Models continue the theme of more HP from the middle of next week and it looks as if the northern arm of the PFJ is heading where it should as we head into spring with no sign as yet of the dreaded HLB

Boring maybe, but a must for those still clearing up after the winter floods, of which there will still be a great many I imagine.

Yet here in Carrbridge, 6 miles north at 900ft there was several days early in Feb with lying snow according to the locals here (we did not move here until the 15th) This month there has been 2 so far.

I was in a pub down in Aviemore the other weekend and the locals were saying they had seen hardly any snow there this winter.

One thing i have seen over the past week is how the lying snow has become more and more restricted to higher levels.

Very little snow on the hills as you head south past Dalwhinnie over Drumochter, unusual for this time of year.

Thanks for all the kind words all. I am Sloooooooowwwwwwllllyyyyy getting better, but because I've had the wrong diagnosis Re. my eye's for two months it's going to take a long while to get things back to normal.

Anyway, here's today's video update;

JMA April To June + Weekend Cold Snap Details

http://www.gavsweathervids.com

All looks a bit grim, LOL!

Terry Scholey's mid March to Mid April forecast will be coming up this evening, probably around 7pm, so look out for it.

Thanks Gav.

Model output generally continues to indicate mixed conditions remaining in place for a while yet. Fairly typical weather for the time of year really.

I remember the good ole days before the coldies got the upper hand and bullied the warmer, realistic and more optimistic posters out of existence. As soon as the cold weather dissapears, so do the coldies..net result = A quiet forum.

A chilly weekend with some sharp frosts in places overnight as the 'cold high' ridges over before a more mobile and milder SW'ly flow establishes from Tuesday. Could turn cooler and unsettled at the months end.

Is a "cold high" one that originated at higher latitudes and then drifts down across us? Presumably the air caught up in the circulation will become modified with time.

I think it's more that as it's finally stopped raining and we've had some warm sunshine, people have been out and about enjoying life rather than being stuck inside moaning about the incessant gunk!

Looks like a fairly brief cold/wet blip to come at least for southern parts before HP moves back in:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT2_London_ens.png

Yes thats it.

Can't make a lot of sense of the synoptic charts for this next week or so.

Anyone have any ideas.

Seems like we've lost the nice weather we've had a for a bit though.

It seems to be shaping up crisp and fresh for the first part of next week... risk of fog and low cloud as Ian just detailed, otherwise generally useable weather, though rather in favour of heavier jackets and coats in the mornings and evenings.

Afterwards, there are signs of troughing developing across the Mediterranean, which then supports high pressure either right through the UK or more to our N/NE - that aspect is highly uncertain at this stage, although there has been a slight trend towards it being over the UK, which could actually result in a SE flow and reasonable temperatures - a risk of some showers in the south at times, but overall, not bad at all.

As usual, there is the possibility of a trend in the other direction to be aware of... worth keeping an eye on that one.

There's more energy dropping down trough the UK on this morning's runs - a classic setup for snow in January, not much use to most of us in March.

I find it intruiging that yet again, a distant suggestion of blocking to our NW has been dropped in favour of blocking to our NE instead. That kind of trend was common last winter (but the blocking was always too far E or NE), and was seen quite often last summer and to a lesser extent Autumn.

At this time of year, that usually means either a chilly breeze but mostly dry, an average to mild airflow but with the risk of some showers in the south, or unsettled with near average temperatures overall (supressed by day, held up by night).

There also remains the option of the high pressure locating over the UK instead, and the possible conditions under that were detailed last night.

Overall, an interesting pattern developing... and one with highly uncertain details.

My favourite April weather is the traditional showery type setup with a sharp delineation to bright, warm sunshine between the showers. That provides some wonderful rainbows - sometimes even double or triple ones.

Tomorrow and the weekend look chilly and showery with hail and thunder possible maybe even a little sleet.

Hi all,

Here's today's video update;

Easterly Winds Next Week?

http://www.gavsweathervids.com

Looks like we could be in for a pretty cool and dreary period ahead, to be honest.

Both GFS and ECM seem to be suggesting a Scandi-based high around 144 - and it does seem to be an increasing pattern over recent runs.  No real cold pool to tap into if it comes off though.

Yes - we haven't got the depth of SST's either thanks to the milder, west based set up we've had.

I think that dreary could well be the result given that the sun lacks the necessary power o break up much of the clag.

West could well be best!

Yes I agree with you there, cool and cloudy if it comes off.

As I say in my video though we need to see where the high pressure goes (if it does form over Scandinavia) because longer range models have been hinting at a pretty cool and unsettled April, so if the high pressure ends up over Greenland, we could be in for a pretty dismal spell next month...