some really torrential stuff developing to the SW. If it gets here we are in trouble and certainly an Amber warning should be issued.
Already lots of surface flooding here
Originally Posted by: Global Warming
I don't understand what the Met Office are playing at. They updated their yellow warning at 2317 last night to increase the impact factor of today's stormdue to increased expected rainfall totals. But at the same time they reduced the "likelihood" factor in their grid matrix which kept the warning at yellow. There can be no justification for that. The likelihood of today's event was if anything increasing not decreasing. Were they on the booze?
If they had just increased the impact element alone then the update last night would have immediately warranted an amber warning. Instead because of the bizzare way they dealt with the update it remained yellow. Given the already saturated ground and the amounts of rainfall expected today an amber warning is entirely justified IMO.
In my view the warning system has been ratherdiscredited by the events of the last couple of months. In principle I think the system is a good one but the way it has been applied of late defies belief. There seems to be a real reluctance to upgrade from yellow warnings. Maybe this is because of criticism in the past when perhaps warnings were upgraded too much but two wrongs don't make a right.
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East