on the other side they talking about a snow armrgeon if the models are right !!!
Originally Posted by: tinybill
I think someone's being a little optimistic there
Just looking at the GFS it shows a decent amount of shower activity for the coasts, as you'd expect in a northerly type set up. Outside of this you're looking at maybe some more organised showers penetrating inland but down South conditions would be marginal - might well see falling snow but interesting amounts seem unlikely here at this stage. Scotland, maybe exposed parts of Northern England and higher parts of Wales etc could get some decent falls though as things stand.
Still, get enough cold air over us and then see what happens - surprises can and do crop up that brings more widespread snowfall. Think it was January last year we had a LP drifting down from the North West that seemed likely to bring snow to some in the North and possibly the Midlands and in the end my neck of the wood got 5-6cm out of it, which wasn't really expected initially.
Hopefully we are at least getting closer to being confident in the initial transition to a Northerly - just what happens shortly after that that's up in the air. Could still be a 2-3 snap and flatten out, although even if this does happen there's enough amplification in the pattern that I dare say it wouldn't be long before another window of opportunity would arise
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