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xioni2
26 April 2020 08:56:50


This is a non story that has everything to do with questioning normal procedure and nothing to do with the current administration or Cummings. It is deeply irresponsible of the Guardian to blow up normal procedure during a crisis in order to land political points on the government.


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


I see Michael has already replied and made the right distinction, but it is very a much a significant story and you are just being blinkered. SAGE is supposed to provide independent scientific advice and it would not be a surprise to have some rigorous debate, disagreement and even criticism before forming a consensus. If members know that a very powerful political advisor is present (one who has the ear of the PM), do you not think that would make them much more careful in what they say and could even affect the outcome?


 

The Beast from the East
26 April 2020 08:57:02


No high absolute numbers, but still not a pleasant reading. US hospitals will soon release numbers on this phenomenon


Young, healthy people barely sick with covid-19 are dying from strokes


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


They were talking about this on CNN last night. The expert they had was worried and said we are still learning about this novel virus and the long term effects on the body. 


The message was try not to catch it until you can be vaccinated. Even if you had mild symptoms and recovered it might have damaged something inside you and you don't realise it yet


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Bertwhistle
26 April 2020 08:59:52

The carry on as normal brigade are starting to really ** me off now. But it seems it's happening everywhere.


Check out some of the excuses given to police in Wales for breaking lockdown rules:


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-52386123


Winner must be 'I don't watch the news; what's going on?'


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Gavin D
26 April 2020 09:01:21

Spain's last 24 hours



  • 3,995 new cases

  • 378 new deaths

RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
26 April 2020 09:01:29


 


Its routine for representatives from #10 to attend SAGE meetings. If you think this is a problem, that's fine but the grunyard article implied something exceptional was happening which is not the case. What happened also happened during past administrations.


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Either you have haven't actually read the article or you are just spinning to your agenda.


The Guardian isn't claiming that a Downing Street adviser being present at a Sage meeting is exceptional. This is made clear. It is whether of not he contributed that is the issue.


Asked again at the Downing Street press conference whether Cummings made contributions to Sage, Powis would only say that it is the “scientists that make the scientific contributions”.


Previous scientific advisers said the details of Cummings’s involvement in the committee were crucial. Prof Derek Hill, of University College London, said: “I was on a science advisory group for dementia research when David Cameron was prime minister. Advisers from No 10 often turned up, but just as observers.


“The question here is whether Cummings not only attends but actively participates in Sage. For example, does he talk more at these meetings than some of the scientists?”


 


Publishing the minutes of the meetings would remove any doubt. Why are the secret?


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
NickR
26 April 2020 09:02:36


 


The important bit was 13 decided to dabble in household agents last year. It's not unknown. Numbers go up and down. It could have been 30 this year whose to say if anything wasn't said. 13 to 30 isn't a great amount out of 19 million people. It could have been 50 the year before that.


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


The calls in Maryland and elsewhere about it in the 24hrs after he said it. The increase in numbers given medical help in that same period for trying these methods. I get it. You just don't want to see it.


Nick
Durham
[email protected]
The Beast from the East
26 April 2020 09:02:40

You couldn't make it up! Poor Vietnamese children are spending their pocket money to help us. 


 




"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Phil G
26 April 2020 09:04:30


 


I see Michael has already replied and made the right distinction, but it is very a much a significant story and you are just being blinkered. SAGE is supposed to provide independent scientific advice and it would not be a surprise to have some rigorous debate, disagreement and even criticism before forming a consensus. If members know that a very powerful political advisor is present (one who has the ear of the PM), do you not think that would make them much more careful in what they say and could even affect the outcome?


 


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


I agree with Q on this. If its not Cummings its /johnson/conservatives/leave/Trump. There's a trend there!


Let's see how Marr interrogates Raab soon on this as the BBC/Guardian walk hand in hand,

xioni2
26 April 2020 09:05:25


You couldn't make it up! Poor Vietnamese children are spending their pocket money to help us. 



Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Communist propaganda, don't believe a word of it, blah blah.


 

llamedos
26 April 2020 09:05:45


 


26k deaths over an entire winter with no distancing let alone lockdown. Compared to 50k deaths in, what, 5 weeks, with distancing and lockdown, without which the NHS would have collapsed and 100s of 1000s would have died from a virus that also causes damage to lungs, kidneys, and the heart, as well as causing strokes in healthy people in their 30s.


I can't believe anyone is still seriously comparing this with flu.


Originally Posted by: NickR 

I didn't read the quote that way Nick. Rather saying, a particular widespread yearly epidemic (which happens to be flu) - perhaps?


"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
The Beast from the East
26 April 2020 09:06:22


 


Winner must be 'I don't watch the news; what's going on?'


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


You'd be surprised at the numbers of people wrapped up in their own bubbles. Some of my facebook and twitter contacts have stopped watching the news and are now bored of Covid. They want normal life to return, and they will just start doing what they did before until someone in authority stops them


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Phil G
26 April 2020 09:06:51


 


Has UK testing increased? Presumably, if you increase the number of tests, you will record more cases without the virus being any more widespread. Our number of cases here seems to be fairly constant too, but I suspect that that may be down to increased testing, now up to 10,000 a day. Our health experts are happy that the transmission rate is down to 0.5. The proof of this is that numbers in ICU have now fallen to around 2/3 of their highest levels. So the situation is improving here despite the headline numbers being the same. 


Originally Posted by: Lionel Hutz 


Thanks Lionel, that's true on the number of testing. Perhaps the 'better' measure is hospital admissions. Anyone got the best data source for these thanks.

ozone_aurora
26 April 2020 09:07:50


 


There should be investigation what's causing these 4-5k new cases every day as numbers should be coming down now. I can only think its caused in supermarkets where there is any kind of congregation, indoors, people with and without muzzles, touching food, payment keypads. I wonder if this 2m is adequate also. Until a reason is found for these numbers and suitable action taken, we can't really move on unless the numbers we see now are acceptable by the govt, not!


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


Yes, I think it's highly likely supermarkets. Morrisons was actually very busy when I looked in their car park yesterday, thought it was far too risky to go in there. Other possibilities include long incubation of C-19 of up to 14 days, possible post infection dormancy & rekindling. Also, poor hygiene in handling delivered goods. 

Phil G
26 April 2020 09:13:58



Yes, I think it's highly likely supermarkets. Morrisons was actually very busy when I looked in their car park yesterday, thought it was far too risky to go in there. Other possibilities include long incubation of C-19 of up to 14 days, possible post infection dormancy & rekindling. Also, poor hygiene in handling delivered goods. 


Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 


I shop in there. The next time I'll go in there and speak to the check out staff as I go through as they are quite chatty. Be 'interesting' if their staff are getting infected. I don't see any of them with masks, on the floor or behind the screens.

John p
26 April 2020 09:18:40

Did anyone watch Marr earlier? I never realised what a slimy git he is until now.
When trying to crucify Nicola Sturgeon for Scotland having 30% of deaths in care homes, he said England’s figure is 10%.
Minutes later when interviewing Raab, he mentioned how bad the English data was looking with about 50% of deaths in care homes!

Using different figures for the same stat, to batter two different figures...


Camberley, Surrey
Phil G
26 April 2020 09:22:13


 


The calls in Maryland and elsewhere about it in the 24hrs after he said it. The increase in numbers given medical help in that same period for trying these methods. I get it. You just don't want to see it.


Originally Posted by: NickR 


I tell you what Nick. You get the proof it just wasn't the same idiots in Maryland calling that number, get the stats on other States on household agent abuse year on year (I haven't seen other States reporting this), see how the numbers stack up over several years and perhaps you may be onto something. Until then, I stand by my latest post on this. 13 or 30, people dabble with household agents. Get the previous years data as well if it helps. It seems you don't accept that household agent abuse hasn't happened in the past, it has, and without Donald Duck.

Roger Parsons
26 April 2020 09:39:04


I didn't read the quote that way Nick. Rather saying, a particular widespread yearly epidemic (which happens to be flu) - perhaps?


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


I thought the same, llamedos. R.


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Brian Gaze
26 April 2020 09:43:13


 


Has UK testing increased? Presumably, if you increase the number of tests, you will record more cases without the virus being any more widespread. Our number of cases here seems to be fairly constant too, but I suspect that that may be down to increased testing, now up to 10,000 a day. Our health experts are happy that the transmission rate is down to 0.5. The proof of this is that numbers in ICU have now fallen to around 2/3 of their highest levels. So the situation is improving here despite the headline numbers being the same. 


Originally Posted by: Lionel Hutz 


Yes it has. However, the point is numbers are far too high for contact tracing. We need to get down to the low 100s. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Darren S
26 April 2020 09:52:31


 


I tell you what Nick. You get the proof it just wasn't the same idiots in Maryland calling that number, get the stats on other States on household agent abuse year on year (I haven't seen other States reporting this), see how the numbers stack up over several years and perhaps you may be onto something. Until then, I stand by my latest post on this. 13 or 30, people dabble with household agents. Get the previous years data as well if it helps. It seems you don't accept that household agent abuse hasn't happened in the past, it has, and without Donald Duck.


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


I bet that people ingesting household detergents in normal times are either (a) young children or (b) suicidal people. I think it's fair to assume that the recent doubling is due to people believing Trump, not an increase in (a) or (b).


Darren
Crowthorne, Berks (87m asl)
South Berks Winter Snow Depth Totals:
2023/24 0 cm; 2022/23 7 cm; 2021/22 1 cm; 2020/21 13 cm; 2019/20 0 cm; 2018/19 14 cm; 2017/18 23 cm; 2016/17 0 cm; 2015/16 0.5 cm; 2014/15 3.5 cm; 2013/14 0 cm; 2012/13 22 cm; 2011/12 7 cm; 2010/11 6 cm; 2009/10 51 cm
Phil G
26 April 2020 09:54:34


 


I bet that people ingesting household detergents in normal times are either (a) young children or (b) suicidal people. I think it's fair to assume that the recent doubling is due to people believing Trump, not an increase in (a) or (b).


Originally Posted by: Darren S 


Say if it was 50 the year before that Darren, what then? Assume, your assumption, do you really know? Not another one!

xioni2
26 April 2020 09:58:09


 Yes it has. However, the point is numbers are far too high for contact tracing. We need to get down to the low 100s. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


It depends on how they are clustered though, it's possible that the majority of current new infections (not those announced today) is associated with hospitals and care homes. We just don't know because of the lack of proper testing. This will hopefully improve in the next few weeks and the lag between infection and testing result should also come down.


 

ozone_aurora
26 April 2020 10:06:17

Between 3 & 10% of UK's population may have been infected with Covid-19 according to Professor Christophe Fraser.


Edit: predicted rather than may

SJV
26 April 2020 10:08:33


 


Say if it was 50 the year before that Darren, what then? Assume, your assumption, do you really know? Not another one!


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


So you're putting it down to sheer coincidence that the numbers just happened to have doubled in the wake of the President of the United States hypothesising such a treatment? Do you really know?


The rest of us are putting 2 and 2 together to make 4. You're forgetting that there are millions who think Trump can do no wrong, and a tiny fraction of these supporters (with an alarming lack of common sense and self-preservation) take it upon themselves to test Trump's hypothesis with predictable consequences.


None of us have proof that it is definitely the case, but come on Phil!  

Phil G
26 April 2020 10:15:49


 


So you're putting it down to sheer coincidence that the numbers just happened to have doubled in the wake of the President of the United States hypothesising such a treatment? Do you really know?


The rest of us are putting 2 and 2 together to make 4. You're forgetting that there are millions who think Trump can do no wrong, and a tiny fraction of these supporters (with an alarming lack of common sense and self-preservation) take it upon themselves to test Trump's hypothesis with predictable consequences.


None of us have proof that it is definitely the case, but come on Phil!  


Originally Posted by: SJV 


The word doubled Steve has been used by the BBC but that is from a low base. From 13 to 30 people out of 19 million. 1 one year up to 2 is 100% growth. Say if it was 50 the year before, what then? Remember the golden rule on here, don't take figures in isolation, up one minute when they were down the next, it tells you nothing. Say if there was 40 last year, because for whatever reason it was a worse year for these stats, and there was the 30 this year, this information would not have been used. It was perhaps 'cherry picked' to serve a purpose, an agenda.

SJV
26 April 2020 10:37:34


 


The word doubled Steve has been used by the BBC but that is from a low base. From 13 to 30 people out of 19 million. 1 one year up to 2 is 100% growth. Say if it was 50 the year before, what then? Remember the golden rule on here, don't take figures in isolation, up one minute when they were down the next, it tells you nothing.


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


Statistically the rise is not significant, but even putting my loathing for Trump to one side I find it difficult to not attribute the rise to his ill-judged words. To me it is too much of a coincidence, however easy it is to jump to conclusions. We will have to agree to disagree on this occasion 

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