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The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 08:56:48


From the Sunday Times:



In the first admission from within government that the lockdown might have been mishandled, a senior official said: “The view is that the public will forgive us for mistakes made when going into the lockdown but they won’t forgive us for mistakes made coming out of it.”



Forgive HMG for the ‘mistakes’ which have cost tens of thousands of lives?


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


The prized arsehole Fraser Nelson said this on Marr. I suppose the polling backs him up and of course we see the comments on this forum constantly defending HMG and trying to blame the media


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 08:57:02


From the Sunday Times:



In the first admission from within government that the lockdown might have been mishandled, a senior official said: “The view is that the public will forgive us for mistakes made when going into the lockdown but they won’t forgive us for mistakes made coming out of it.”



Forgive HMG for the ‘mistakes’ which have cost tens of thousands of lives?


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


You have misunderstood. The government has only been following 'The Science' which it turns out was flawed, and the people who have been dying are mainly old people who don't count because they would have died anyway, not to mention the fact that their death certificates have been purposely incorrectly filled out as part of a hard-left conspiratorial plot to bring down capitalism. The government have navigated this crisis brilliantly and cannot be faulted.


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 08:59:26


Someone posted on Facebook  


 


Originally Posted by: Caz 


The four most dangerous words in the English language


Facebook is a cancer of fake news and idiocy and should be shut down. We need to treat social media as a public health issue, like smoking or not wearing seat belts


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
doctormog
10 May 2020 09:00:13
Ignoring the “unaccounted” deaths in places like Italy (see earlier post) that charting tool that Ulric posted is interesting. Picking the highest rates in Europe paints a clearer picture however the massive caveat is the different method of reporting between different countries.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-covid-deaths-per-million-7-day-average?country=ITA+ESP+GBR+BEL+FRA+SWE 

In the same way our government and their numbers must be scrutinised we must not assume that other countries’ data are accurate or a genuine representation. What did cause those excess deaths in Italy that were not attributed to Covid-19 and is that reflected in other countries?
The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 09:03:09


 


The problem with “unnamed” is that is equates to “unaccountable”. Who cares if 90% turns out to be nonsense as no one can be held to account for confusing leaks, conflicting opinions, random statistics?


It’s not the messenger that is the problem it is the system that allows such influential stories to be released with no consequences to those responsible when they turn out to be garbage.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


All these leaks and briefings are coming from your beloved Tory Govt! Its not the system, its the way this vile bunch of shysters chooses to operate


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 09:06:22


 


I agree with her. The message will be interpreted as: no need to stay home, do what I like, but maybe wash my hands every now and then. 

The green colouring is also an odd choice - why not keep it red unless they’re deliberately trying to persuade us to think the danger is passing?


Originally Posted by: John p 


Agreed. Its literally a green light to do whatever you like. Of course, most things are still closed, but the shops that do open will be packed and household mixing will increase


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Northern Sky
10 May 2020 09:08:43

Stats bloke on Marr very impressive. He outlined the risks according to age - for young people the risk from Covid is staggeringly small. In contrast for the other end of the population age group the risk is very high. I suppose we already know that but the idea that the virus is a threat to everyone is simply not true for the young. 

The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 09:13:55


 


The post implies the Government should be immune from criticism because, in a nutshell, we live in a crowded country compared to others in Europe. 


Everyone is lapping this of course, ignoring all the other epic failings by the Government. To many, they simply can do no wrong. Scary. 


Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


This is basically the Culture wars we have imported from America, and all tied into Brexit.


Both countries are so bitterly divided almost 50/50, which is why the polling is so stable. Its the footballification of politics. You back your "team" or "tribe" no matter what.


Even if your Centre forward bites an ear off an opponent, you will back him to the bitter end (remember Luis Suarez, and all those Liverpool fans defending him!)


Trump and Boris supporters are Cult like in their loyalty and so much is invested in believing the Brexit and immigration lies, that its easier just to go along with it, rather than think for yourself, because that would mean admitting you have been conned


 


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
xioni2
10 May 2020 09:15:40


On the subject of numbers, I found this article (from the Italian National Institute of Statistics) interesting. Out of the 25000 or so excess deaths from 20th Feb to the 31st March, only 54% of these excess deaths were attributed to Covid-19.

https://www.istat.it/it/files//2020/05/Istat-ISS_-eng.pdf 

Surely that leaves only two main scenarios? Either the number of Covid-19 related deaths is significantly higher than reported in Italy or there is/was another serious underlying issue. I think analysis over time will paint a much clearer picture than daily statistics can mange.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


I think the most likely answer lies within the report itself: "91% of the excess mortality registered at the average national level in March 2020 is concentrated in the areas of high spread of the epidemic".


Preliminary analysis of our excess mortality reveals a similar picture, it's much higher in areas with high number of infections and high numbers of hospital deaths. This implies that it's unlikely to be excess mortality related to the lockdown (heart attacks etc.) and more likely to be related to CV19.

doctormog
10 May 2020 09:15:42


 


All these leaks and briefings are coming from your beloved Tory Govt! Its not the system, its the way this vile bunch of shysters chooses to operate


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


At least you are consistent in always ignoring the key points of my posts to simply react with your usual nonsense knee jerk unfounded and baseless nonsense. In all this mess at least certain things can be relied on. 


John p
10 May 2020 09:17:45


Stats bloke on Marr very impressive. He outlined the risks according to age - for young people the risk from Covid is staggeringly small. In contrast for the other end of the population age group the risk is very high. I suppose we already know that but the idea that the virus is a threat to everyone is simply not true for the young. 


Originally Posted by: Northern Sky 


You keep posting this as if it’s new news. 
I also don’t think you get the point - unless you completely segregate the age groups, the younger population will spread the virus to the older population. 


As ever, it seems the elderly or the sick do not matter. 


Camberley, Surrey
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 09:18:51

STAY ALERT - a typical journalist's slogan from Boris, trying to be cheerful rather than practical?


"Honest, officer, I'm really alert; i've just driven up to the Lake District from London and I must have been alert because I didn't crash into anything"


"Yes, officer, I know we're having a massive BBQ party, but I know I'm alert because no-one's spilled my drink yet"


STAY APART would be much more testable, enforceable and might actually affect the continuation of the epidemic.


 


 


Start drafting the press releases for when the rest of Europe has cleared its epidemic and refuses to accept travel from Britain because we are still an infected nation.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 09:21:10


Stats bloke on Marr very impressive. He outlined the risks according to age - for young people the risk from Covid is staggeringly small. In contrast for the other end of the population age group the risk is very high. I suppose we already know that but the idea that the virus is a threat to everyone is simply not true for the young. 


Originally Posted by: Northern Sky 


I expect you to practice what you post and get your school re-opened from tomorrow.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 09:21:19


Stats bloke on Marr very impressive. He outlined the risks according to age - for young people the risk from Covid is staggeringly small. In contrast for the other end of the population age group the risk is very high. I suppose we already know that but the idea that the virus is a threat to everyone is simply not true for the young. 


Originally Posted by: Northern Sky 


Yes of course, but the virus uses the young as hosts to spread itself and kill the old. If you can prevent young people from coming into contact with older people, then that's fine, but almost impossible in practical terms


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
xioni2
10 May 2020 09:21:28


 I know you did, and I agree that it’s possible that we’re likely to be disproportionately affected by the virus because of this - hopefully this will eventually become clear. 


 

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


I know it's not your argument, but it's such a weak argument for 2 reasons:



  • lived density is more relevant (cities in the Med have a much higher lived density than our cities)

  • there are many examples of countries with much higher population density that have done much better than us (South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong etc.)

llamedos
  • llamedos
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
10 May 2020 09:24:08


 


The four most dangerous words in the English language


 


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

The Beast is back ?  


"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 09:26:21


 


 


Start drafting the press releases for when the rest of Europe has cleared its epidemic and refuses to accept travel from Britain because we are still an infected nation.


Originally Posted by: DEW 


We don't them! Brexit will open up the rest of the world! Long distance air travel will save us! 


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
xioni2
10 May 2020 09:27:04


A timeline of events that list the catastrophic decisions made by HMG and Boris in particular from the turn of the year. Scandalous, criminal and maddening. The fact that some on here still defend this government and refuse to lay any blame at their door is mind-boggling.


How Boris Johnson refused to fight the virus


Don't read if you want to greet your Sunday in a good mood.


Originally Posted by: SJV 


I checked quite a few of them and they are factually correct. It is a very damning account and probably how history will eventually record what happened in this tragic period for our country. I don't think many people realise how our situation is reported in other countries (even in Australia and New Zealand), it is portrayed as a shambles, caused by poor leadership and there is a lot of emphasis on the UK missing the ~2 week advantage/warning from Italy.


 

The Beast from the East
10 May 2020 09:28:50


The Beast is back ?  


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


Easterlies are too warm this time of year, we need a sustained northerly! Perhaps this week's frost will close the Garden Centres anyway!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
westv
10 May 2020 09:31:16
Why does Marr always seem to take so long to appear on iPlayer?
At least it will be mild!
xioni2
10 May 2020 09:33:39

Why does Marr always seem to take so long to appear on iPlayer?

Originally Posted by: westv 


The BBC is trialling a new bullsh1t filter.


 

lanky
10 May 2020 09:34:55


STAY ALERT - a typical journalist's slogan from Boris, trying to be cheerful rather than practical?


"Honest, officer, I'm really alert; i've just driven up to the Lake District from London and I must have been alert because I didn't crash into anything"


"Yes, officer, I know we're having a massive BBQ party, but I know I'm alert because no-one's spilled my drink yet"


STAY APART would be much more testable, enforceable and might actually affect the continuation of the epidemic.


 


 


Start drafting the press releases for when the rest of Europe has cleared its epidemic and refuses to accept travel from Britain because we are still an infected nation.


Originally Posted by: DEW 


I cannot imagine why anyone thought this slogan was a good idea. It conveys no useful advice and just confuses everyone


The word "alert" is inappropriate and is more akin to public information files rom WW2 about spies and careless talk


 


Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Brian Gaze
10 May 2020 09:39:08

Grim reading in the ST this morning. It feels like the nuke has detonated and the fallout is beginning to arrive. Optimism on a quick and effective vaccine being discovered appears to be plunging. The cavalry probably isn't on the way before the end of 2021, if at all. Difficult to see a way out of this TBH. The death toll in the UK may still exceed several hundred thousand IMO. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Joe Bloggs
10 May 2020 09:39:41


 


You keep posting this as if it’s new news. 
I also don’t think you get the point - unless you completely segregate the age groups, the younger population will spread the virus to the older population. 


As ever, it seems the elderly or the sick do not matter. 


Originally Posted by: John p 


I think that’s a tad unfair - I think it it is good to maintain perspective about the characteristics of the virus as this can easily get lost in all the chaos. On that basis I welcome NS’s post.



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 09:41:13


The four most dangerous words in the English language


Facebook is a cancer of fake news and idiocy and should be shut down. We need to treat social media as a public health issue, like smoking or not wearing seat belts


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

I don’t disagree about Facebook but the message was sound, for a change.   So why pick out those four words from my post when I was simply quoting my source? The message that you missed or ignored was:


If measures are relaxed, it’s not because this is over!  It’s because there’s space for you in ICU!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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