http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs184.gif

Apart from SW France we are the hottest place in Europe and that make a change after they enjoyed very hot summers from 2007-2012 when we missed out completely. 

Amazing very widespread heat uk event

That amount of heat enough to make anyone surly?

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http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/hgtcomp.html

500 mean been like that for days and days now at day 10

gfs takes the points on performance so far but a lovely summmer pattern all round

Amazing heat in the short term, but I'm not buying this for next weekend?

Surely we won't get that cold?

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1804.gif

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Also, I know Weatheronline forecasts just go on the latest GFS, but where do they get the idea of "rain later" from on the 0z?

I can't see anything in the way of rain, apart from perhaps the odd thundery shower.

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Just one run remember, GFS is all over the place regarding the end of next week, it isn't sure of the position of the high just yet. We need the high to be further east in order to avoid that scenario.

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Are but mother nature can be cruel and I have no doubt we will pay for this dearly we always do.

Looking settled/very dry, warm to hot for the next 10 days at least.

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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10217.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10817.png

red hot through the week

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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn12617.png

and gets hotter

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn13217.png

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If you want to look at it like that, then see it as payback for the run of rubbish summers we've had to put up with from 2007-12. I'm loving this!

Could be.

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It just gets hotter and hotter.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1294.gif 

First 33C I've seen on the charts for the uk in a while.

Hampshire the hottest place in N Europe on that chart - just a couple of 34s over in Hungary and Slovakia.

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Another very hot GFS 6z high 20c's to low 30c's for 12 + days. Remarkable output at the moment.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn30017.png

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Just like 1976 role but this time around 28-32C instead of 32-36C in 1976.   Very hot run and hopefully that should give N Sea temps a rise after draining away the cool pooling to NW tip of Spain after passing over the channel so that give a chance for Kent guys to see more sunshine and warmer temps.  My gut feeling this September may be like 1976 or 1995 which was very wet after a hot summer.

Just caught up with the models after a sizzling cycle ride starting at 9:30am and finishing at 11am, followed by relaxing in the garden!

I see that GFS 00z op run gave the ECM op run's version of events from last night some real consideration, but didn't want to make things as extreme to our E and NE. Meanwhile ECM's 00z op run toned down the trough there and shifted the high pressure east a bit, resulting in a fantastic run considering where we're already at

...then GFS, not wanting to be outdone, produced the 06z op run, which is less amplified, has a much weaker Scandi trough and is quite frankly an outstanding run for persistent hot weather

These sort of shifts in the hot direction just seem to keep on coming... where on Earth is this road taking us?

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Somehow overlooked these in my last post:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

There's a run hitting uppers of 24°C or so for 27th July. I think that's as high as I've ever seen!

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2013071300/UW144-21.GIF?13-07

UKMO has the chart of the morning as Tim posted earlier. With the Atlantic riding up the western flank and the high centred over the N. Sea that is going for a classic high-end heatwave scenario (by the way I understand that this is not a good thing for some people, but like with hurricanes, it doesn't matter whether I choose to enjoy exceptional temperatures or not - the weather does what the weather does).

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/test8.gif

These 8-10 day means show an immense belt of anomalously high heights that may well take a lot of work to break down

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If nothing else hopefully this summer will finally prove that long range forecasting is total horse poo. Just about everyone was going for a terrible one.

(I've been saying all along that the pattern felt very different this year, but that was purely hit instinct/ guesswork and I didn't try to dress it up as a LRF!)

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 Goodness me that almost record breaking for that area thinking and im not sure Dorsets all time was 34c

can someone advise? 

 

 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs1294.gif  First 33C I've seen on the charts for the uk in a while. Hampshire the hottest place in N Europe on that chart - just a couple of 34s over in Hungary and Slovakia.