Hi Stewart,
I'm well thanks. Same as you, real life interfering with posting time but I'll try and make more of an effort now silly season is fast approaching!
All indications (including an abrupt u-turn from mild to cold from the ECM long ranger http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/weather-pattern-clues-into-early-december/36987553 ) point to an unusually cold spell in the US midwest, Great Lakes and NE, from Manitoba through Quebec. After last year's brutal winter in this region I can't imagine that's popular with most folks!
The latest GFS run shows 850s for T.O. fall to -10 on Wednesday and remain in the -9 to -13c range through Monday, before the 'real' cold arrives from Tue 18th! It will chop and change of course but a couple of weeks of unusually cold weather for November looks a good bet. There should be multiple opportunities for snow events in various places, snow will break out in the Dakotas early next week and head east across the Midwest and into the Great Lakes, though likely to affect central Ontario rather than the Golden Horseshoe.
Meanwhile the big cities in the Prairies will see daytime highs in the -7c to -11c by this time, so well below normal for mid November. And of course (a modified form of) this Arctic air is heading your way Stewart with daytime readings in southern Ontario likely around, or just above freezing by late in the week.
Enjoy...must be age because I'm quite happy with 10c readings for the foreseeable!