Donate to browse the TWO website without adverts until 31st December 2024. You'll also get access to extra features and supporting our ongoing development.
For full details please see Advert free access on our website.
Remove ads from site
Hi all,
Here's today's main video update;
Return Of The Westerlies End Of January
http://www.gavsweathervids.com/
Looks like we're going to end January very much as we started it.
Also has a look at the Strat and tonight's snow situation (if it really warrants the term "situation" )
As you know I usually love posting them snow maps and accumulation ones etc but I think for tonight/tomorrow's one I won't and will just watch the radar and look out the window.
i was surprised this morning's few flakes made it this far Inland from the South tbh, I thought it was just a South Coast event.
Given the uncertain synoptics, any snow tonight is going to be more of a "nowcast" event than usual. Some people may get something when they were not expecting it and vice versa.
We will just have to see how it pans out over the next 24 hours.
Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum
Seems about right.
A lot of interest today in FI, atlantic getting up to go to the toilet, not properly waking up.
By the time we get to saturday (when the cold spell truly ends) 240hr will be 120hr, I think it could be worse.
Originally Posted by: Quantum
Love it. That really is a positive spin on FI
Interest? Where? I see a big fat Azores high and a Scandi trough. Coolish westerly/northwesterly flow the order of the day.
eg from GFS http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2401.gif
and from ECM http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2401.gif
Sorry for OT post but regarding snow for the SE on facebook met office issued this reply to someone regarding the chart below...
Met Office: Hello ******, chance of a light snow shower in the south east but nothing that will accumulate.
Originally Posted by: Jonesy
All rain and no transient snow south of Birmingham according to Stav BBC 1:30 forecast
Well according to met office predictions we could get anything between 1" to 6" here in Sheffield.
Originally Posted by: Rob K
That will do for me
Originally Posted by: soperman
Brave forecaster - only has to out 100 miles either way to come a cropper.
The word "uncertainty" was used in the forecast I have just seen on the bbc website.
In great shape for snow tonight across the Midlands!
Originally Posted by: Kev71
Except the images were all of rain in the south. Despite the forecast, I am expecting to see some snowfall as we are fairly elevated but only very temporary accumulation, if any.
Originally Posted by: kal
Hi Kal and welcome to TWO. It would be helpful if you could put your location in your profile so we can see where you are.
A cold NW regime next week. Better than nothing
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015012012/gfsnh-1-204.png?12
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015012012/gfsnh-0-216.png?12
Irony could be we get more snow from this sort of set up than we are currently seeing today
Trough moves very quickly into position east of UK on this run
Hopefully a new trend picked up
Looking at the GFS 12z - This occuluded front could end up providing 24 hrs of snow as it pivots slowly - to some lucky parts of the north midlands/Northeast wales/North west england... albeit fairly light snow.Looks like it will decay though - so it will really be a lucky few spots.
LOL
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015012012/gfsnh-0-228.png?12
Always good to see another cold spell on the horizon when current one is coming to an end
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015012012/gfsnh-0-240.png?12
Hopefully the dreaded Azores high will stay away
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3361.gif
Yes I mentioned the tendency for cooler conditions being shown in "FI" after the upcoming breakdown and that trend is continuing. I would still include the caveats associated with uncertainty and the timescale but it looks like a milder blip before something cooler once again. It may be just more "cold zonality" or a general NWly flow but there is also the potential for more of a northerly component.It is worth keeping an eye on ensemble data over the coming days. Before I get the same dismissals as yesterday, I am not predicting a wintry blast with high confidence. I am highlighting a trend to possible colder than average conditions once again a few days after the forthcoming breakdown.
Originally Posted by: doctormog
Indeed.
I just wish the Azores high would sod off!!
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East
It never go away and from the chart I see other countries on the same zones don't have their problem like us with HP always in the wrong place giving us mild winters and cool summers. Watch how the AZH shaped like it controlling and throwing LP over us instead of going to France, Spain or NW Africa.