
picturesareme
19 July 2016 13:52:52

Temperature is back on the up now.

BBC seem to think the max will occur at 5-6pm, which is certainly possible and happened yesterday (max occurred just after 5pm).

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 


 


we don't normally max out until around 6pm down here but that's to do with sea breezes.


 


anyway it's 29.8C  😊😊


 


I think the first 31C since 2014 is now very much likely, though a rare 32 was reached in that year.

Darren S
19 July 2016 13:53:07


 


If I have this right the minimun temperature has to be recorded before 6am UTC which is 5am summer time. So it could be as high as 25C which would smash the record by more than a degree!


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


I thought the meteorological day was 0900-0900z (10am BST).


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Quantum
19 July 2016 13:59:20


 


I thought the meteorological day was 0900-0900z (10am BST).


Originally Posted by: Darren S 


I honestly don't know; this is what the met says on their website


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/datapoint/product/uk-daily-site-specific-forecast


Whether we get a record or not will, I think, depend on this technicality.


 


2024/2025 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 2 days with snow/sleet falling
18/11 (-6), 19/11 (-6)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp): Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)

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