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speckledjim
17 February 2020 08:45:28


 


No - what I posted was a direct quote from the New York Times!


Cruises are still going ahead in the Far East - utterly insane of the authorities to allow this.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Suggest you learn to read properly then, there is no mention of multiple infected passengers - just the one and husband who she was travelling with was tested negative.


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 08:50:21


 


Suggest you learn to read properly then, there is no mention of multiple infected passengers - just the one and husband who she was travelling with was tested negative.


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


We know how it spreads on a cruise, so I think that is a very optimistic interpretation.


Regardless, it was a dereliction of duty by the WHO not to have suspended all cruises in the Far East at the outset.


I can read perfectly well thank you - what I posted was a direct copy of the opening paragraphs from the NYT article.


New world order coming.
speckledjim
17 February 2020 09:14:26


 


We know how it spreads on a cruise, so I think that is a very optimistic interpretation.


Regardless, it was a dereliction of duty by the WHO not to have suspended all cruises in the Far East at the outset.


I can read perfectly well thank you - what I posted was a direct copy of the opening paragraphs from the NYT article.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


no, you are speculating and not bothering with the facts, to suit your scaremongering agenda. It is possible that there may be more cases so we shall see but until then let's just deal in facts.


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 09:20:21


 


no, you are speculating and not bothering with the facts, to suit your scaremongering agenda. It is possible that there may be more cases so we shall see but until then let's just deal in facts.


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


Why are you so uptight?


How can posting a NYT article be "scare mongering"?


How can pointing out that it is ridiculous for these cruises to have been allowed to go ahead be "scare mongering"?


Look at the Diamond Princess for example.


P.S. - another NYT article - N.B. This is as reported verbatim in the New York Times:


https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/17/world/asia/china-coronavirus.html


"Coronavirus Updates: Evacuated Americans Carried Virus From Cruise Ship to Airplane


Fourteen passengers, who were believed to be well before they were evacuated from a cruise ship in Japan on Monday, were found to be infected before boarding a charter plane to the United States."


New world order coming.
speckledjim
17 February 2020 09:24:08
You said:

That cruise ship which nobody would accept until Cambodia did, despite having no infections on board - now it transpires that there were infected passengers and the authorities are desperately trying to track all those who were on it:

There was one infected passenger, why try and say multiple when that is not true???
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 09:26:55

You said:

That cruise ship which nobody would accept until Cambodia did, despite having no infections on board - now it transpires that there were infected passengers and the authorities are desperately trying to track all those who were on it:

There was one infected passenger, why try and say multiple when that is not true???

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


You are splitting hairs SJ and I have no idea why.


New world order coming.
speckledjim
17 February 2020 09:31:39


 


You are splitting hairs SJ and I have no idea why.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Because you are stating untruths - why?


Here are some latest facts for you that are not made up:


More deaths in Hubei: A total of 105 people in mainland China were killed by the virus Sunday, China's National Health Commission said -- 100 of whom were in Hubei province, the epicenter of the outbreak. The global death toll is 1,775, including five people outside mainland China.


New cases: Thailand, Japan and South Korea announced new cases on Monday.


 


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 10:04:14


Because you are stating untruths - why?


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


Where? Or do you dispute the reports in the New York Times?


New world order coming.
xioni2
17 February 2020 10:10:15


That cruise ship which nobody would accept until Cambodia did, despite having no infections on board - now it transpires that there were infected passengers and the authorities are desperately trying to track all those who were on it:


As I have stated on many occasions, the WHO should have suspended all cruises in the region at the outset. The Westerdam left Hong Kong on Feb 1st, docked in Taiwan on 4th and has otherwise been at sea. We know how effective a cruise ship is at spreading the virus, from the one in quarantine in Japan - so pandemic here we come!


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


The plural (many passengers instead of just one) and your comment about 'pandemic here we come' were not in the NYT piece, they were both yours.

Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 10:23:42


 


The plural (many passengers instead of just one) and your comment about 'pandemic here we come' were not in the NYT piece, they were both yours.


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


OK - a slight exaggeration in my prescript. Don't forget however, that the Diamond Princess started from a single 80 year old passenger.


Basic point is that all cruises in the region should have been suspended at the outset.


New world order coming.
Essan
17 February 2020 12:12:30


Basic point is that all cruises in the region should have been suspended at the outset.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 



Seeing as most cruise ships seem to be infected with norovirus and goodness what else, maybe they should all just be suspended for good any way


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Saint Snow
17 February 2020 12:37:43


 


We know how it spreads on a cruise, so I think that is a very optimistic interpretation.


Regardless, it was a dereliction of duty by the WHO not to have suspended all cruises in the Far East at the outset.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


 




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Saint Snow
17 February 2020 12:39:44

Anyway, Richard, haven't you got sandbags to help deploy?


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
The Beast from the East
17 February 2020 12:43:36


Anyway, Richard, haven't you got sandbags to help deploy?


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


As George Useless MP says, you can't rely on the govt anymore. We are building a deregulated low tax sweatshop economy. It's each man for himself. If you can't afford sandbags, tough


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Quantum
17 February 2020 13:17:32

Tentitatively things do seem to be improving in China now. Enough time has passed since the peak to say this with some conviction. The main risk will be international cases outside of china.


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 14:23:08

More "scare mongering" - this time from the UK  Times, instead of the New York Times - what tinfoil hat rags eh?


https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/japan-facing-rapid-rise-in-coronavirus-cases-jq8pnxg87


"Japan is entering a new stage in the spread of coronavirus, experts say, as more cases emerge in isolated pockets across the country with no clear connection to its origins in China.


Although politicians and senior doctors still refuse to describe it as an epidemic, it is clear that the virus has established itself in several parts of the country and is spreading independently. Public health experts are advising the government to shift the emphasis away from attempts to keep the virus out and instead concentrate on slowing its spread and reducing deaths among those infected with the illness.


“We are just entering the accelerating stage,” said Shigeru Omi, a public health expert and former official of the World Health Organisation, who attended a meeting of health experts yesterday at the office of the prime minister, Shinzo Abe.


..."


P.S. Tokyo Olympics?


New world order coming.
xioni2
17 February 2020 14:29:41

I prefer the ECDC assessment (their bold):


The risk associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection for people from the EU/EEA and UK is currently considered to be low. This assessment is based on the following factors:



  • Since all cases reported in the EU/EEA have clearly established epidemiological links, the probability of transmission in the EU/EEA and the UK is considered to be very low.

  • However, the impact of one or more infections resulting in sustained transmission in the EU/EEA would be moderate to high, especially for elderly populations with comorbidities, given that the reported case severity is high among these groups.

Gandalf The White
17 February 2020 14:31:21


 


No - what I posted was a direct quote from the New York Times!


Cruises are still going ahead in the Far East - utterly insane of the authorities to allow this.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


No. Your opening remarks were yours and were inaccurate.


Given your previous lamentable efforts to assume the worst and overreact about this I had hoped for something more measured and closer to reality.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Brian Gaze
17 February 2020 14:36:21


Tentitatively things do seem to be improving in China now. Enough time has passed since the peak to say this with some conviction. The main risk will be international cases outside of china.


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


When I was a young Tory my branch was drawing up plans to survive a global nuclear war by taking up residence in Dalby Forrest. The apocalypse seems to have a certain draw for some self-styled "young turks" on the right. Fortunately it fades along with the radicalism over the years. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
xioni2
17 February 2020 14:45:09


When I was a young Tory my branch was drawing up plans to survive a global nuclear war by taking up residence in Dalby Forrest. The apocalypse seems to have a certain draw for some self-styled "young turks" on the right. Fortunately it fades along with the radicalism over the years. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Don't say this, nuking local tory branches or infecting them with a nasty virus sounds like an attractive idea to many. 



 

Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 14:48:09


 


No. Your opening remarks were yours and were inaccurate.


Given your previous lamentable efforts to assume the worst and overreact about this I had hoped for something more measured and closer to reality.


Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


Come off it Gandalf, that is absurd.


All I did was put something in plural, instead of singular.


That is hardly "overreacting"


I think my point is a cogent one - if containment of the spread of the virus is the paramount responsibility and concern of the WHO, it should have suspended all cruises in the Far East at the outset. The conditions on the Diamond Princess make that self evident.


 


New world order coming.
Roger Parsons
17 February 2020 14:51:15

The Covid-19 story continues - a couple of comments:
There are 2 disservices the social media can do to our understanding of a subject: distributing fake news and undermining reasoned discussion. As scientists, we will all accept questions and propositions as part of the critical path of investigation. We accept that all our Facts are conditional, and subject to change on improved understanding. It is unavoidable that posters will sometimes be exchanging derivative or unsubstantiated information in the quest for a better understanding, and I think that is what we have been seeing on TWO. An assertive or combative tone does not always help the discussions, but I have taken some pleasure in seeing non-biologists try to get to grips with the natural history of an infective organism - and I am not being patronising to them in saying that. They may have been a bit gung-ho [note appropriate term for the subject] and OTT at times, and plain wrong on occasions. However, scientific curiosity and enthusiasm are not yet a crime. Nor is being wrong. Sometimes being wrong is a very helpful start.

A lot of heat and discomfort could be avoided if posters were clearer about their sources so that readers could refer to the original material. These discussions are not a race to display our wisdom, as a baboon displays its bottom, but a sharing of ideas as we come across them and the evaluation of data as it emerges. We should probably be careful not to advise, especially as most of us are not qualified to do so. We should all be ready to at least question if news items are authentic and reliable and make sure that our own bright ideas and opinions are clearly flagged so they can be weighed and discussed appropriately.
I have been very appreciative of many of the comments made here - it's the privilege of a retired teacher to enjoy folks giving their subject a good thrashing. Thank you all for the input so far.
Roger


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
doctormog
17 February 2020 15:09:14


The Covid-19 story continues - a couple of comments:
There are 2 disservices the social media can do to our understanding of a subject: distributing fake news and undermining reasoned discussion. As scientists, we will all accept questions and propositions as part of the critical path of investigation. We accept that all our Facts are conditional, and subject to change on improved understanding. It is unavoidable that posters will sometimes be exchanging derivative or unsubstantiated information in the quest for a better understanding, and I think that is what we have been seeing on TWO. An assertive or combative tone does not always help the discussions, but I have taken some pleasure in seeing non-biologists try to get to grips with the natural history of an infective organism - and I am not being patronising to them in saying that. They may have been a bit gung-ho [note appropriate term for the subject] and OTT at times, and plain wrong on occasions. However, scientific curiosity and enthusiasm are not yet a crime. Nor is being wrong. Sometimes being wrong is a very helpful start.

A lot of heat and discomfort could be avoided if posters were clearer about their sources so that readers could refer to the original material. These discussions are not a race to display our wisdom, as a baboon displays its bottom, but a sharing of ideas as we come across them and the evaluation of data as it emerges. We should probably be careful not to advise, especially as most of us are not qualified to do so. We should all be ready to at least question if news items are authentic and reliable and make sure that our own bright ideas and opinions are clearly flagged so they can be weighed and discussed appropriately.
I have been very appreciative of many of the comments made here - it's the privilege of a retired teacher to enjoy folks giving their subject a good thrashing. Thank you all for the input so far.
Roger


Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 


 Very well said Roger.


Maunder Minimum
17 February 2020 15:45:06


 


 Very well said Roger.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Indeed.


However, I did quote my sources (NYT and Times) and the only error I apparently made was to say infected person(s) (plural) identified from the Westerdam, when there is one confirmed case and one under observation (her husband). Those overreacting, are those overreacting to my original post on that topic.


P.S. More on the same topic:


https://apnews.com/9b2c6764d9368cffc6cf3e4e94ff48d7


 


New world order coming.
Saint Snow
17 February 2020 15:52:02


Indeed.


However, I did quote my sources (NYT and Times) and the only error I apparently made was to say infected person(s) (plural) identified from the Westerdam, when there is one confirmed case and one under observation (her husband). Those overreacting, are those overreacting to my original post on that topic.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


 


 


As has been pointed out, you also concluded your post with the hysterical "so pandemic here we come!"


 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan

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