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Solar Cycles
11 December 2015 08:21:00


Feel there is going to be a crash at some point but I bet it will come when nobody wants it eg. mid Feb 98 and the wintry crash of mid Apr 98.

There was no crash with winter 2013-14 as such but there was no really exceptionally mild spell that winter. That was persistent mildness and averageness with virtually no cold.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 

I've a feeling you maybe right Kev with the outlook continuing to look rather uninspiring with any good news remaining in the outer reaches of FI.

Tim A
11 December 2015 09:15:19
Just been in Northern Italy around Venice for the last few days where although there is zero chance of snow at least it's seasonal with cool crisp days, cold nights and fog as a result of the inversion caused by high pressure. Some sunshine, a lack of damp and a lack of wind being particular pleasant changes.
Just renforces my believe that we have one of the worst winter climates possible
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

 My PWS 
Brian Gaze
11 December 2015 09:28:46

These are the times when it pays to look forward to summer as much as winter. At least once we're past Xmas the cold will either arrive () or it won't and spring will be on the horizon (). The people I feel sorry for are those who spend all year looking forward only to the possibility of a couple of snow days. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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Saint Snow
11 December 2015 09:37:02


These are the times when it pays to look forward to summer as much as winter.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


The problem with that is we're currently getting decent summer charts in winter, and all too often we get decent winter charts in summer.


 


I'm officially now giving up hope for any good Xmas weather. Cold & snowy spells are always nice at any stage of the winter, but nothing beats a cold run-up to Xmas, ideally with some snow.


 


I still yearn for a truly catastrophic UK-wide snow event - state of emergency declared, etc.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Solar Cycles
11 December 2015 10:38:45


 


 


The problem with that is we're currently getting decent summer charts in winter, and all too often we get decent winter charts in summer.


 


I'm officially now giving up hope for any good Xmas weather. Cold & snowy spells are always nice at any stage of the winter, but nothing beats a cold run-up to Xmas, ideally with some snow.


 


I still yearn for a truly catastrophic UK-wide snow event - state of emergency declared, etc.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

I just yearn for lying snow which I haven't seen since December 2010, bar 2 hours of the stuff before it thawed in 2013.😢

Saint Snow
11 December 2015 14:14:56

 


The problem with that is we're currently getting decent summer charts in winter


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


Thinking about it, that's not actually true. Current set-ups aren't that great, either - in fact, we're in a 'worst of both worlds' position.


The jet is too south to allow the Euro High to ridge over us, but's not far enough south to allow HLB.


The result is the crazy amounts of rain into the NW of the UK, with frequent rain in other parts, under mild air advected northwards.


A really awful set-up full stop.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
springsunshine
11 December 2015 16:55:35


 


 


Thinking about it, that's not actually true. Current set-ups aren't that great, either - in fact, we're in a 'worst of both worlds' position.


The jet is too south to allow the Euro High to ridge over us, but's not far enough south to allow HLB.


The result is the crazy amounts of rain into the NW of the UK, with frequent rain in other parts, under mild air advected northwards.


A really awful set-up full stop.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Which is what is going to happen this weekend. Its mild now and looks like getting milder. The mean temp here has been above 12c all month,amazing stuff and there is no end to this set up in sight,long may it continue

Essan
11 December 2015 17:27:15


 


Which is what is going to happen this weekend. Its mild now and looks like getting milder. The mean temp here has been above 12c all month,amazing stuff and there is no end to this set up in sight,long may it continue


Originally Posted by: springsunshine 



You are not making many friends here   


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

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Solar Cycles
11 December 2015 19:08:48




You are not making many friends here   


Originally Posted by: Essan 

Don't worry they're on my hit list.

tallyho_83
12 December 2015 01:53:15

Well observing the charts , models, outlooks, forecasts etc etc - looks like the south of England would be frost free this month! A complete write -off!.

At least last year - there as substantial snow in Sheffield from Boxing Day, Liverpool had a good dumping too and even the colder spells in the North of England /Scotland are short lived. - So bad news for them anyway and temperatures around average up north and milder than average at all times over England - double figure temperatures.


What a horrible start for those who want wintry, cold and snowy weather.

At least we had January and February left so roll on end of January.



Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


tallyho_83
12 December 2015 01:54:00


 


 


Thinking about it, that's not actually true. Current set-ups aren't that great, either - in fact, we're in a 'worst of both worlds' position.


The jet is too south to allow the Euro High to ridge over us, but's not far enough south to allow HLB.


The result is the crazy amounts of rain into the NW of the UK, with frequent rain in other parts, under mild air advected northwards.


A really awful set-up full stop.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


Yet come spring or summer - we will get a north easterly wind or easterly haha!


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


KevBrads1
12 December 2015 07:57:04

It struck me that the El Niños that were classified as strong to very strong 1957-58, 1965-66, 1972-73, 1982-83, 1997-98 all had Aprils that were on the cool to cold side and or had a notable wintry episode in them after those winters.


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Saint Snow
12 December 2015 09:30:55


It struck me that the El Niños that were classified as strong to very strong 1957-58, 1965-66, 1972-73, 1982-83, 1997-98 all had Aprils that were on the cool to cold side and or had a notable wintry episode in them after those winters.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


 


Oh joy


Cold spells in april are a waste of time - just cannot be sustained or deep.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
LeedsLad123
12 December 2015 09:31:56


 


 


Oh joy


Cold spells in april are a waste of time - just cannot be sustained or deep.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I like them for the novelty value. We had a 3cm fall in April 2012 - it all melted by midday but it was still interesting to see.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Saint Snow
12 December 2015 09:46:17

 


We had a 3cm fall in April 2012 - it all melted by midday


Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 


 


 


Like I said, a waste.



 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Gavin P
12 December 2015 09:50:01


These are the times when it pays to look forward to summer as much as winter. At least once we're past Xmas the cold will either arrive () or it won't and spring will be on the horizon (). The people I feel sorry for are those who spend all year looking forward only to the possibility of a couple of snow days. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Well I'll say it now... If we flip from El Nino to La Nina next Summer... We'll have "problems" 


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Solar Cycles
12 December 2015 10:07:00


 


Well I'll say it now... If we flip from El Nino to La Nina next Summer... We'll have "problems" 


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 

I beat you to it earlier Gav and it's looking like we'll have quite a strong Nina in place by the looks of things.

Gooner
12 December 2015 10:09:17


 


 


 


Like I said, a waste.



 


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


It is but Id take anything if Winter doesn't produce


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


LeedsLad123
12 December 2015 10:12:08


 


 


 


Like I said, a waste.



 


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Yeah, but most snowfalls in the UK are a waste because they usually melt within 24 hours anyway - on low ground at least.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Gooner
12 December 2015 10:12:37


These are the times when it pays to look forward to summer as much as winter. At least once we're past Xmas the cold will either arrive () or it won't and spring will be on the horizon (). The people I feel sorry for are those who spend all year looking forward only to the possibility of a couple of snow days. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


I take it from that you associate Spring with dry warmer weather Brian?????  You should know better than that .


That's what your similes suggest to me anyhow.


The way December is panning out there is every chance March and April could be colder months


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


ARTzeman
12 December 2015 12:05:29

Grey stuff day again.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
12 December 2015 13:43:08

Indeed.


After the dullest November recorded at Reading U for the 60 years they have records - just 18.5 hours total for the month - December is going the same way.


Last Wednesday (7th) was sunny but I can't recall more than a glimpse of the sun on any other day this month. Now the MetO forecast for here for this week (recently extended to 7 days, rather than 5) shows a sunny interval, just one, on Friday afternoon (the 18th) and unremitting gloom until then. An occasional bit of rain, not much, temps flatlining in the range 9 - 12 C , so totally boring.


 


I don't want quite as much excitement as the North has been having, but what's the point of being a weather follower if there's nothing to follow?


 


 


P.S. The Times reports major panic in Swiss ski resorts, no snow below 2000m and not much even up there, with Christmas bookings taking a severe knock accordingly


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
moomin75
12 December 2015 13:45:52


 


It is but Id take anything if Winter doesn't produce


Originally Posted by: Gooner 

You would be very much in a minority there Marcus. Snow and frost in April just damages plants and crops and is no good to man nor beast 


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
LeedsLad123
12 December 2015 14:55:58


You would be very much in a minority there Marcus. Snow and frost in April just damages plants and crops and is no good to man nor beast 


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Let's be realistic here - most people have no desire to see snow, let alone cold weather at all. Users like the above - with their desire for mild weather - might be in the minority on this website but they are generally a good reflection of what most people want.. cold weather and snow are not particularly good or useful for anyone at any time of year.


Spring 2013 was one of my favourite seasons - with only May being the letdown. March 2013 easily beat most winter months I've experienced in the snow department, and April 2013 was sunny, dry and chilly. Nothing depressing as far as I'm concerned - damaged drops don't really factor into personal weather preference.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Brendon Hills Bandit
12 December 2015 15:14:27


 


Well I'll say it now... If we flip from El Nino to La Nina next Summer... We'll have "problems" 


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


 


Just out of interest, what effect does a fairly strong to very strong La Nina have on the UK winter? Is it as 'damaging' to cold prospects as a strong El Nino?


220m asl, edge of Brendon Hills

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