theweatheroutlook

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Spring Sun Winter Dread
07 June 2024 10:11:47
A cool and dry summer month is something we rarely get these days. I remember Aug 2014 as such but the stats tell me it was actually quite wet. 
Could this month be this rare unicorn ?
I have a feeling we'll end up getting topped up to above average by a heatwave later but all still to play for .
Gavin D
07 June 2024 13:45:35
Hadley

12.9 to the 6th

1.2c below the 61 to 90 average
0.5c below the 81 to 10 average
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
07 June 2024 14:34:00
Hmm!  I’ve just checked the email I sent with my June guess.  I don’t know what I was thinking!  😂
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
07 June 2024 15:52:50

Hmm!  I’ve just checked the email I sent with my June guess.  I don’t know what I was thinking!  😂

Originally Posted by: Caz 



Me too! I could see the models were not showing anything warm but after recent months I didn't believe them. In fact they have trended even cooler now 😢. I know I've already blown it because the first half of June looks set to stay cool and so I'll need something close to a record 2nd half just to be in with a chance of getting close. 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Bertwhistle
07 June 2024 16:40:35

Me too! I could see the models were not showing anything warm but after recent months I didn't believe them. In fact they have trended even cooler now 😢. I know I've already blown it because the first half of June looks set to stay cool and so I'll need something close to a record 2nd half just to be in with a chance of getting close. 

Originally Posted by: GezM 



Exactly the same for me. I've been far too low, even when guessing above average. So I thought go for it- a lesson in prophetic humility again.
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
+1
Bertwhistle
07 June 2024 16:43:57

Similar again here today. 2C 850s and presently 18C outside in very strong sunshine, and no doubt it'll continue to warm as long as the sun stays out. I would normally add 16C to 850s this time of year in sunny conditions, but it seems 18 would be a better estimate these days.

EDIT: As of yesterday, the mean is 15.1C here - fractionally above the 91-20 average.

Originally Posted by: Retron 



Yep. Just scraped 20 again today. Actually find the weather rather lovely and the air is dry enough to do two washes!
Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
+2
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
07 June 2024 19:42:44

Me too! I could see the models were not showing anything warm but after recent months I didn't believe them. In fact they have trended even cooler now 😢. I know I've already blown it because the first half of June looks set to stay cool and so I'll need something close to a record 2nd half just to be in with a chance of getting close. 

Originally Posted by: GezM 

I have no excuse!  I didn’t even look at the models.  When I realised the June thread was up, I panicked and just sent a quick PM.  17c I went for!  🤣
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
07 June 2024 20:14:37

I have no excuse!  I didn’t even look at the models.  When I realised the June thread was up, I panicked and just sent a quick PM.  17c I went for!  🤣

Originally Posted by: Caz 



You wouldn't be writing off your prediction on the 7th now would you 🙂
Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Hungry Tiger
07 June 2024 20:20:49
If I was doing my CET figures now I'd have gone for 13.0.   😮 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


+1
Ally Pally Snowman
07 June 2024 20:36:44

If I was doing my CET figures now I'd have gone for 13.0.    

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 



Under 14c looks certain atm. Maybe under 13c?
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
08 June 2024 05:27:13

Under 14c looks certain atm. Maybe under 13c?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


The predictions haven't been posted yet but imagine if we all end up going too high!
Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
+2
ARTzeman
08 June 2024 09:21:14
IMANSF22               13.1c           Nicks'1BATH75      13.3c
Metcheck                13.16c               Anomaly          -0.99c
Netweather             13.59c               Anomaly          -0.52c
Peasedown St John  13.37c              Anomaly          -1.83c.      




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ozone_aurora
08 June 2024 10:40:10

I can remember 1972. That was awful. I was having PE lessons outside on an athletics field at boarding school. We had to wear single layer PE shirts outside. It was awful and I can remember this clearly 52 years later.   😞 

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 


I was too young to remember this, but my parents said it was an abysmal June. However, I recall them saying that the rest of the Summer was better; July was sometimes showery but also some nice fine days, August was a mostly pleasant, dry month, and followed by a lovely September. 
Hungry Tiger
08 June 2024 11:17:11

Under 14c looks certain atm. Maybe under 13c?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 



That would be amazing these days.  🙂 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Gavin D
08 June 2024 15:52:03
Hadley

12.7 to the 7th

1.4c below the 61 to 90 average
0.8c below the 81 to 10 average
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
08 June 2024 18:56:25
11.1C (-2.1C) here after first week.
Grass has all but stopped growing we have had two ground frosts the past week too.
North York Moors weather 
ARTzeman
09 June 2024 08:46:00
IMANSF22              13.1c           Nicks'1BATH75      13.0c
Metcheck                13.04c                Anomaly        -1.10c
Neweather              13.57c                Anomaly        -0.54c
Peasedown St John 13.4c                  Anomaly        -1.8c.          




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
09 June 2024 11:19:49

You wouldn't be writing off your prediction on the 7th now would you

Originally Posted by: Col 

😂I shouldn’t really and I should practice what I preach.  But it’s a tall order in my case.  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Ally Pally Snowman
09 June 2024 11:21:32
I'm pretty happy with my 14.5c guess atm. But even that will need a significant warm up last third of the month. 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
09 June 2024 11:22:07

The predictions haven't been posted yet but imagine if we all end up going too high!

Originally Posted by: Col 

👍I was thinking the same!  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Gavin D
09 June 2024 13:38:57
Hadley

12.7 to the 8th

1.4c below the 61 to 90 average
0.8c below the 81 to 10 average
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
10 June 2024 08:16:55
In the CET series, i.e. since 1659, we've only had 2 years where June has been cooler than May. They were 1749 and 1833 (no surprise there after by far the warmest May on record). 

At the moment this June looks like a strong contender to be the 3rd. 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
+1
ARTzeman
10 June 2024 09:28:04
 IMANSF22         13.1c            Nicks'1BATH75       13.2c
Metcheck            12.90c             Anomaly             -1.25c
Netweather         13.41c             Anomaly             -0.7c
Peasedown St John  10.38c        Anomaly            -4.82c   




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
10 June 2024 10:38:17
Has anyone heard from Justin?

According to his profile, he's not been on TWO since 3rd June

I know he was having some health issues, so it's a little concerning. I hope he's OK.

 

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
+1
Gavin D
10 June 2024 13:22:37
Hadley

12.5 to the 9th

1.6c below the 61 to 90 average
1.0c below the 81 to 10 average
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