Sorry, but ECM has not been infallible so far this Autumn/very early winter. I don't think I or anybody else would get too excited at a Scandi high at 216hrs and 240hrs.
The simple fact is, people are desperately looking for straws to clutch at in the models, but as it stands at the moment, there is very little joy for those wanting to see a cold and seasonal December.
Quite the opposite in fact. Apart from the briefest of brief northerlies this week, it really does look mild all the way out to AT LEAST the middle of December - beyond that - who knows....and as always, things can flip, but as I've said many times before, once a Euro high or even a mid-latitude high sets up, they can prove very stubborn beasts to shift.
Average to above average temperatures this month is the sensible call at the moment - and as Matty H says - those who prefer that type of weather are breathing a sigh of relief that this week's "northerly blast" is more of a fart.
Originally Posted by: moomin75