Update: GFS versus UKMO- GFS loses but UKMO wins, for Cold and NE flow and the Cold NW North plus the aforementioned NE flow, and it is better than GFS 00z, the Arctic High Scandy Low/ High looks good. GFS still not bad after T192 hours etc etc.
I WONDER, GFS puts every thing NW and to NE, But UKMO does the Opposite, by keeping UK cold and interesting for wintry potential- GFS does that from 192 in it’s latest set of operational.
Now we await what ECMWF drums up, please give the PV Low another victory, and draw in to our NE the Arctic High and let the SE tracking Low impact UK from Tuesday to Thursday, and then drag cold and wintry ENE winds from SW Norway Denmark, via Low P trofs moving West SW across to UK NW Europe.
Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.