Trump is clearly not going to do anything. Perhaps Boris too. If the numbers explode tomorrow, we will see what kind of a man he is

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A tad gloomy in here

Btw, does China's 70% recovery rate mean that 30% don't?

Is this good news? I've lost count of the numbers from day to day

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Forgein office travel catogaries:

Cat 1 (self isolate if asymptomatic):

Hubei

Iran

Daegu/Cheongdo (SK)

Italy withinin containment measures

Cat 2 (self isolate if symptomatic):

Cambodia

China

Hong Kong

Italy

Japan

Laos

Macau

Malaysia

Myanmar

SK

Singapore

Taiwan

Thailand

Vietnam

 

 

 

 

I'd add France, Germany, Spain and the US to Cat2 at the absolute least.

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The good: Still not convincingly exponential

The bad: It's close. Also spain probably is.

 

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New deaths in Italy have fallen by 36 since yesterday whilst new cases have increased by 305

That's the key figure. It doesn't kill many but will overload the health and social care services, unless of course you choose not to provide ventilators and let them die. Must be happening in Russia and North Korea a lot

 

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Deaths should lag cases, not the other way round.

Means we should be skeptical of some of these statistics and that saturation seems to be happening.

 

 

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What reason was there for deleting that post?

 

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No, it means that a lot of people haven't yet fully recovered.

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No, I suspect it means these cases have not yet been “resolved”.

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Probably pointless to update this daily and there will be a lag between cases and deaths, but it's clear that the 'Italian' death rate has increased significantly in recent days. Almost all deaths are in Lombardy.

Yes, this is very true, but over a longer period of time, correlations will be less influenced by the 'lag effect'. As Brian said earlier, maybe another 10 days of data (which is not to reduce the very real world experience of this to mere points) will give us a better grasp of the stats as at this stage, it is all just random noise. 

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St Helier hospital is in the Morden/Sutton/Carshalton area of SW London.

Epsom and St Helier University Hospitals NHS Trust has confirmed the death of a patient who had tested positive for Coronavirus

The patient was in their 70s and was 'very unwell with a number of significant and long term health conditions'

Brings the total to 5 in the UK

— Joel Taylor (@JoelTaylorhack) March 9, 2020

I'd like to see a Corona fund set-up by the government. It would be used to pay for medical treatment, help to families of those who die and to make up the shortfall from lost wages. I'd also appeal to tax exiles to return and do their bit.

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I've often thought the same. If things turn bad, HMG should use the magic money tree at Threadneedle St. and do a modern version of helicopter money.

 

Covid-19 hysteria hits hard at the EU Council canteen in Brussels. They decided to take steak off the menu rather than having to serve it well done 

 

The Russian are doing a lot better than you think.

Much better than the West thus far.

As for North Korea, who knows.

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Quite right too. 

Overcooked steak is a crime to cuisine !

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The #COVID19 virus in Spain is seeing a growth rate similar to that of Italy. Just 10 days ago, Italy reported around 1,000 cases, but that number has ballooned to over 7,000 and around 16 million people have been quarantined.

— Disclose.tv 🚨 (@disclosetv) March 9, 2020

Very brave posts Darren  I had a little boy died at just age 5 waiting for heart transplant quite a few years ago now I think about him everyday I will never get fully over it I have my loved memories he died on a machine in my arms but as time gone by it probably would have gone against us because I would have worried that he would have been in a wheelchair for the rest of his life and help with his kidneys he did have a number of strokes etc. he could have said to me  when he was a adult what did you do that for dad I would have rather you let me go  I would have done anything at the time and probably still would  I did get the call one night from cosh we were at the Brompton but it called off due to new heart in trauma.

what Im trying to say I understand what your saying very brave 

Agreed! (even though I have stopped eating meat for more than 2 years now)

Fifth Brit has died

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Is that your working of the data - or do you have a source, Xioni?

[I'd trust you to get it right! ]

Roger

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I am plotting the data from here

https://www.corriere.it/speciale/salute/2020/mappa-coronavirus-italia/