ST is saying some of the easing measures have been put on hold for several weeks. Advisors are concerned the infection rate remains too high. They're warning of 100,000 deaths by the end of the year.
Edit: Apparently the target was 4000 infections per day but we're still running at 18000. Seems like we're heading for further disasters in the UK.
Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze
The rate of decline was always expected to be very gradual and we’re, as you say, not at the level where anything more than a token easing is merited. Unfortunately too many, although still a minority, have decided to disobey the current rules.
The threshold of 100,000 deaths only needs 300 per day from here and we’re still above that level. That’s supported by your quoted 18,000 (identified) cases per day; given the CFR that’s also around 300 deaths.
If the R value ticks above 1, as is almost inevitable as more people are out and about and interacting, I still expect another period of harsher constraints.
Obama’s description of the Trump administration’s woeful efforts could be repeated here.
Johnson is very well educated and he will understand the word ‘gravitas’ but he seems incapable of linking the word with either his thinking, demeanour of words.
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