theweatheroutlook

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Hungry Tiger
15 August 2022 11:52:41


Well, off topic, but in sure you will all be thrilled to know, I'm disappearing for a while.


Sadly, I've had to cancel my holiday as I've been taken into hospital today after I collapsed yesterday evening.


Not sure what caused it, but I've been taken to hospital for some tests and not sure how long I'll be here for. 


Feeling thoroughly under the weather right now in a lot of pain 🤒


I will hopefully be home soon but my holiday has gone for a burton.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


I wish you all the very best. As a moderator I'm always concerned if a regular participant is taken ill.


I hope things work out well for you.

Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Zubzero
15 August 2022 12:05:17


Well, off topic, but in sure you will all be thrilled to know, I'm disappearing for a while.


Sadly, I've had to cancel my holiday as I've been taken into hospital today after I collapsed yesterday evening.


Not sure what caused it, but I've been taken to hospital for some tests and not sure how long I'll be here for. 


Feeling thoroughly under the weather right now in a lot of pain 🤒


I will hopefully be home soon but my holiday has gone for a burton.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Get well soon, and I hope your back posting asap 🙏 

idj20
15 August 2022 12:27:55

Same to Moomin from me as well, hope it isn't anything too serious and you'll be back steering your ark before long. 

Back to the models, after this bit of blip I don't think this Summer as a whole isn't done with us. 

Folkestone Harbour. 
Downpour
15 August 2022 12:29:36
Wanted to wish all the best to Kieron (Moomin) and send my best wishes.

Get well soon sir.
Chingford
London E4
147ft
doctormog
15 August 2022 12:32:04


Well, off topic, but in sure you will all be thrilled to know, I'm disappearing for a while.


Sadly, I've had to cancel my holiday as I've been taken into hospital today after I collapsed yesterday evening.


Not sure what caused it, but I've been taken to hospital for some tests and not sure how long I'll be here for. 


Feeling thoroughly under the weather right now in a lot of pain 🤒


I will hopefully be home soon but my holiday has gone for a burton.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


That’s frustrating and I hope you’re feeling better soon. It’s better to be under the weather because of the weather than health reasons!


(On topic the 06z GFS and ensemble set seems to continue the general trend of the past day or two).

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
15 August 2022 12:39:38
06z ensemble mean SLP now sits at around 1022hPa from 25th August to the end of the run on 31st. It continues the trend of the long term pressure being higher with each run. 1022 is remarkable for an ensemble mean that far out.

In between it’s straight up from today till the 22nd, then a little dip them up again.

GFS op a warm outlier in the 06z suite but not a high pressure outlier.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
15 August 2022 12:41:07

Wanted to wish all the best to Kieron (Moomin) and send my best wishes.

Get well soon sir.

Originally Posted by: Downpour 


Me too, and what an annoyance to have to cancel the holiday. Is that why the models now don’t show much rain?

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Saint Snow
15 August 2022 13:10:33


Well, off topic, but in sure you will all be thrilled to know, I'm disappearing for a while.


Sadly, I've had to cancel my holiday as I've been taken into hospital today after I collapsed yesterday evening.


Not sure what caused it, but I've been taken to hospital for some tests and not sure how long I'll be here for. 


Feeling thoroughly under the weather right now in a lot of pain 🤒


I will hopefully be home soon but my holiday has gone for a burton.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


 


 



 


Hope you're OK, Mooms. Get better soon, and don't stop posting.


 


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
15 August 2022 13:42:15

Hope you're feeling better soon.


Nick

Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Bow Echo
15 August 2022 13:43:53


Well, off topic, but in sure you will all be thrilled to know, I'm disappearing for a while.


Sadly, I've had to cancel my holiday as I've been taken into hospital today after I collapsed yesterday evening.


Not sure what caused it, but I've been taken to hospital for some tests and not sure how long I'll be here for. 


Feeling thoroughly under the weather right now in a lot of pain 🤒


I will hopefully be home soon but my holiday has gone for a burton.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


I don't post often as I leave it to more knowledgeable members to share their knowledge. Just wanted to add my commiserations to you Moomin. I'll miss your sparring sessions!! Wishing a speedy recovery to you.

Steve D. FRMetS
Burton Latimer, Kettering, Northants


Ally Pally Snowman
15 August 2022 14:15:04

Well that's rubbish Moom's. Hopefully nothing to serious. 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
15 August 2022 14:37:37

Just catching up with the GFS 6z.  Surely a 20c cet if verified.  

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
15 August 2022 14:53:00


Sadly, I've had to cancel my holiday as I've been taken into hospital today after I collapsed yesterday evening.


Not sure what caused it, but I've been taken to hospital for some tests and not sure how long I'll be here for. 


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Sorry to hear this, hope they'll let you post from hospital

War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Frank H
15 August 2022 14:53:46


Well, off topic, but in sure you will all be thrilled to know, I'm disappearing for a while.


Sadly, I've had to cancel my holiday as I've been taken into hospital today after I collapsed yesterday evening.


Not sure what caused it, but I've been taken to hospital for some tests and not sure how long I'll be here for. 


Feeling thoroughly under the weather right now in a lot of pain 🤒


I will hopefully be home soon but my holiday has gone for a burton.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Get well soon Moomin


I always read your posts. Adds a bit of variety to the forum.

Wrightington, Wigan
marcus72
15 August 2022 15:03:44


Yep, I comment on what the operational run shows. Simple as that really.


The fact it was the complete opposite yesterday shows how fickle these charts are.


Are you not understanding my narrative? 


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


I think a lot of us struggle to understand your narrative because you say things like "I think this is the end of the proper summer weather now, save for the odd here or there" rather than " The current model output shows..... etc etc."


EDIT:


Poor timing with this post as just caught up ref the news about your health and holiday. Speedy recovery

Langstone, SE Hampshire
Downpour
15 August 2022 15:41:01
The much-vaunted epic rains for this week have been downgraded as expected to the princely sum of 5mm in total in my area. Will barely make any difference.

This really is tragedy played as farce. Rain in summer is becoming like snow in winter – much promised, rarely delivered.

The gardens are dying and SE England is desperate for relief.
Chingford
London E4
147ft
Matty H
15 August 2022 16:14:00
It’s starting to look increasingly like this weeks “rains” are going to be a proverbial drop in the ocean. Zero of interest for farmers and fire fighters
Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
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Brian Gaze
15 August 2022 16:39:21
Arpege continues to suggest downpours tomorrow stretching from the south west through central areas and into East Anglia.
Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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doctormog
15 August 2022 16:49:20

I see the GFS 12z op is suggesting that summer is not over, for some at least: https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_270_2.png 


I suspect it will be on the high side of the ensembles but not unsupported.

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Retron
15 August 2022 16:57:50


I see the GFS 12z op is suggesting that summer is not over, for some at least: https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_270_2.png 


I suspect it will be on the high side of the ensembles but not unsupported.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


The 0z EPS had one member (of 52) which did the same. Knowing my luck, it'll be the one time a 1-in-52 chance comes off. Oh, wait, that's already happened with the 40C heatwave!

Leysdown, north Kent
moomin75
15 August 2022 16:59:22
Thanks for all the good wishes guys.
I've been diagnosed as having Cauda Equina syndrome and am going to have lumbar decompression surgery in the morning.
It was quite a serious case, but thankfully, although incredibly painful, they've diagnosed it early so will hopefully be sorted by the surgery in the morning.
Will see you all on the other side.
Thanks again. X
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Chidog
15 August 2022 17:05:39

GFS serves up a ludicrous heatwave for the SE with 6 33C days in a row and counting, of which 4 are 35C....

Ally Pally Snowman
15 August 2022 17:08:07


GFS serves up a ludicrous heatwave for the SE with 6 33C days in a row and counting, of which 4 are 35C....


Originally Posted by: Chidog 


It smashes multiple date records.  Would be an incredible end to an incredible summer. 


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
peeps in west oxon
15 August 2022 17:16:29

Thanks for all the good wishes guys.
I've been diagnosed as having Cauda Equina syndrome and am going to have lumbar decompression surgery in the morning.
It was quite a serious case, but thankfully, although incredibly painful, they've diagnosed it early so will hopefully be sorted by the surgery in the morning.
Will see you all on the other side.
Thanks again. X

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Best wishes Moomin, hopefully the JR will sort you out. Had my heart done there a few months ago….

West Oxfordshire, 80M ASL
doctormog
15 August 2022 17:36:10

Thanks for all the good wishes guys.
I've been diagnosed as having Cauda Equina syndrome and am going to have lumbar decompression surgery in the morning.
It was quite a serious case, but thankfully, although incredibly painful, they've diagnosed it early so will hopefully be sorted by the surgery in the morning.
Will see you all on the other side.
Thanks again. X

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Ouch. Really glad to hear you got an early diagnosis and all the best with the surgery. 
Remember to follow the advice you will be given as I want to see you back here trying to depress us all ASAP. 

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 

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