WX temps with something of a shift this morning. From week 1 with a fairly cold NW Europe (being threatened yesterday with a further expansion of cold air for Russia) milder air floods in from the SW all the way up to the Baltic in week 2. The cold air escapes to the SE, to the Balkans and especially Turkey. Rain/snow fairly general across Europe in week 1 but notably heavy for Britain; in week 2 this retreats NW-wards leaving C Europe dry but Britain still wet.
GFS Op 0z - the cold LP over Scandinavia and its associated runner over France all collecting up and moving off NE-wards while a new and very deep LP moves in for the weekend with SW-ly gales (950mb Rockall Sat 23rd, drifting NE to the Hebrides Mon 25th 960mb). By Fri 29th, having delivered a shot of mild air to NW Europe, this system declines and HP develops over Germany 1030mb Sat 30th with very mild S-lies for Britain. LPs from the Atlantic then begin to run E-wards close to N Scotland and by Sat 7th there are full-on zonal W--lies sandwiched between 980mb cool and unsettled in Shetland and 1020mb fine and mild along the S coast.
JET stream - a strong streak from the NW driving this weekend's LP but then fragmentary until Thu 5th when strong W-ly and directed at Scotland.
ECM - similar to GFS though the HP towards the end of the run Sun 1st is further north, over Scandinavia with a ridge to Britain hence calmer and more settled.
GEM - Not much sign of HP later on, with a series of shallow LPs moving towards Britain from the SW from Sat 28th onwards
GEFS - briefly very mild over the weekend, dropping back to norm by Wed 27th and very wet esp in S until then with good ens agreement. After that a long generally rather mild period in most runs but with a number of cold outputs differing to keep the mean near norm. Rain continuing on and off in many runs at most times, heaviest in SW.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl