The models are suggesting it is looking relatively dry compared to recently. This is welcome relief. At the moment, any excursion on foot into the countryside generally involves wading or a mud bath.
Originally Posted by: RobN
I agree that this is probably the case for the vast majority of the UK and Ireland, but it has not been like that everywhere.
Indeed, even the Met Office mentioned that in a video which they put up on their main YouTube channel around a week ago. In that video, they showed us a chart which showed the rainfall totals for the first 10 days of the month so far compared to average. On that chart, large parts of the UK had already exceeded their 1991-2020 January average rainfall whereas large parts of the east of UK were still very dry at that time despite the very unsettled weather pattern at that time.
Edinburgh sits right in the midst of that very dry area and even as I write, a total of just 35.2 mm of rain has been recorded so far during this month at Edinburgh Gogarbank, along with just 26.8 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh. In the case of both of those stations, that is less than half of our 1991-2020 January average, even though we are now more than halfway through the month.
It is true that last Autumn was a bit wetter than average here with December 2022 also coming out wetter than average in the end. However, last year's massive rainfall deficits have never been fully made up here in the same manner in which this has been happening elsewhere and because of that, the SE of Scotland in particular (NE Scotland has been a bit wetter, as has been mentioned in a number of RichardAbn's posts) is probably going to be at the greatest risk of experiencing possible water shortage warnings from SEPA when it comes to the coming spring and summer if it ends being predominately dry from now on as the models seem to be suggesting.
This is therefore, one example of where we can't really say that any upcoming dry weather is a "relief", although I will add that we are very much an outlier in that regard so for most of the UK, it is still correct to say that any upcoming dry weather will be a relief.
Edited by user
18 January 2023 09:05:33
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Reason: Not specified
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.