The entire short run up to 192 that is.

Interesting that the GEFS mean pressure is back to exactly where we are today by the end of the run.

UKMO and GFS looking similar, not that much rain for areas that need it, SE rain shield in operation perhaps

Mildest winters on record are normally very wet and stormy as well. 

Considering some runs have been bringing 0C 850mb air to the south, the 12Z GFS is very warm, only dipping into high single figures briefly in the next week down south.

Top temps from the 12Z op run from Monday: 32, 28, 26, 25, 28, 27. Not really that much of a cooldown on this evidence!

Not sure if mentioned already but the 00z ECM ENS suggests another heat up during the last third of August. 

Still some useful rain in the coming days, but the 12z nowhere near as cool  and unsettled as the 6z was.

GEM offers some hope for rain, though seems to be isolated

The problem is the rain will be convective in nature. Some may get a deluge, others nothing. Next month and beyond we can hope for more steady rain if we're lucky

Could this be a repeat of 1975/76 pattern?

If so, it will become pretty severe.

Winter 1988/9 says hello. 

Just as GFS came onboard. But it’s not that bad, and pressure building long term.

GEFS getting warmer again. Little rain aswell.a growing trend 

Pretty sure we will see continued warmth for another month in patches, but a lot more rain too.