Fantastic GFS 12z run.
Winter Low Pressure expected to land across the UK by T144hrs, and it is seaming to bring Very Cold air from SE Newfoundland and NW N Atlantic, with Ridging northwards the Western Central N Atlantic high to it's West and SW.
Another Mergeable Two Low's over NE Newfoundland after it affects the UK from N and NW With a Greenland High it blocks the E Canada high and another slow moving PV Low that brings WAA so they weigh it in Cold in North and NW but warm to the SE there over Newfoundland SE Canada etc.
At 72 and 120h Energy with SE diving low pressure while Pressure builds over Greenalnd and Norwegian Sea and the Scandy N and nE Europe Blocking high remains strong.
As the UK gets a wedge of mild air with the arrival of that nor'easter low Storng West and NW Winds next Sunday expected, and Mimday brings Cold and a Wintry weather for UK courtesy of the NW and N Atlantic Low that moves SE wards, Tuesday a bit less cold in the Central part of the Storm, by Wednesday it turns colder again with West Mid N Atlantic high ridge to its West and Pressure holding high over Greenland cold North then NE winds likely to bring showers turning to sleet and hail or snow, with lower level rain maybe!.
I look forward to the next 5 to 7 days of model output discussion for the above UK weather prediction hopecasting.
Aha, also to say it is great to see High pressure about surrounding that Winter low for the UK next week and from next Sunday, to the NE and West and North.
Edited by user
20 January 2014 16:58:53
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Reason: Unspecified
Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.