What I shall call 'ponderous rain' here, on and off, large rain drops. Still remarkably warm, holding up into the 20's although only just.
Looking at the raintoday radar, the MCS is developing a vast bow-echo signiture. This is the level-3 scale event that ESTOFEX predicted.
It's clear to see how the continental heat is fuelling a line of intense thunderstorms over N France, from which there is this huge plume of convective rainfall extending out across the Channel.
isleofwightweather's lightning tracker is showing a few inter-cloud strikes close to the IOW now.
There's only one proper thunderstorm over the Channel and that's currently NE of the Brest Peninsula and tracking towards the SE of England.
From the radar situation, the centre of the shallow trough could be just south of Bayeux...? It might track a little bit west of the model projections.
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[email protected] https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On