Well-defined HP for the beginning of next week, and on GFS only slowly declines towards the weekend (though a BBC forecast today suggested rain/showers from the Atlantic by Thursday) then departing from yesterday's script with a cold LP over the UK on Sun 8th followed by northerlies. After that, a weakish Scandi high for election day but with LP sliding past the SW (looks like cold rain to me rather than snow) then an HP on Sun 15th with some cold air drifting past to the south.
Big change from yesterday so it doesn't look if the model is stable for week 2. ECM also different to yesterday but the LP on the 8th develops over Scandi, not the Atlantic, and its following N-lies run down the N Sea more than over the UK
GEFS dry to 7th, cold at first, then mild. After that increasing amounts of pptn and temps mostly below average with some really cold runs esp in Scotland, and snow row values appearing even for the S Coast (Brighton =2 on election day, Scottish locations getting into double figures).
All interesting but I think that week 2 will look different again in a few days' time!
Originally Posted by: DEW