What went wrong?....

Bloody hell , are you allowed to still be up

There was -18C uppers across the Eastern half of England during January 1987 http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/reana/1987/archives-1987-1-12-0-2.png 

And I remember trying to work outside in that

There was -18C uppers across the Eastern half of England during January 1987 http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/reana/1987/archives-1987-1-12-0-2.png 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/html_e/pole10_n.html

uptick in strat temps...

You were just half a cell in a ball.

I rate the chance of this cold snap of circa 7th December around 60% given current model output.  One recalls last December, a projected screaming easterly by the ECM which never came about, and it was in a relatively reasonable timeframe, not FI.  Forgive me for not being able to recall the date/details etc.

"Edited by user 29 November 2013 21:27:49  | Reason: Alcohol!"

LOL! Nothing like a bit of honesty

It was this one.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?jour=5&mois=12&annee=2012&heure=12&archive=1&mode=1&ech=72&map=1

Ditto.

I was trying to shovel frozen sh*it and trying to unfreeze frozen pipes in a pig unit.  Most folks  got cushy little paper rounds at that age.  Fell off my bike 14 times trying to get to work one morning ! 

I dont like this 18z run, fortunately though, i dont buy into it, another over done low on the GFS 18z in my opinion, ironically though, it could give an almighty blizzard for parts of Scotland.

Rubbish ridging into GL behind the low compared to the 12z, this is a fail.

I remember it well, it became know pn Netweather as 'That ECM'

On about the 8th December 2012 amongst several other good model outputs ECM issued a model forecastt out to +240 that was pure and perfect if you like cold/snowy weather.

Alas, it turned out to be 3 days of dry, frosty weather and probably the worst let down in the TWO internet age.

Andy

....its..... its.....ITS>> THE BEAAASSSTT!!!!

http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20131129/18/324/h850t850eu.png  

Seriously though - That storm next week - Deep Deep low pressure sweeping the uk - with a second sister low sweeping a day or so later.,  Needs to be watched before we talk about snow.

GFS is very entertaining when it wants to be.
I think the pub run has been on the Stella this evening LOL.

Low resolution ends with a very high possibility of an 87 or 91 style Easterly though, some serious hurdles to get through for that of course but the chart of the winter so far

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=384&mode=0&carte=1

Yep, a classic Friday night Pub Run!

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013112918/gfsnh-1-324.png?18

Something pleasing on the eye

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013112918/gfsnh-0-324.png?18

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013112918/gfsnh-10-384.png?18

A little bit of warmth now showing up

Holy bartlett, you can see the -15C isotherm scraping shetland on the ECM. Its unfortunate it won't come off, but in my lifetime I don't think Ive actually ever seen a neg 15 before (I mean at 0 hours!). Last march came pretty dam close though. 

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

It may have happened a few times but for the south at least January 1987 had t850s below -15°C I believe.

Originally Posted by: Jive Buddy 

Yeh but I wasn't even a ball of cells in 1987 

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

What went wrong?....

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Someone lost their berings?

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Cmon, don't I get any credit for mentioning the cold spell 9 days ago, despite the incessant referances to you know what. This is the NAVGEM all over again.   

That's porn, Gooner..

So the Express was right after all!!