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llamedos
  • llamedos
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
10 May 2020 06:01:54

"Big" announcement day .....


"Life with the Lions"

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Roger Parsons
10 May 2020 06:11:37


"Big" announcement day .....


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


My money is on some bizarre kind of "alert system" - cleft sticks with messages perhaps? Dowsing for infections?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52602635


R.


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 06:48:42


"Big" announcement day .....


Originally Posted by: llamedos 


Following the 'wisdom of crowds'? 


The lockdown seemed to have been driven by an ultimatum from Macron (see posts on here in March); now the 'unlockdown' appears to be driven by public activity. Why is this government always behind the curve?


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Brian Gaze
10 May 2020 06:55:09

ST is saying some of the easing measures have been put on hold for several weeks. Advisors are concerned the infection rate remains too high. They're warning of 100,000 deaths by the end of the year.


Edit: Apparently the target was 4000 infections per day but we're still running at 18000. Seems like we're heading for further disasters in the UK. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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doctormog
10 May 2020 07:16:51


ST is saying some of the easing measures have been put on hold for several weeks. Advisors are concerned the infection rate remains too high. They're warning of 100,000 deaths by the end of the year.


Edit: Apparently the target was 4000 infections per day but we're still running at 18000. Seems like we're heading for further disasters in the UK. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


18000 new cases a day? Let me guess the number is from “a source”?


Gandalf The White
10 May 2020 07:23:14


ST is saying some of the easing measures have been put on hold for several weeks. Advisors are concerned the infection rate remains too high. They're warning of 100,000 deaths by the end of the year.


Edit: Apparently the target was 4000 infections per day but we're still running at 18000. Seems like we're heading for further disasters in the UK. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


The rate of decline was always expected to be very gradual and we’re, as you say, not at the level where anything more than a token easing is merited.  Unfortunately too many, although still a minority, have decided to disobey the current rules.


The threshold of 100,000 deaths only needs 300 per day from here and we’re still above that level.  That’s supported by your quoted 18,000 (identified) cases per day; given the CFR that’s also around 300 deaths.


 If the R value ticks above 1, as is almost inevitable as more people are out and about and interacting, I still expect another period of harsher constraints.


Obama’s description of the Trump administration’s woeful efforts could be repeated here. 


Johnson is very well educated and he will understand the word ‘gravitas’ but he seems incapable of linking the word with either his thinking, demeanour of words.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
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doctormog
10 May 2020 07:28:41
If there are 18000 identified new cases a day why are only around 5000 or sometimes fewer being reported? If these numbers are known and verifiable they must be published.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 07:45:46

Someone posted on Facebook:  


Remember, if Boris lifts lockdown restrictions today, it’s not because this is over!  It’s because there’s space for you in ICU!


Whatever the media has been reporting from their ‘unnamed sources’ I don’t think we’ll see much lifting!  No doubt the media will say the experts have changed their minds.  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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lanky
10 May 2020 07:47:15

If there are 18000 identified new cases a day why are only around 5000 or sometimes fewer being reported? If these numbers are known and verifiable they must be published.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


The published figure must be the number of positive tests (confirmed cases)


No one has ever been able to determine how many cases go untested as they are very mild or asymptomatic. There was a plan to use the antigen test to do a random survey to try and get a handle on this figure but AFAIK this is still ongoing and nothing has been published


Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 07:48:53

If there are 18000 identified new cases a day why are only around 5000 or sometimes fewer being reported? If these numbers are known and verifiable they must be published.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

If there are 18000 identified new cases a day, add on the unidentified cases and we’re well on our way to herd immunity!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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doctormog
10 May 2020 07:51:55
That is the whole point. Where does the 18000 come from? Could it actually be 10000 or 50000? There must be a verifiable source otherwise it is an unverifiable estimate which could be incredibly inaccurate. Numbers plucked from thin air are meaningless and unhelpful.
Roger Parsons
10 May 2020 07:54:48


Someone posted on Facebook:  


Remember, if Boris lifts lockdown restrictions today, it’s not because this is over!  It’s because there’s space for you in ICU!


Whatever the media has been reporting from their ‘unnamed sources’ I don’t think we’ll see much lifting!  No doubt the media will say the experts have changed their minds.  


Originally Posted by: Caz 


An "unnamed source" is as useful as a chocolate fireguard, Caz. Information/disinformation is leaked by untrustworthy or indiscreet people to someone equally irresponsible in order to undermine those in authority by bewildering someone gullible. Malice may be intended at any stage.


"Protecting our sources" might as well read "Freedom to lie".  Whistleblowers are not automatically public spirited heroes.


R.


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
llamedos
  • llamedos
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
10 May 2020 07:55:00

Yesterday's UK data was 3896 new cases 


"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 07:57:25


An "unnamed source" is as useful as a chocolate fireguard, Caz. Information/disinformation is leaked by untrustworthy or indiscreet people to someone equally irresponsible in order to undermine those in authority by bewildering someone gullible. Malice may be intended at any stage.


"Protecting our sources" might as well read "Freedom to lie".  Whistleblowers are not automatically public spirited heroes.


R.


Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

  Exactly Roger!   Much more sensible to be patient and get it from the horses mouth!  Speculation causes confusion and disappointment!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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Heavy Weather 2013
10 May 2020 07:59:32
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-50-000-tests-sent-to-the-us-due-to-lab-issues-11985900 

That’s 50,000 tests where we won’t know the results for days.

I though we were told this technical issues had been overcome?
Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Justin W
10 May 2020 08:07:38

Fairly typical of this forum to blame the messenger. This govt's press strategy is based upon briefings by advisors who are unnamed. It is a condition of admittance to what today passes for the 'Lobby' that you agree not to name the three or four advisors who dish out these gems. Take the fiasco last week over the lifting of restrictions supposedly scheduled for tomorrow. That was not 'made up' by the press but briefed in advance by one or other of these advisors. 


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Gavin D
10 May 2020 08:09:36

Ulric
10 May 2020 08:10:52
"Big announcement" day coincides with the day when I have heard of the death of the first individual who is personally known to me - owner of a local business.
To doubt everything or to believe everything are two equally convenient solutions; both dispense with the necessity of reflection. - Henri Poincaré
SJV
10 May 2020 08:13:06

A timeline of events that list the catastrophic decisions made by HMG and Boris in particular from the turn of the year. Scandalous, criminal and maddening. The fact that some on here still defend this government and refuse to lay any blame at their door is mind-boggling.


How Boris Johnson refused to fight the virus


Don't read if you want to greet your Sunday in a good mood.

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 May 2020 08:14:02

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-50-000-tests-sent-to-the-us-due-to-lab-issues-11985900

That’s 50,000 tests where we won’t know the results for days.

I though we were told this technical issues had been overcome?

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 

According to Gavin, some tests take 7 days for results anyway, so I doubt it will make much difference!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Heavy Weather 2013
10 May 2020 08:15:57


Fairly typical of this forum to blame the messenger. This govt's press strategy is based upon briefings by advisors who are unnamed. It is a condition of admittance to what today passes for the 'Lobby' that you agree not to name the three or four advisors who dish out these gems. Take the fiasco last week over the lifting of restrictions supposedly scheduled for tomorrow. That was not 'made up' by the press but briefed in advance by one or other of these advisors. 


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


Exactly, and then HMG can come out and say that it was never policy. 


I also think there is a culture of fear amongst the lobby journos. We have a government that will remove access of they get asked the difficult questions.


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
doctormog
10 May 2020 08:18:31


Fairly typical of this forum to blame the messenger. This govt's press strategy is based upon briefings by advisors who are unnamed. It is a condition of admittance to what today passes for the 'Lobby' that you agree not to name the three or four advisors who dish out these gems. Take the fiasco last week over the lifting of restrictions supposedly scheduled for tomorrow. That was not 'made up' by the press but briefed in advance by one or other of these advisors. 


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


The problem with “unnamed” is that is equates to “unaccountable”. Who cares if 90% turns out to be nonsense as no one can be held to account for confusing leaks, conflicting opinions, random statistics?


It’s not the messenger that is the problem it is the system that allows such influential stories to be released with no consequences to those responsible when they turn out to be garbage. I guess responsibility is something that needs to apply only to “us”.


John p
10 May 2020 08:19:36




Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


I agree with her. The message will be interpreted as: no need to stay home, do what I like, but maybe wash my hands every now and then. 

The green colouring is also an odd choice - why not keep it red unless they’re deliberately trying to persuade us to think the danger is passing?


Camberley, Surrey
Joe Bloggs
10 May 2020 08:19:41


A timeline of events that list the catastrophic decisions made by HMG and Boris in particular from the turn of the year. Scandalous, criminal and maddening. The fact that some on here still defend this government and refuse to lay any blame at their door is mind-boggling.


How Boris Johnson refused to fight the virus


Don't read if you want to greet your Sunday in a good mood.


Originally Posted by: SJV 


No - you’re wrong because Facebook says so. 


https://www.facebook.com/722370783/posts/10157368704805784/?d=n


 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

bledur
10 May 2020 08:23:37

[quote=Joe Bloggs;1213977]


 


No - you’re wrong because Facebook says so. 


https://www.facebook.com/722370783/posts/10157368704805784/?d=n


 


[/quote It is a valid point.

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