Remove ads from site

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 February 2019 07:46:57

As far as short term potential goes, the Met O app is showing one flake for here at 9 am and the radar shows showers coming in off the East coast.  I think this will be my last chance of seeing any snow at all for the foreseeable but I’m not holding my breath as I’m not expecting any!  


Forecasts have been pretty accurate in showing us on the margin every time and unfortunately we’ve been the wrong side of the margin every single time!  We’ve had hard frosts and ice, which has been nice but not quite the same, although I’m pleased some of you have had snow at least.  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
sizzle
01 February 2019 08:02:41

2-5 and or up to 7 cm forecasted all we got was a dusting poor forecasting ill await terry scholey month ahead forecast today for a more accurate forecast for month ahead to see if winter will finally deliver at last minute

Heavy Weather 2013
01 February 2019 08:07:05

EURO4 certainly not without interest throughout today. Seems the front will reactivate somewhat.


Models present a messy picture throughout the day into this evening. But I suspect someone could have a surprise or two.


 


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
wallaw
01 February 2019 08:07:25

still some beefy showers coming in off the north sea but most falling as sleet or rain now


Ian


Stockton-on-Tees

cultman1
01 February 2019 08:07:26
Met office got it wrong for West London. Snow promised from 10.00pm last night but NO snow here all night just patchy rain/sleet, Raining now and 2.5 degrees. We were unlucky. Most other places seem to have got snow though.
Heavy Weather 2013
01 February 2019 08:13:13

Met office got it wrong for West London. Snow promised from 10.00pm last night but NO snow here all night just patchy rain/sleet, Raining now and 2.5 degrees. We were unlucky. Most other places seem to have got snow though.

Originally Posted by: cultman1 


Yes, its been pretty rubbish hasn't it. I wasn't expecting a snowfest; but at least something around the 2-5cm mark


 


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Surrey John
01 February 2019 08:13:27
Looking at radar, definite anti-clockwise rotation entered near Brighton area (but no precipitation within about 50 miles of centre)

Rather intense area along Normandy coast, not sur if it will swing across channel into Kent

Bradford on Avon, Wiltshire
35m ASL
Heavy Weather 2013
01 February 2019 09:07:45

Indications now of some echos developing SE of London.


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
nsrobins
01 February 2019 09:22:01

Looking at radar, definite anti-clockwise rotation entered near Brighton area (but no precipitation within about 50 miles of centre)

Rather intense area along Normandy coast, not sur if it will swing across channel into Kent

Originally Posted by: Surrey John 


That line of convection all rain - it’s on the south side of the retreating occlusion.


Tricky forecast last night and it’s true the Amber was not really required but some patchy areas did get snow. Nature of these marginal setups. Now give us a robust NE flow with cold in situ and it would of been a different story.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
fairweather
01 February 2019 09:50:14


Indications now of some echos developing SE of London.


Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


Most likely more rain !


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 February 2019 10:04:01


As far as short term potential goes, the Met O app is showing one flake for here at 9 am and the radar shows showers coming in off the East coast.  I think this will be my last chance of seeing any snow at all for the foreseeable but I’m not holding my breath as I’m not expecting any!  


Forecasts have been pretty accurate in showing us on the margin every time and unfortunately we’ve been the wrong side of the margin every single time!  We’ve had hard frosts and ice, which has been nice but not quite the same, although I’m pleased some of you have had snow at least.  


Originally Posted by: Caz 

 Well, the potential was there and my virtual winter has ended. It’s snowing - finally!  So the forecast was right and the radar is still showing showers heading this way, so potentially more, although I don’t it will be much, but hey!  It’s snow!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
peeps in west oxon
01 February 2019 10:14:19
Been snowing here for about 12 hours! And still going. Probably about 14 cms I suppose, genuinely didn't expect this to be as intense as it is. I guess it will probably turn to rain soon. Temp 0.6C and dp so 0.0C.
West Oxfordshire, 80M ASL
Whiteout
01 February 2019 10:38:43

Still snowing well in Burford, 6 inches now 



  • sorry wrong thread -


The front seems to be reinvigorating tho.


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
jhall
01 February 2019 10:43:02


 


That line of convection all rain - it’s on the south side of the retreating occlusion.


Tricky forecast last night and it’s true the Amber was not really required but some patchy areas did get snow. Nature of these marginal setups. Now give us a robust NE flow with cold in situ and it would of been a different story.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Yes, and to be fair the MO forecast did make it clear that the heavier snow was likely to be "patchy" in where it affected.


Cranleigh, Surrey
Brian Gaze
01 February 2019 10:46:19

Exceeded expectations here. Yesterday morning I thought we'd end up with about 3cm but we have approx 8cm. I'm surprised so many people thought the snow would stop south of the Thames. Most model runs were taking it further north and I think they handled it very well. There was also a clear signal for it be more sleety in parts of the south. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Rob K
01 February 2019 11:03:04

Some of the hi-res models are suggesting a bit more organised snowfall continuing tonight and even into tomorrow morning in southern parts. Eg NMM and especially HIRLAM:

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/hirlam/runs/2019020106/hirlamuk-42-15-0.png?01-10


 



Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
soperman
01 February 2019 11:20:51


Exceeded expectations here. Yesterday morning I thought we'd end up with about 3cm but we have approx 8cm. I'm surprised so many people thought the snow would stop south of the Thames. Most model runs were taking it further north and I think they handled it very well. There was also a clear signal for it be more sleety in parts of the south. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


Yep. A good dump over the Chilts and even more Oxon way by the looks of things.


No snow since 9:00 a.m. here.

Gooner
01 February 2019 11:32:02

Did ok here


8cm's more in some favoured spots 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Rob K
01 February 2019 11:36:05
Following on from my post above, the Met O computer output has a further spell of three hours or so of heavy snow forecast for my area from 3pm to 6pm.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Stormchaser
01 February 2019 11:55:54

The broad convergence zone is starting to spread SSE now.


Modelling guidance suggests that the system 'moves' via the west and northwest sides fizzling out while development occurs adjacent to the south and southeast sides. Being convergence-driven, this makes sense as the trough moves away east and the convergence zone shifts accordingly.


After mostly light snow or snow grains for most of the time since dawn, the last half hour has seen a steady increase in rates, now moderate-bordering-heavy. Very scenic!


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Darren S
01 February 2019 11:59:46

Following on from my post above, the Met O computer output has a further spell of three hours or so of heavy snow forecast for my area from 3pm to 6pm.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Look at the radar at the moment and you'll see a stream of showers springing up from about Redhill in Surrey and marching North West across Bracknell towards Twyford. We're catching the edge of it, it's snowing as I write - it looks like it could keep going for a while.


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
JACKO4EVER
01 February 2019 12:05:47
Apart from a 30 second snow sprinkle this morning it’s a complete non event for these parts. 4.5c with sunny spells, still a bit raw in the breeze though
Rob K
01 February 2019 12:17:46


 


Look at the radar at the moment and you'll see a stream of showers springing up from about Redhill in Surrey and marching North West across Bracknell towards Twyford. We're catching the edge of it, it's snowing as I write - it looks like it could keep going for a while.


Originally Posted by: Darren S 


Weather type radar suggests they are sleet but turning to snow as they head west


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
soperman
01 February 2019 12:42:47

Met auto now stating 90% Heavy Snow now and for next 4 hours and fizzling out at 5:00 p.m.


This time I really can't see any chance unless the feature rapidly develops in situ.


Very light snow under leaden sky


 


 

Heavy Weather 2013
01 February 2019 12:55:43

Still holding out hope that something happens with the front to deliver some unexpected snowfall later on. 


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

Remove ads from site

Ads