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Solar Cycles
11 January 2017 10:31:22
Can I have this whole thread to myself please. 😜
Bolty
11 January 2017 12:34:45

No reason to be cheerful for me. Just the prospect of watching others get a load of snow while we are dry as a bone. Nothing worse.

Originally Posted by: NickR 


Don't worry Nick, if I could I would send any snow shower that came within the vicinity of me over to your area. 


Anyway it is looking like an interesting event coming up. Snow showers in the north and west, and a band of more persistent snow in the south and east. Hope those in the south enjoy it though. They really have been waiting a while now.


Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
tallyho_83
12 January 2017 09:02:43
Bone dry here I Exeter . I thought I'd wake up to heavy rain and strong winds ...!

What's gone on or wrong? Bit behind?
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Jonesy
12 January 2017 09:10:44

Bone dry here I Exeter . I thought I'd wake up to heavy rain and strong winds ...!

What's gone on or wrong? Bit behind?

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Hopefully a good thing 


Medway Towns (Kent)
The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !
Tractor Boy
12 January 2017 09:52:06

Having all the interesting weather in the near term (rather than out in FI) has disrupted my morning routine. Much of the interesting stuff is coming out before my 10am cuppa.



 


 


Dave
Farndale, North York Moors
Saint Snow
12 January 2017 10:43:52

Apart from GFS, the hi-res models don't offer much snow prospects for MBY




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Smurf
12 January 2017 11:15:54

Horrible drizzle here and it's getting warmer! Unless it changes drastically in the next few hours, there won't even be any sleet. And this was supposed to be a 'sweet spot', even if for an hour or so.


Hope that tonights' showers deliver at least a sprinkling for the morning. 

Saint Snow
12 January 2017 11:22:11


Apart from GFS, the hi-res models don't offer much snow prospects for MBY



Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


And the Met Office website forecast for MBY has been downgraded, with only sporadic single snowflake symbols from this evening into the night.


Then, to cap it all, the MO thread is chock-full of the south-eastern contingent squealing delightedly at the prospect of blocking to the east aligning to give them the best potential wintry conditions.


It all reminds me why I much prefer a Greenland High.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Solar Cycles
12 January 2017 11:30:26


 


 


And the Met Office website forecast for MBY has been downgraded, with only sporadic single snowflake symbols from this evening into the night.


Then, to cap it all, the MO thread is chock-full of the south-eastern contingent squealing delightedly at the prospect of blocking to the east aligning to give them the best potential wintry conditions.


It all reminds me why I much prefer a Greenland High.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

If it's any consolation I just had a bit of sleet and we've one symbol for moderate to heavy snow at 9pm. I still think most of us will end up disappointed Saint then we can all look forward to a bone dry easterly whilst the SE gets buried. 😕

Saint Snow
12 January 2017 11:37:32


If it's any consolation I just had a bit of sleet and we've one symbol for moderate to heavy snow at 9pm. I still think most of us will end up disappointed Saint then we can all look forward to a bone dry easterly whilst the SE gets buried. 😕


Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


 


I do feel rather cheated, you know. Just a few days ago, this region was looking one of the more favoured spots, and with the cold & unstable flow from the north, there was the chance of a disturbance developing in the flow. Since that bloody disturbance popped up in the W-E flow in the south, it's all gone tits-up for us.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
LeedsLad123
12 January 2017 12:51:14


 


 


And the Met Office website forecast for MBY has been downgraded, with only sporadic single snowflake symbols from this evening into the night.


Then, to cap it all, the MO thread is chock-full of the south-eastern contingent squealing delightedly at the prospect of blocking to the east aligning to give them the best potential wintry conditions.


It all reminds me why I much prefer a Greenland High.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Easterlies are pretty crap unless you live in Kent or Essex. Almost always they are cold but dry and cloudy affairs in this part of the world. It's why the only people you see on weather forums reminiscing about January 1987 or February 1986 are from the SE.


 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Saint Snow
12 January 2017 12:55:40


 


Easterlies are pretty crap unless you live in Kent or Essex. Almost always they are cold but dry and cloudy affairs in this part of the world.


 


Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 


 


Usually, yes.


Fortunately or unfortunately, a couple of times in 2013 - specifically one of the March snowfalls - was from an easterly (IIRC it was more an ENE'ly) so it now gives me a sense of hope in what will 9 times out of 10 be a letdown.


I remember the fabled Jan 1987 well, too. Brass monkeys, but almost bone dry (a 10 min flurry was all we had to show for it)



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
NickR
12 January 2017 13:03:24


 


 


Usually, yes.


Fortunately or unfortunately, a couple of times in 2013 - specifically one of the March snowfalls - was from an easterly (IIRC it was more an ENE'ly) so it now gives me a sense of hope in what will 9 times out of 10 be a letdown.


I remember the fabled Jan 1987 well, too. Brass monkeys, but almost bone dry (a 10 min flurry was all we had to show for it)


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Spot on, both of you. Even here in the NE, an E'ly is usually rubbish. We need a higher block and a NE'ly element.


It makes it hard going reading through model analysis since it is almost always about a chase for synoptics which are only good for the SE.


Nick
Durham
[email protected]
Rob K
12 January 2017 13:07:31


Horrible drizzle here and it's getting warmer! Unless it changes drastically in the next few hours, there won't even be any sleet. And this was supposed to be a 'sweet spot', even if for an hour or so.


Hope that tonights' showers deliver at least a sprinkling for the morning. 


Originally Posted by: Smurf 


The cold air won't be around until mid to late afternoon. It was always supposed to get warmer through the morning as the milder uppers pass through.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
AFC Snow
12 January 2017 14:34:57


 


 


Usually, yes.


Fortunately or unfortunately, a couple of times in 2013 - specifically one of the March snowfalls - was from an easterly (IIRC it was more an ENE'ly) so it now gives me a sense of hope in what will 9 times out of 10 be a letdown.


I remember the fabled Jan 1987 well, too. Brass monkeys, but almost bone dry (a 10 min flurry was all we had to show for it)


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


9 times out of 10 we get cloudy, damp crap with temperatures of about 4C from a winter easterly. Only on the odd occasion where the uppers are exceptional such as -12C or lower do we seem to get snow or even frost. Even in 2010 things became too mild for a time when the wind turned easterly.


A northerly or any wind north of NE though and you are talking for around here The beat snowfall I have seen (I am 21) was in March 2006 from a week long northerly which brought around 18 inches of level snow here 

Essan
12 January 2017 15:05:36


Easterlies are pretty crap unless you live in Kent or Essex. Almost always they are cold but dry and cloudy affairs in this part of the world.

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 


They certainly are around here.  With daytime maxes of +1.5c and minima of +1.2c with a handful of tiny snowflakes once a day just to add the ignomy of having to declare it a snow day ..... 

I thought the UN had banned them?   Cruel and unusual punishment weather .....


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Tom Oxon
12 January 2017 16:17:27
Problem is we have several things working against us:

- Sitting next to (in?) a giant warm ocean. Being an Island is bad enough, but being surrounded by lumps of water to the west and north does us no favours. Imagine if we had land mass to our north (or the polar ice caps extended far enough)!
- Our topography, there's a lot of snow shadow effects
- Relatively small land mass, hard to maintain our own cold pools.

If you want the sustained cold (or heat for that matter) then get far away from the above. It does seem a cruel irony that being an island nation that our cold synoptics end up being dry too... perhaps it's time to move to Iceland.
S Warwickshire countryside, c.375ft asl.
Sinky1970
12 January 2017 16:26:13
Would there be any comeback on whoever advised the cancellation of hundreds of flights, if no snowfall occurs or accummulates on the ground?
tallyho_83
12 January 2017 16:58:58
Just got back from Exeter city - was raining when I left, but came back to spits of drizzle and the temperature had fallen to 2.5c. Shame the precipitation got lighter as the temperature got more favourable for sleet and snow.

I can never understand why the rain is turning to snow (readily) in the south and south east over lower levels - yet it's been milder there than in the SW!? yet the SW still struggles and get's plain old cold rain?!
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


tallyho_83
12 January 2017 17:00:28

Today has almost been like a New Years Day Deja vu. Well, for the South West it's been like that anyway.


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Saint Snow
12 January 2017 17:08:07

What's really pee'd me off is that nobody's given me a smiley for my Jaywick joke in the Snow Reports thread.


Tough audience



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
NickR
12 January 2017 17:14:14


What's really pee'd me off is that nobody's given me a smiley for my Jaywick joke in the Snow Reports thread.


Tough audience


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I'll have a butcher's now! ;)


 


Aside from that, as the first reports of heavy snow from the South start to come in, I have ordered a blanket ban on all TV and radio in the house. We are on media lockdown.


Nick
Durham
[email protected]
Saint Snow
12 January 2017 17:18:26

 


I'll have a butcher's now! ;)


Originally Posted by: NickR 


 


Page 5


 


 


(PS - it's not really that funny/good really)


 


 


Aside from that, as the first reports of heavy snow from the South start to come in, I have ordered a blanket ban on all TV and radio in the house. We are on media lockdown.


Originally Posted by: NickR 


Oh aye, you can betcha life it'll be headline news cos it's the South East. You could have the NE/NW/Yorks/Wales/Jockland under 20cm of snow and it'd be a brief footnote on the news after a report about a duck farmer falling in his pond in Aylesbury or something.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Solar Cycles
12 January 2017 17:48:05
Another complete pile of shite of a forecasts for here temps aren't even that cold at 3.7c. 😂😂😂
LeedsLad123
12 January 2017 17:58:58
Yeh it's hilarious lol 😂😂😂
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.

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