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ARTzeman
15 February 2014 12:14:28

I did find a page with January percentages on  weathercast.co.uk     Monthly review had good information.





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
15 February 2014 12:30:52

Met Office Hadley....... Still awaiting update.


Metcheck              5.75c.   Anomaly    1.55c.


N-W                      6.19c.   Anomaly    1.99c.


Mount Sorrel          5.40c.   Anomaly    1.20c.


My   Mean              5.0c. 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
16 February 2014 11:49:33

Met Office Hadley    5.4c.        Anomaly       1.6c.   Provisional  to  15th.


Metcheck                5.76c.      Anomaly        1.76c.


N-W                       6.14c       Anomaly         1.94c


Mount Sorrel           5.37c       Anomaly          1.17c


My  Mean                5.1c.





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
17 February 2014 11:42:27

Met Office Hadley   5.4c.    Anomaly      1.7c.    provisional to   16th.


Metcheck              5.77c.    Anomaly     1.57c.


N-W                     6.14c.   Anomaly       1.94c.


Mount Sorrel        5.34c.    Anomaly       1.14c.


My Mean              5.0c.


 My  Annual Mean   5.4c.





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
18 February 2014 11:54:13

Met Office Hadley    5.5c.   Anomaly   1.8c.    provisional to  17th.


Metcheck                5.78c.  Anomaly   1.58c.


N-W                       6.23c.  Anomaly    2.04c.


Mount Sorrel           5.48c.   Anomaly    1.28c.


My Mean                 5.2c.


 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
19 February 2014 12:01:22

Met Office Hadley   5.6c.      Anomaly      2.0c.      provisional to 18th


Metcheck              5.79c.     Anomaly      1.59c.


N-W                     6.32.       Anomaly      2.13c.


Mount Sorrel         5.58c.     Anomaly      1.38c.


My  Mean              5.3c. 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
20 February 2014 12:24:41

Met Office Hadley           5.7c.     Anomaly    2.1c.    Provisional to   19th.


Metcheck                       5.80c.   Anomaly    1.60c.


N-W                              6.41c.   Anomaly    2.22c.


Mount  Sorrel                5.80c.    Anomaly    1.60c.


My Mean                       5.4c.  


 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
20 February 2014 20:18:39

I'd love to hit it square on.


5.7C atm.


I went for 6.


It looks like staying mild as well.


5.7 atm.


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
21 February 2014 11:15:10

Met Office Hadley  5.9c.   Anomaly 2.2c. Provisional to 20th


Metcheck              5.81c.  Anomaly 1.61c.


N-W                     6.53c.  Anomaly  2.34c.


Mount Sorrel         5.79c.  Anomaly  1.59c.


My Mean               5.6c.


 


 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
22 February 2014 11:12:40

Met Office Hadley     5.9c.     Anomaly      2.2c.       provisional   to 21st.


Metcheck                5.82c.    Anomaly      1.62c.


N-W                       6.49c.    Anomaly       2.23c.


Mount Sorrel           5.78c.    Anomaly       1.58c.


My  Mean                5.5c.  





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
23 February 2014 11:09:07

Met Office Hadley    5.9c.      Anomaly     2.3c.    Provisional  to  22nd.


Metcheck                5.83c.    Anomaly     1.63c.


N-W                        6.53c.   Anomaly      2.34c.


My   Mean                5.6c.


 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Stormchaser
23 February 2014 11:51:45

Extrapolating from the provisional Hadley figure to 22nd Feb using GFS raw data leaves us almost dead-on 6*C for the final figure.


Not sure how much of a correction is then likely to occur - perhaps only 0.1*C or so?

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ARTzeman
23 February 2014 12:07:47

Gusty and  Hungry  Tiger will be happy with that... 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
23 February 2014 12:48:08


Gusty and  Hungry  Tiger will be happy with that... 


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 



I feel well pleased now.


5.9C. Just 0.1C to go.


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Hungry Tiger
24 February 2014 10:44:24

We've jumped it.


6.1C


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
24 February 2014 11:54:10

Met office Hadley       6.1c      Anomaly      2.4c.     provisional  to 23rd.


Metcheck                  5.84c.   Anomaly       1.64c.


N-W                         6.69c.   Anomaly       2.5c.


Mount Sorrel             6.08c.   Anomaly       1.88c.


My Mean                   5.7c.    





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
24 February 2014 11:59:04

 



We've jumped it.


6.1C


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html


Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


 


TWO People below


TWO People above


   





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
24 February 2014 19:20:02


 



We've jumped it.


6.1C


http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


 


TWO People below


TWO People above


   


Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 



Whatever it ends up as - I'll be close, which is good.


 

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Hungry Tiger
24 February 2014 19:21:50


Very much on the mild side Gavin. Latest output this morning supports a CET for the second half of February of 7C. That would push the overall mean for the month to just above 6C.


If that verifies the CET for the winter as a whole would finish at just about exactly 6C which is 1.5C above the 1971-2000 mean.


Odds on now for the warmest winter since 2006/7.


The winter CET has only exceeded 6C on six occasions since 1900 with all bar one of them since 1975.


Prior to 1900 the winter CET exceeded 6C on five occasions.


So this winter could be the 12th warmest on record in the CET series.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 



There sure will be some interesting stats crunching when this winter ends on Saturday. You've been bang on with this month coming in extremely mild for its last couple of weeks.


 

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Global Warming
24 February 2014 22:08:23

I have not had a chance to do my own CET calculations this month but based on the provisional Hadley data the CET should finish around 6.28C. So even once the month end adjustments are taken into account I would expect us to still finish at 6C or more.


The overall winter CET should also finish just above 6C. So still on course for the 12th warmest on record in the CET series.



Hungry Tiger
24 February 2014 23:20:58


I have not had a chance to do my own CET calculations this month but based on the provisional Hadley data the CET should finish around 6.28C. So even once the month end adjustments are taken into account I would expect us to still finish at 6C or more.


The overall winter CET should also finish just above 6C. So still on course for the 12th warmest on record in the CET series.




Originally Posted by: Global Warming 



Cheers Simon - quite seriously mild this is. I have to say when I went for 6C I thought I was sticking my neck out big time and looks like it will be even more than that .

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
25 February 2014 11:11:16

Met Office Hadley       6.2c.     Anomaly       2.5c.  provisional to  24th.


Metcheck                   5.85c.   Anomaly        1.65c.


N-W                           6.8c.   Anomaly          2.61c.


Mount Sorrel               6.20c.  Anomaly         2.00c.


My  Mean                    5.9c.


Annual   Mean             5.8c.     





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
25 February 2014 15:34:28

Ah well, another rubbish prediction from me - and other year amongst the cellar-dwellars in the competition



 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
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Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
26 February 2014 11:35:53

Met Office Hadley  6.2c.       Anomaly      2.5c.   Provisional to  25th.


Metccheck            5.85c.      Anomaly        1.65c.


N-W                     6.84c.      Anomaly        2.65c.


Mount  Sorrel        6.20c.      Anomaly        2.00c


My Mean               5.9c.


 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
27 February 2014 11:21:46

Met Office Hadley        6.3c.       Anomaly      2.5c.   provisional  to  26th.


Metcheck                    5.8c.       Anomaly      1.66c.


N-W                           6.83c.     Anomaly       2.64c.


Mount Sorrel               6.23c      Anomaly       2.03c


My   Mean                   5.9c.


 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

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