Tonight's 'event' courtesy of a very weak occluded front moving south ahead of the main warm sector to the west. I wouldn't expect much of this, its a very weak feature indeed. 

Shower activity associated with the trough developing nicely now in S. Scotland. MetO Auto going for light snow/heavy snow IMBY from 2am to 7am. We'll see...

The sweet spot had around 7-8cms of fresh snow by 0930 this morning.  This has melted and compacted to a stodgy 3-4cms.

The most significant snowfall locally on the hills to my North  for 6 years, which shows how far things have gone downhill.  A nice little fall very locally, but a pitiful wider scenario.

If anything the automated forecasts look better for the Vale of York than here. More milder air moving into the west. Also i am always highly sceptical of anything from the NW. Tends to break up . I reckon one area of heavier precipation moving down the eastern side of N England, some in the west and nothing in the middle...

That’s what one of the high res models showed.

Just been out to the car, and it feels noticeably less cold than it did at 6.30pm

I reckon rain for here, perhaps something less depressing further east.

Looking at the radar, there's a dangler dropping into the mid-point of N Wales, but the main clump of PPN isn't making much progress and is still in southern Scotland.

There’s a “clump” quite close by now Saint. Some quite bright echoes. You could catch the southern edge. 

Currently -2C/-3C here - any precipitation that makes it this far this side of midnight will be snow. 

Fraid not, it missed to my north. The next clump, however, shows much more potential!

I think the clump that has missed you should be over my house within about 20 mins. Hoping it stays as a yellow one and doesn’t downgrade to green.

Good luck with the next one. Beware of those dew points and milder upper air due later. Already reports of rain and sleet in the NW thread on the other side.

We are NOT normal 😂

Liverpool Airport is at 0c/-1c

Manchester Airport is at -2c/-2c

Given Liverpool Airport is right on the estuary, we're usually closer to the Manchester Airport numbers, so fingers crossed.

Good luck to you, too. Think even if we get a covering it'll be gone by morning. 

Well it’s sleeting here. Fairly annoying when the temp is -2C  outside. If that’s not a sign I should give up, I don’t know what is! 

At least it will settle.

Wonder what wierd grey deposits you will have by morning.

Not getting particularly excited re Tuesday down here - a flick through some of the 12z output suggests either the LP misses us to the south or has that bit too much mild air entrenched and brings mostly rain with maybe a bit of back edge stuff.

Arpege for example has next to nothing other than rain. Icon shows rain for 5-6 hours before some snowfall although accumulation chart shows 2cm over the downs, which doesn't suggest anything too exciting.

GFS Op shows the low less developed and further south with maybe some sleet or snow fringing the south coast. GFSP has an active system with snow falling.

UKMO has an active system although no idea if it'd be wet or white.

I guess overall as it stands I'd not be surprised to see falling snow at some point if the system doesn't end up further south but any kind of decent accumulations seem unlikely although not entirely out of the question imo.

Bit of a forecasting nightmare tbh

Nearer term and looking good for the Scottish Highlands tonight - should be some significant falls there

Yes I suspect some inland and Highlands areas could get a significant fall overnight. I’m just hoping that when the cold air eventually arrives here that it won’t be bone dry, but I have very low expectations.

Believe it or not I think Tuesday is still too far off to have any confidence in any one particular scenario.

Here is the Euro4 take on the snowfall over the next 48 hours (or until midnight tomorrow anyway). Tuesday’s low pressure is not quite in its short term range. It will be interesting to see how accurate this is as anything that settles today or tomorrow is likely to hang around for a few days at least.

https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/web/en/euro4/2019/01/27/basis00/ukuk/weas/19012900_2_2700.gif

Yes looks like a rain to snow event, altitude likely to be important with Brian probably in the best place.