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Hippydave
30 January 2018 11:25:34


Such a shame. Winter is over.  (for the south).


A winter full of disappointments here with only a couple of days of falling sleet or wet snow to show for all of our efforts. Its the end of January now. Its beautiful out there now our second frost of the month has melted.. Time to start getting excited about longer day length and a warming sun.


After tonight's 12z run when the final nail on the latest whiff of an easterly is completely distinguished I shall be taking a one month break from rainbow chasing.


February still offers a great deal of interest for many in the Midlands northwards so please enjoy. 


Here in Kent without that mid winter easterly we may as well as well live in another country.  


 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Pfffft


The 6z gives some transient snowfall along with the cold rain down here, just so we can get a vague taste of what we could have won


TBH as you mention if we can't have proper cold and snow then I'm fine with anything dry and sunny - feels amazing in then sun today and that's only going to get better as we wander through February and in to March


(That said if GFS reverts back to more Easterly solutions I expect I'll saddle up for another chase)


Ignoring the likely lack of anything too interesting down here (albeit I reckon we'd get some temporary accumulations even down here if the 6z verified as shown) the 6z does continue the theme of there being plenty of cold air around which seems to be readily drawn down over the UK.


For places North of here it could be a fun month, albeit the warm sectors rattling through would mean windows of snowy fun rather than spells.


 

Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
The Beast from the East
30 January 2018 11:40:42

Steve M doing his best to rally the troops on the other side


As Darren said earlier this will be resolved soon. Maybe not tonight but this time tomorrow we will know if UKMO has failed again

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
tallyho_83
30 January 2018 11:48:55


 


Pfffft


The 6z gives some transient snowfall along with the cold rain down here, just so we can get a vague taste of what we could have won


TBH as you mention if we can't have proper cold and snow then I'm fine with anything dry and sunny - feels amazing in then sun today and that's only going to get better as we wander through February and in to March


(That said if GFS reverts back to more Easterly solutions I expect I'll saddle up for another chase)


Ignoring the likely lack of anything too interesting down here (albeit I reckon we'd get some temporary accumulations even down here if the 6z verified as shown) the 6z does continue the theme of there being plenty of cold air around which seems to be readily drawn down over the UK.


For places North of here it could be a fun month, albeit the warm sectors rattling through would mean windows of snowy fun rather than spells.


 


Originally Posted by: Hippydave 


Maybe transient snow but there certainly isn;t any signs of a prolonged cold spell and we are now into February. - at least very soon and it looks like a dejavu of January and we didn;t have any cold spell in January - only chillier snaps first week. Days are getting longer now and sun is stronger and it looks more and more likely that this will be a nother winter let down despite easterly QBO or LA Nina etc. Any cold weather will be temporary and only lasting a day or so and yes maybe transient snow but that's it really. We only have one month left of winter anyway.


Very disappointed - also bare in mind February was forecast to be the mildest of the 3 winter months according to LRF., I am really disappointed with the weather this January - i never thought it could turn out some +1.5c above average. I really thought that we would have had a decent chance of some prolonged cold weather this January for the first time since 2013. - Seeing as last year we missed out whilst most of Europe were plunged into the freezer for weeks and weeks. The only difference this year is that Europe isn't cooling down either. It's been exceptionally mild there too. 


When can we create a winter is over thread?

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Rob K
30 January 2018 11:51:21
http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Gusty
30 January 2018 11:53:16


Stop Swearing ! 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



The Beast from the East
30 January 2018 11:56:53


Such a shame. Winter is over.  (for the south).


 


 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Did it ever start?!


Sun really packing a punch outside now and to be honest I like it, a sign of getting old perhaps!


Roll on spring warmth and girls in bikinis in the park

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Quantum
30 January 2018 12:08:19


Such a shame. Winter is over.  (for the south).


A winter full of disappointments here with only a couple of days of falling sleet or wet snow to show for all of our efforts. Its the end of January now. Its beautiful out there now our second frost of the month has melted.. Time to start getting excited about longer day length and a warming sun.


After tonight's 12z run when the final nail on the latest whiff of an easterly is completely distinguished I shall be taking a one month break from rainbow chasing.


February still offers a great deal of interest for many in the Midlands northwards so please enjoy. 


Here in Kent without that mid winter easterly we may as well live in another country.  


 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


In 2013 the channel islands had the most snow they have had for decades and it happened in late march. February is still a winter month for a reason, its just a case of getting the right setup.


 

2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Ally Pally Snowman
30 January 2018 12:44:15

Just the 110 snow rows then LOL. 


 


 



 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
tallyho_83
30 January 2018 12:45:04


 


Did it ever start?!


Sun really packing a punch outside now and to be honest I like it, a sign of getting old perhaps!


Roll on spring warmth and girls in bikinis in the park


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


 


I know it's a random question - but are there any girls on this forum at all ? i don't think i have come across any female members? It seems like an entire sausage fest...not the Murr sausage ha! Pun intended ! Boom boom! (thank you drummer!)

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Solar Cycles
30 January 2018 12:52:20


Such a shame. Winter is over.  (for the south).


A winter full of disappointments here with only a couple of days of falling sleet or wet snow to show for all of our efforts. Its the end of January now. Its beautiful out there now our second frost of the month has melted.. Time to start getting excited about longer day length and a warming sun.


After tonight's 12z run when the final nail on the latest whiff of an easterly is completely distinguished I shall be taking a one month break from rainbow chasing.


February still offers a great deal of interest for many in the Midlands northwards so please enjoy. 


Here in Kent without that mid winter easterly we may as well live in another country.  


 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Not much better IMBY Gusty, another forgetful winter thus far.


 


  Not much joy going forward but at least we’ll see a few some sunny days and frosty nights before the advent of spring. 😎

tallyho_83
30 January 2018 12:57:14


Not much better IMBY Gusty, another forgetful winter thus far.


 


  Not much joy going forward but at least we’ll see a few some sunny days and frosty nights before the advent of spring. 😎


Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


I bet those from the Midlands northwards must be praising that slider low on 10th December 2017, because some parts of Midlands hadn't seen s0 much snow at any one time and in a short space of time since March 2013  - if it wasn't for that this whole winter would be a complete right off.

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Solar Cycles
30 January 2018 12:57:51


 


I bet those from the Midlands northwards must be praising that slider low on 10th December 2017, because some parts of Midlands hadn't seen s0 much snow at any one time and in a short space of time since March 2013  - if it wasn't for that this whole winter would be a complete right off.


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Not here.

Ally Pally Snowman
30 January 2018 12:58:29

I know snow rows can be a poor guide but I don't think I can ever recall so many on all locations around the UK. Peaking with Inverness with 316!


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
llamedos
30 January 2018 13:12:18


 


 


I know it's a random question - but are there any girls on this forum at all ? i don't think i have come across any female members? It seems like an entire sausage fest...not the Murr sausage ha! Pun intended ! Boom boom! (thank you drummer!)


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Yes - loads

"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
picturesareme
30 January 2018 13:13:11


 


In 2013 the channel islands had the most snow they have had for decades and it happened in late march. February is still a winter month for a reason, its just a case of getting the right setup.


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Like you say "for decades"! Freak spring snow can happen, but that doesn't mean that spring isn't almost upon us (around 2 weeks now), or walking around down here you could say it already has arrived. 

turbotubbs
30 January 2018 13:48:32


 


Like you say "for decades"! Freak spring snow can happen, but that doesn't mean that spring isn't almost upon us (around 2 weeks now), or walking around down here you could say it already has arrived. 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

In what world is spring 2 weeks away? Really? This has been an extremely polarised winter and as one of those south of the M4 I get it - we've not had much to enjoy, but to say that spring starts on the 13th Feb is just not right. Despite everything that happens how are some of us so quick to forget that a model run is just a prediction.


I read an interesting snippet in our local papers '100 years ago' section last week. Two heavy overnight snowfalls, both gone by the end of the day - its always good to remember that the weather we have now is not so different from what has gone before. Would we have been moaning back in 1918 that late Jan is just too late in winter for snow to hang around?


 

Chiltern Blizzard
30 January 2018 14:00:42


 


I bet those from the Midlands northwards must be praising that slider low on 10th December 2017, because some parts of Midlands hadn't seen s0 much snow at any one time and in a short space of time since March 2013  - if it wasn't for that this whole winter would be a complete right off.


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


December’s snow was far more substantial than most of the midlands saw in March 2013.... Was best event since at least 2010, possibly the 1980s in parts.

Rendlesham, Suffolk 20m asl
picturesareme
30 January 2018 14:09:28


In what world is spring 2 weeks away? Really? This has been an extremely polarised winter and as one of those south of the M4 I get it - we've not had much to enjoy, but to say that spring starts on the 13th Feb is just not right. Despite everything that happens how are some of us so quick to forget that a model run is just a prediction.


I read an interesting snippet in our local papers '100 years ago' section last week. Two heavy overnight snowfalls, both gone by the end of the day - its always good to remember that the weather we have now is not so different from what has gone before. Would we have been moaning back in 1918 that late Jan is just too late in winter for snow to hang around?


 


Originally Posted by: turbotubbs 


It really has already started and it's only slightly earlier then average down here.. with regards to the 2 weeks well that's more to do when the sun gaining that warm feeling. Even at 9am on a frosty morning by the second week of February the sun feels warm to skin, which makes sense when you think it's at the same position in the sky as it's around end of October. :) 


Anyway I'm off topic so I will continue if want in the spring thread.. 

mrspatch
30 January 2018 14:11:44


 


 


I know it's a random question - but are there any girls on this forum at all ? i don't think i have come across any female members? It seems like an entire sausage fest...not the Murr sausage ha! Pun intended ! Boom boom! (thank you drummer!)


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


 


I watch from afar several times a day during winter with hope of snow (live in snowless North East Kent), and every year see all the bitching, hormonal posts from all the men 


 


Gee, it's infuriating at times 


Louise

sizzle
30 January 2018 14:12:10

https://www.gavsweathervids.com/ 


CFS Looking Quite Cold For February Models have backed off next weeks eastern ideas for now... But we might see some cold north-westerly incursions.


After watching this update it looks as tho we might see a similar cold spell like the one we last had in December.

Gandalf The White
30 January 2018 14:12:37


 


It really has already started and it's only slightly earlier then average down here.. with regards to the 2 weeks well that's more to do when the sun gaining that warm feeling. Even at 9am on a frosty morning by the second week of February the sun feels warm to skin, which makes sense when you think it's at the same position in the sky as it's around end of October. :) 


Anyway I'm off topic so I will continue if want in the spring thread.. 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


That's psychology for you.  The sun today has the same strength as it did on November 11th.


I don't think anyone was posting how nice it felt in the sun in November.  It is purely that we are 40 days past the winter solstice and into the final third of winter and optimism starts to creep in.

Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Gandalf The White
30 January 2018 14:13:47


 


 


I watch from afar several times a day during winter with hope of snow (live in snowless North East Kent), and every year see all the bitching, hormonal posts from all the men 


 


Gee, it's infuriating at times 


Louise


Originally Posted by: mrspatch 



Indeed it does - that reaction isn't gender specific....


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
30 January 2018 14:15:59


I know it's a random question - but are there any girls on this forum at all ? i don't think i have come across any female members? It seems like an entire sausage fest...not the Murr sausage ha! Pun intended ! Boom boom! (thank you drummer!)


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

I’m not claiming to be a ‘girl’ but I’m definitely female!  I can’t believe you haven’t read any of my posts!  


And.... I’m in the East Midlands and have hardly had any snow so far this winter.  


Carol

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
picturesareme
30 January 2018 14:25:18


 


That's psychology for you.  The sun today has the same strength as it did on November 11th.


I don't think anyone was posting how nice it felt in the sun in November.  It is purely that we are 40 days past the winter solstice and into the final third of winter and optimism starts to creep in.


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


8-9 weeks of weaker sun and plenty cloud & rain will make it noticeable haha 😁

mrspatch
30 January 2018 14:42:20


I’m not claiming to be a ‘girl’ but I’m definitely female!  I can’t believe you haven’t read any of my posts!  


And.... I’m in the East Midlands and have hardly had any snow so far this winter.  


Carol


Originally Posted by: Caz 


 


'this winter'  hahahaha  - cant remember when we had last had snow.  But my daughter's birthday is 6th February (she is about to be 15) and she has seen a few snowy birthdays.


Model watching has been interesting this year - infuriating for the corner that needs a good easterly but I'm still hopeful and also February is also a better bet for us for some reason 

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