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The Beast from the East
20 March 2020 08:44:21


 


No. What he is doing it seems is actively encouraging his customer base to commit involuntary man slaughter.  


Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


By you own logic, anyone who goes to a supermarket or work or leaves the house is guilty. Unless we impose Chinese total lockdown and confine people to their homes, this cannot be contained


Just let it rip. If Nadine Dorries can make a full recovery, so can we all


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Essan
20 March 2020 08:47:03


 


TBH, there are very varied reports about the severity of symptoms. Some people get hit very hard and others it seems, have very mild symptoms. I hypothesise that there are a number of factors which predispose people to severe symptoms, some of which may be genetic and most of which are currently unknown. 


Originally Posted by: Ulric 




This is what I am most curious about: why does it barely affect some people but kill others?   Even allowing for the majority of deaths being the very elderly, some younger, apparently quite fit, people need to be put in ICUs.   Is it just a pure lottery?  Or is it something else.   I have wondered whether taking medication of some form (prior to contagion or in the early stages, before symptoms show, may be a factor?  It's been suggested that taking anti inflamatories can make it worse?   Does anything else?  Also been suggestions blood type may be a factor.   


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Brian Gaze
20 March 2020 08:48:41


 


By you own logic, anyone who goes to a supermarket or work or leaves the house is guilty. Unless we impose Chinese total lockdown and confine people to their homes, this cannot be contained


Just let it rip. If Nadine Dorries can make a full recovery, so can we all


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Nonsense. People have to eat and not all have access to online shopping. Only essential workers should now be commuting IMO. Absolutely no one NEEDS to go to the pub. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
The Beast from the East
20 March 2020 08:49:34

As I mentioned yesterday,now the list of keyworkers is out, you'll see the schools are not closed. Far from it.
They might as well carry on with the exams!
I wonder if this was factored in to the imperial model?
My view is the Government still haven't actually done anything tacit and that we're more on course for 250k deaths than 20k.

Originally Posted by: John p 


250K was just worst case scenario which will never happen


More likely to be less than 100K


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Maunder Minimum
20 March 2020 08:49:54


 


By you own logic, anyone who goes to a supermarket or work or leaves the house is guilty. Unless we impose Chinese total lockdown and confine people to their homes, this cannot be contained


Just let it rip. If Nadine Dorries can make a full recovery, so can we all


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


There is a utilitarian argument for "letting it rip" - get it through the population quickly and start the recovery. However, I read some political analysis of such an approach last night (political, not medical) and the problem is this - people (quite rightly) would not accept seeing the death rate in the UK far exceed that of other countries, including Italy and Spain - you would be throwing at least a quarter of a million people in the bin for the sake of the economy. Now, a good proportion of those deaths would be amongst retired and vulnerable people, who in a strictly utilitarian sense, don't contribute anything to the economy - but they are also parents, grandparents, brothers and sisters - this is not a national struggle like a World War, people would see their loved ones being taken away and would not think "this is for the good of the economy".


I am certainly not advocating any such strategy, just trying to portray the logic of it.


 


New world order coming.
Gandalf The White
20 March 2020 08:50:31


 


TBH, there are very varied reports about the severity of symptoms. Some people get hit very hard and others it seems, have very mild symptoms. I hypothesise that there are a number of factors which predispose people to severe symptoms, some of which may be genetic and most of which are currently unknown. The UK testing regime almost guarantees that we have little idea how far/fast this is spreading in the population at large but I'm sure that social distancing is having an effect. Round here, the streets are deserted and traffic is very thin. People are keeping their distance and not touching each other when they meet. Elbow bumps instead of handshakes and respectful distances kept.


Originally Posted by: Ulric 


That is my view: inevitably news is skewed towards those with more severe symptoms.


Inevitably the people on whom the virus is having very little effect won’t show up anything like as often anecdotally - and not at all in the data without  a test.


 


 


 


 


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Ulric
20 March 2020 08:51:34


 


Oxfordshire is one of the worst affected counties - wouldn't be that a lot of people from Oxfordshire go skiing would it?


In Worcestershire, we still only have 8 official cases and our hospitals bear that out, whilst Birmingham hospitals are under pressure. Odd how adjacent regions can have such different profiles - you can of course point out that Worcestershire is a largely rural county and the West Midlands conurbation is densely populated, which of course is true - but Oxfordshire is largely rural too, as is Hampshire (which is also a hotspot).


 


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


I'm pretty convinced that what predisposes an area to a high infection rate is transit through it by travellers of one sort or another.


Hampshire does contain a large urban conurbation around Southampton/Portsmouth and it is a transport hub.


"As soon as we abandon our own reason, and are content to rely on authority, there is no end to our troubles." - Bertrand Russell
https://postimg.cc/5XXnTCGn 
Gandalf The White
20 March 2020 08:52:10


 


There is a utilitarian argument for "letting it rip" - get it through the population quickly and start the recovery. However, I read some political analysis of such an approach last night (political, not medical) and the problem is this - people (quite rightly) would not accept seeing the death rate in the UK far exceed that of other countries, including Italy and Spain - you would be throwing at least a quarter of a million people in the bin for the sake of the economy. Now, a good proportion of those deaths would be amongst retired and vulnerable people, who in a strictly utilitarian sense, don't contribute anything to the economy - but they are also parents, grandparents, brothers and sisters - this is not a national struggle like a World War, people would see their loved ones being taken away and would not think "this is for the good of the economy".


I am certainly not advocating any such strategy, just trying to portray the logic of it.


 


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


I disagree - of course retired people contribute to the economy.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


The Beast from the East
20 March 2020 08:53:25


 


Nonsense. People have to eat and not all have access to online shopping. Only essential workers should now be commuting IMO. Absolutely no one NEEDS to go to the pub. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Will be interesting to see the numbers from Italy, Spain etc over the coming weeks. Is the "partial" lockdown working, or are people still infecting each other in supermarkets etc


Any lockdown is not sustainable for months anyway. If the virus is going to return anyway, whats the point in trying to contain it? Hot summer temps don't seem to have much impact as we see in India, and a vaccine is perhaps a year away


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Brian Gaze
20 March 2020 08:53:38


 


There is a utilitarian argument for "letting it rip" - get it through the population quickly and start the recovery. However, I read some political analysis of such an approach last night (political, not medical) and the problem is this - people (quite rightly) would not accept seeing the death rate in the UK far exceed that of other countries, including Italy and Spain - you would be throwing at least a quarter of a million people in the bin for the sake of the economy. Now, a good proportion of those deaths would be amongst retired and vulnerable people, who in a strictly utilitarian sense, don't contribute anything to the economy - but they are also parents, grandparents, brothers and sisters - this is not a national struggle like a World War, people would see their loved ones being taken away and would not think "this is for the good of the economy".


I am certainly not advocating any such strategy, just trying to portray the logic of it.


 


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


As I said before we are not Nazi Germany or the Soviet Union. If we simply "let it rip" and consciously sent people to their deaths we would be heading in that direction.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Maunder Minimum
20 March 2020 08:56:49


 


As I said before we are not Nazi Germany or the Soviet Union. If we simply "let it rip" and consciously sent people to their deaths we would be heading in that direction.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Utilitarianism is not a moral philosophy - it is purely concerned with numbers. The old utilitarian argument is that it is justified to fit up and condemn an innocent man, if it encourages everyone else to behave better.


 


New world order coming.
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
20 March 2020 08:57:45


 


He is an idiot IMHO. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Quite a pair then...



Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
Essan
20 March 2020 09:01:27
I suspect that long term the death numbers may be similar whatever we do. If we "let it rip" we'll have a high death rate in the next few months but much less over the next few years (assuming it's not "cured"). Plus, hospitals will be unable to cope and those with other illnesses and injuries will suffer (and die) as a consequence. Spreading the death rate over the longer (longest possible) term does now seem to me to be more sensible.
Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Maunder Minimum
20 March 2020 09:07:32

I suspect that long term the death numbers may be similar whatever we do. If we "let it rip" we'll have a high death rate in the next few months but much less over the next few years (assuming it's not "cured"). Plus, hospitals will be unable to cope and those with other illnesses and injuries will suffer (and die) as a consequence. Spreading the death rate over the longer (longest possible) term does now seem to me to be more sensible.

Originally Posted by: Essan 


There is another argument for containment which goes beyond that. Those who suffer the worst effects, who require ICU and ventilation, don't simply spring up off the sick bed once they no longer require ICU. The recovery from the worst forms of this contagion leave those who survive, incredibly weak, requiring less intensive care, but still hospitalised for @ 3 weeks afterwards - then there will be long term effects, including pulmonary fibrosis and a good proportion of those who are hospitalised and "recover" will still have shortened lives as a consequence.


New world order coming.
Heavy Weather 2013
20 March 2020 09:10:29
The very fact that the government are continuing to insist that people follow there advise after a week would normally tell you that it’s not working.
Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
The Beast from the East
20 March 2020 09:11:04


 


There is a utilitarian argument for "letting it rip" - get it through the population quickly and start the recovery. However, I read some political analysis of such an approach last night (political, not medical) and the problem is this - people (quite rightly) would not accept seeing the death rate in the UK far exceed that of other countries, including Italy and Spain - you would be throwing at least a quarter of a million people in the bin for the sake of the economy. Now, a good proportion of those deaths would be amongst retired and vulnerable people, who in a strictly utilitarian sense, don't contribute anything to the economy - but they are also parents, grandparents, brothers and sisters - this is not a national struggle like a World War, people would see their loved ones being taken away and would not think "this is for the good of the economy".


I am certainly not advocating any such strategy, just trying to portray the logic of it.


 


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


It wouldnt be that high, thats a worst case scenario


Many English people stick their elderly relatives in care homes because they dont want to look after them in their own homes, unlike southern European, Asian and African cultures.


I don't think they would be too upset if Granny clocks it


 


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Brian Gaze
20 March 2020 09:12:44

Is it true the idiot Martin isn't even providing his staff with sanitiser gel?


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
The Beast from the East
20 March 2020 09:13:37


 


As I said before we are not Nazi Germany or the Soviet Union. If we simply "let it rip" and consciously sent people to their deaths we would be heading in that direction.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Look at the pound and FTSE today. Surging!


Boris boosterism is working a treat. . The plebs love him


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Heavy Weather 2013
20 March 2020 09:15:26


 


It wouldnt be that high, thats a worst case scenario


Many English people stick their elderly relatives in care homes because they dont want to look after them in their own homes, unlike southern European, Asian and African cultures.


I don't think they would be too upset if Granny clocks it


 


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Id be devastated. 


My grandmother is 81 years old and active. She even enjoys doing her small cleaning jobs. She enjoys the contact.


You sweeping generalisation is appalling


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Heavy Weather 2013
20 March 2020 09:16:30


 


Look at the pound and FTSE today. Surging!


Boris boosterism is working a treat. . The plebs love him


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Are you drunk still?


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
The Beast from the East
20 March 2020 09:16:54


Is it true the idiot Martin isn't even providing his staff with sanitiser gel?


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


They have run out in my pub and also toilet paper, Staff have to bring their own. But some have been laid off and they are operating a skeleton crew. 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
westv
20 March 2020 09:19:15


 


Many English people stick their elderly relatives in care homes because they dont want to look after them in their own homes, unlike southern European, Asian and African cultures.


I don't think they would be too upset if Granny clocks it


 


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


A rather sweeping statement.


At least it will be mild!
xioni2
20 March 2020 09:19:29


 They have run out in my pub and also toilet paper, 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Nothing to do with the virus, they are just adapting to the clientele.


 

roadrunnerajn
20 March 2020 09:19:59

The Government may seem reluctant to enforce what is needed but the military will have been briefed and the plans drawn up to be called upon within 24 hours. 
If we continue to raid supermarkets and act irresponsibly these measures will be implemented and the government will have the perfect excuse to carry it out. 


Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic.
xioni2
20 March 2020 09:20:30

The die is cast now and we are probably heading for hundreds of deaths daily by the end of March. Hopefully we'll never reach the Italian daily numbers, but our high numbers could easily last longer due to the half measures.

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