WX minimally different from yesterday:
in week 1 cool for W Europe even if the Baltic is outside the freezing area for the first time in a while. In week 2, the colder weather over Russia moves W again, with a band of quite cold weather Scotland - Denmark - Belarus in advance of this, not that the rest of Europe is that warm. Pptn in week 1 as before Britain - France - Italy and in week 2 slipping S-wards but still affecting SW England and Ireland. The very dry area in week 2 referred to yesterday now restricted to Poland - Norway.GFS Op - current trough moving SE-wards and settling as LP centred over Britain by Sunday, with more troughs following from the NW. Then from Tue 5th to Fri 8th to Britain sandwiched between LP W of Ireland and HP in Norway and C Europe -a toss-up as to which will be dominant but wind generally S-ly. The LP then extends a trough to Biscay, winds backing SE-ly, before that trough moves north 980mb Ireland Sun 10th and rotates dumb-bell fashion with another LP 975mb Brittany Tue 12th. The LP complex retreats to the Atlantic and Thu 14th it's back to the LP/HP divide of the previous week.
ECM agrees; if anything the HP from Tue 5th is closer to Britain
GEFS - mean temp never far from norm - on the cool side to Tue 5th, on the mild side to Tue 12th (esp in S) by matter of a couple of degrees, and little ens agreement after that. Rain mostly early and late in the next fortnight but never really dry; similar pattern for all but with heaviest rain in S & W. Briefly high chances of snow in the north today/tomorrow.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl