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Jiries
13 July 2013 08:12:27

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs184.gif


Apart from SW France we are the hottest place in Europe and that make a change after they enjoyed very hot summers from 2007-2012 when we missed out completely. 

Polar Low
13 July 2013 08:16:32

Amazing very widespread heat uk event



http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs184.gif


Apart from SW France we are the hottest place in Europe and that make a change after they enjoyed very hot summers from 2007-2012 when we missed out completely. 


Originally Posted by: Jiries 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
13 July 2013 08:18:19


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/jma.php?ech=156&mode=1


now that does look very hot from the japs  gotta be 90f plus surley for southern england.


Originally Posted by: Polar Low 


That amount of heat enough to make anyone surly?


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Polar Low
13 July 2013 08:25:22

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/hgtcomp.html


500 mean been like that for days and days now at day 10


gfs takes the points on performance so far but a lovely summmer pattern all round

moomin75
13 July 2013 09:03:22

Amazing heat in the short term, but I'm not buying this for next weekend?


Surely we won't get that cold?


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1804.gif


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
moomin75
13 July 2013 09:05:50

Also, I know Weatheronline forecasts just go on the latest GFS, but where do they get the idea of "rain later" from on the 0z?


I can't see anything in the way of rain, apart from perhaps the odd thundery shower.


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
LeedsLad123
13 July 2013 09:18:51


Amazing heat in the short term, but I'm not buying this for next weekend?


Surely we won't get that cold?


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1804.gif


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Just one run remember, GFS is all over the place regarding the end of next week, it isn't sure of the position of the high just yet. We need the high to be further east in order to avoid that scenario.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Charmhills
13 July 2013 10:03:36

I think mother nature has cut the UK a little bit of slack ;-)

Originally Posted by: sunnyramsgate 


Are but mother nature can be cruel and I have no doubt we will pay for this dearly we always do.


Looking settled/very dry, warm to hot for the next 10 days at least.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Gooner
13 July 2013 10:09:39

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10217.png


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10817.png


red hot through the week


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
13 July 2013 10:12:21

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn12617.png


and gets hotter


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn13217.png


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Nick Gilly
13 July 2013 10:19:27


I think mother nature has cut the UK a little bit of slack ;-)

Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


Are but mother nature can be cruel and I have no doubt we will pay for this dearly we always do.


Looking settled/very dry, warm to hot for the next 10 days at least.


Originally Posted by: sunnyramsgate 


 


If you want to look at it like that, then see it as payback for the run of rubbish summers we've had to put up with from 2007-12. I'm loving this!

Charmhills
13 July 2013 10:21:15



I think mother nature has cut the UK a little bit of slack ;-)

Originally Posted by: Nick Gilly 


Are but mother nature can be cruel and I have no doubt we will pay for this dearly we always do.


Looking settled/very dry, warm to hot for the next 10 days at least.


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


 


If you want to look at that, then see it as payback for the run of rubbish summers we've had to put up with from 2007-12.


Originally Posted by: sunnyramsgate 


Could be.


Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Rob K
13 July 2013 10:23:04
It just gets hotter and hotter.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1294.gif 

First 33C I've seen on the charts for the uk in a while.

Hampshire the hottest place in N Europe on that chart - just a couple of 34s over in Hungary and Slovakia.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Ally Pally Snowman
13 July 2013 10:45:44

Another very hot GFS 6z high 20c's to low 30c's for 12 + days. Remarkable output at the moment.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn30017.png


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Jiries
13 July 2013 11:38:03


Another very hot GFS 6z high 20c's to low 30c's for 12 + days. Remarkable output at the moment.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn30017.png


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Just like 1976 role but this time around 28-32C instead of 32-36C in 1976.   Very hot run and hopefully that should give N Sea temps a rise after draining away the cool pooling to NW tip of Spain after passing over the channel so that give a chance for Kent guys to see more sunshine and warmer temps.  My gut feeling this September may be like 1976 or 1995 which was very wet after a hot summer.

Stormchaser
13 July 2013 11:38:57

Just caught up with the models after a sizzling cycle ride starting at 9:30am and finishing at 11am, followed by relaxing in the garden!


I see that GFS 00z op run gave the ECM op run's version of events from last night some real consideration, but didn't want to make things as extreme to our E and NE. Meanwhile ECM's 00z op run toned down the trough there and shifted the high pressure east a bit, resulting in a fantastic run considering where we're already at


...then GFS, not wanting to be outdone, produced the 06z op run, which is less amplified, has a much weaker Scandi trough and is quite frankly an outstanding run for persistent hot weather




These sort of shifts in the hot direction just seem to keep on coming... where on Earth is this road taking us?


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Stormchaser
13 July 2013 11:46:43

Somehow overlooked these in my last post:


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png


There's a run hitting uppers of 24°C or so for 27th July. I think that's as high as I've ever seen!


http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2013071300/UW144-21.GIF?13-07


UKMO has the chart of the morning as Tim posted earlier. With the Atlantic riding up the western flank and the high centred over the N. Sea that is going for a classic high-end heatwave scenario (by the way I understand that this is not a good thing for some people, but like with hurricanes, it doesn't matter whether I choose to enjoy exceptional temperatures or not - the weather does what the weather does).


http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/test8.gif


These 8-10 day means show an immense belt of anomalously high heights that may well take a lot of work to break down


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Rob K
13 July 2013 12:35:14
If nothing else hopefully this summer will finally prove that long range forecasting is total horse poo. Just about everyone was going for a terrible one.

(I've been saying all along that the pattern felt very different this year, but that was purely hit instinct/ guesswork and I didn't try to dress it up as a LRF!)
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Polar Low
13 July 2013 13:29:51

 Goodness me that almost record breaking for that area thinking and im not sure Dorsets all time was 34c


can someone advise? 


 


 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1294.gif  First 33C I've seen on the charts for the uk in a while. Hampshire the hottest place in N Europe on that chart - just a couple of 34s over in Hungary and Slovakia.

Polar Low
13 July 2013 13:39:47

Goodness me the ecm mean is very special and these http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html


only came in for a drink think ill have another one.

Gooner
13 July 2013 16:58:55

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm961.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif


UKMO keeps us hot


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


bledur
13 July 2013 17:36:21

high pressure dominates the weather again through this week, although there are some subtle changes taking place. There will be lots of dry weather, and it will be warm and sunny. However, as the week progresses the high drifts north, allowing brisk northeast winds to develop in the south and these eventually blow in some cloud and possibly rain across southeastern areas.




 simon keelings thoughts

Osprey
13 July 2013 17:41:48



I think mother nature has cut the UK a little bit of slack ;-)

Originally Posted by: Nick Gilly 


Are but mother nature can be cruel and I have no doubt we will pay for this dearly we always do.


Looking settled/very dry, warm to hot for the next 10 days at least.


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


 


If you want to look at it like that, then see it as payback for the run of rubbish summers we've had to put up with from 2007-12. I'm loving this!


Originally Posted by: sunnyramsgate 


Blimy I think we are in credit for at least two more years with summers like this especially after the spring we've had


Glass half full with some


Nobody likes a smartass, especially another smartass...
If it ain't broke, don't fix it!

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