WX temp charts continuing to show cool-ish weather from the N Atlantic affecting N Europe while continuing hot in the Nediterranean and really hot around the Black Sea. A slight shift in week 2, with the emphasis on cooler weather moving to Scandinavia; S England hanging on to a little warmth but Scotland remaining cool. Rain fairly general in week 1 (except Spain); in week 2 a dry area developing in the N Sea including to some extent Britain, with areas of rain around its periphery.
GFS Op - HP for Britain at first followed by troughs swinging across on Sat 20th and Mon 22nd under the guidance of LP near Iceland. Then a break from the succession of LP of recent days; pressure rises mainly for England at first but for the whole country by Sun 28th; then it's the north's turn for HP as a shallow depression runs past Cornwall and into N France Tue 30th. The sequence finishes Fri 3rd with a narrow ridge of HP lying SW-NE across Britain.
GEFS - warm esp in the S to Fri 19th, then temps close to norm or on the cool side to Fri 26th, after which rising again though with ens members showing differences. Generally dry for a few days, then a little rain from time to time in the S & E, heavier at times in the W, and as ever more continuous in N Ireland/W Scotland.Â
ECM - like GFS for most of the time, but HP does not develop widely towards Sun 28th; in fact by the last chart Sat 27th Lp 1000mb off NW Scotland and HP only just hanging on in the S.
GEM - agrees with ECM
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl